Odd time to get hot as can be in baseball, but it really has been great. One thing I have seen at so many posting sites, is that a team is going to win because they have to. That is about as stupid and losing a statement a winning handicapper will ever make.
I also saw yesterday that the Yankees would not try to win so they could stick it to the Boston Red Sox. Well The Yankees had to win to clinch a playoff spot and were going to do all they could to win the game.
The teams that have to win will at times not play to their ability, or play tight because they have to win. Stay with proven points to win all year long. We were able to play the San Diego Padres at Colorado knowing that the Rockies were starting none of their stars. The Padres on the other hand were playing all of their starters.
The Philadelphia Phillies in the last week said they were not going to push their starters past 50 or 60 pitches and would be resting their stars and I still could not pull the trigger and get paid by playing against them. The amazing thing was how many people played on them laying huge odds. After losing crying fix. I is not a fix when they announce what their plans are.
Baseball 165-176 +15.70 units
San Francisco -115
Angels -115
Have a great day.
Thursday, September 22, 2011
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Some baseball and what is going on with all of the injuries in football
very tough push on the total in the NFL yesterday but still stand at 5-3 in the NFL which percentage wise I will take all season. Regular plays in College Football stands at a 18-15 mark and the double plays are at an outstanding 70 % 7-3. Baseball has gone on a nice run, after a 1-2 yesterday we stand at 159-171 +11.50 units.
after many ups and downs during the season to be up over 10 units feels great. Proving once again that even 12 games under 50/50 we can have an outstanding season.
If I can get to 50./50 it is a huge baseball season. Yesterday a few people had Arizona as their game of the year and my question is simple. Why would you lay anywhere from 235 to 250 as your play of the year. A 1-0 final with a runner on third and one out had those people wondering about their selection.
There has been a number of big time injuries in football so far and Kansas City was a bad football team as it was but without Charles this season just got longer. The Chiefs really have to be careful for o-16, do not know how they will score with zero running game.
I really hope the 0-2 start for Cam Newton does not ruin this mans confidence because he has done all he can for his team to be at least 1-1 on the young NFL season throwing for 854 yards but the 3 interceptions kept his team from winning this last Sunday.
There is another epidemic in football this year as well, kickers cannot make extra points. I know extra points have hurt me and my clients in a big way early in the season. Hopefully this turns around.
I have had a number of new clients who have passed on the ugly plays which of course have won. People just cannot play games where they believe the bigger school will not lose or at least cover. The line makers do not put lines out their to give away free money.
The biggest pass this week was Temple over Penn State and even though Temple lost the game they were never in trouble of not covering the number which is all that matters.
Every service in America but 2 had the NFL game going under yesterday and I was one of the
two. The reason I played the over was simple without Jackson the Rams were gooing to pass out of their no huddle offense. Injuries and all did not matter because the game was extended because of the inability to grind the clock out.
It was a push but that is what happens when you settle for field goals from 1rst and goal from the one yard line.
Baseball 159-173 +11.50 units
Florida -110 tough for the Braves to snap back after tough loss
New York Mets +160 a hot team with good odds always a fun thing
San Diego +105 The Rockies are planning golf trips and cruises not playing baseball
San Francisco +115 25-15 vs lefties and an underdog who is on a nice winning streak
Seattle +100
Angels +125 out but not dead and 31-24 vs lefties.
Pittsburgh +215 The D backs are in the middle of a down cycle only to be against as a dog.
I do have a nice slate of college football this week. I believe it will be an outstanding week with only 1 double play but the regular plays look the best they have looked all year.
Have a great day
after many ups and downs during the season to be up over 10 units feels great. Proving once again that even 12 games under 50/50 we can have an outstanding season.
If I can get to 50./50 it is a huge baseball season. Yesterday a few people had Arizona as their game of the year and my question is simple. Why would you lay anywhere from 235 to 250 as your play of the year. A 1-0 final with a runner on third and one out had those people wondering about their selection.
There has been a number of big time injuries in football so far and Kansas City was a bad football team as it was but without Charles this season just got longer. The Chiefs really have to be careful for o-16, do not know how they will score with zero running game.
I really hope the 0-2 start for Cam Newton does not ruin this mans confidence because he has done all he can for his team to be at least 1-1 on the young NFL season throwing for 854 yards but the 3 interceptions kept his team from winning this last Sunday.
There is another epidemic in football this year as well, kickers cannot make extra points. I know extra points have hurt me and my clients in a big way early in the season. Hopefully this turns around.
I have had a number of new clients who have passed on the ugly plays which of course have won. People just cannot play games where they believe the bigger school will not lose or at least cover. The line makers do not put lines out their to give away free money.
The biggest pass this week was Temple over Penn State and even though Temple lost the game they were never in trouble of not covering the number which is all that matters.
Every service in America but 2 had the NFL game going under yesterday and I was one of the
two. The reason I played the over was simple without Jackson the Rams were gooing to pass out of their no huddle offense. Injuries and all did not matter because the game was extended because of the inability to grind the clock out.
It was a push but that is what happens when you settle for field goals from 1rst and goal from the one yard line.
Baseball 159-173 +11.50 units
Florida -110 tough for the Braves to snap back after tough loss
New York Mets +160 a hot team with good odds always a fun thing
San Diego +105 The Rockies are planning golf trips and cruises not playing baseball
San Francisco +115 25-15 vs lefties and an underdog who is on a nice winning streak
Seattle +100
Angels +125 out but not dead and 31-24 vs lefties.
Pittsburgh +215 The D backs are in the middle of a down cycle only to be against as a dog.
I do have a nice slate of college football this week. I believe it will be an outstanding week with only 1 double play but the regular plays look the best they have looked all year.
Have a great day
Monday, September 19, 2011
Baseball hot and a total in the NFL
All I can say is the beat goes on. A solid 2-1 with a tough loss with the Eagles yesterday. Today I did find some value with some baseball games. A lot of injuries early in the football season so that is something to keep track of.
NFL 5-3
ST Louis/New York OVER 44
Baseball 158-171 +12.50
Florida +110
Pittsburgh +200
Colorado -110
Have a great day
NFL 5-3
ST Louis/New York OVER 44
Baseball 158-171 +12.50
Florida +110
Pittsburgh +200
Colorado -110
Have a great day
Sunday, September 18, 2011
A great Saturday, now a great Sunday to make it right
Saturday was just good all the way around.
NCAA 18-15
Double plays 7-3
Single plays just holding there own while double plays are doing what I think that they will do all year long.
NFL 3-2
Today
Houston
Cincinnat
San Francisco
Philadelphia
No baseball today as I could not find any value.
Have a great day
NCAA 18-15
Double plays 7-3
Single plays just holding there own while double plays are doing what I think that they will do all year long.
NFL 3-2
Today
Houston
Cincinnat
San Francisco
Philadelphia
No baseball today as I could not find any value.
Have a great day
Saturday, September 17, 2011
Saturday NCAA Football and Great looking dogs in baseball
All of the sudden baseball as well as football going very well indeed. Have a big football card as well as a few baseball plays today after a nice 3-0 day in baseball yesterday looking at getting to that plus 10 or more units on the year.
Most times it is a great wager to go against a team that has just clinched but in the case of the Detroit Tigers, they are still in the race for the best record in the American League.
Baseball 154-169 +8.35 units
New York Mets +160 Always tough to face a knuckle ball pitcher
Florida Marlins +210 Cmon Strausburg still under a very low pitch count.
San Francisco +115 This is a hot team and 2 unknown pitchers
San Diego +135 Arizona sees that they are in a pennant race
Toronto +140 Colon not at his best and Yankees not pushing any starters
Tampa +155 Last gasp and two must wins in Boston.
NCAA Regular plays 10-8
Clemson -4 WINNER
Pittsburgh +3 LOSER
Wyoming +10 WINNER
Eastern Michigan +31 WINNER
Colorado State +7
Miami Ohio +4
Florida -9.5
Northwestern -6
Washington State +5
4pm
5pm
430 pm
5pm
615pm
1pm
745pm
Top Plays or Double plays 4-2
Vanderbilt +3 WINNER
Temple +7 WINNER
Michigan State +5
3pm
Have a great day
Most times it is a great wager to go against a team that has just clinched but in the case of the Detroit Tigers, they are still in the race for the best record in the American League.
Baseball 154-169 +8.35 units
New York Mets +160 Always tough to face a knuckle ball pitcher
Florida Marlins +210 Cmon Strausburg still under a very low pitch count.
San Francisco +115 This is a hot team and 2 unknown pitchers
San Diego +135 Arizona sees that they are in a pennant race
Toronto +140 Colon not at his best and Yankees not pushing any starters
Tampa +155 Last gasp and two must wins in Boston.
NCAA Regular plays 10-8
Clemson -4 WINNER
Pittsburgh +3 LOSER
Wyoming +10 WINNER
Eastern Michigan +31 WINNER
Colorado State +7
Miami Ohio +4
Florida -9.5
Northwestern -6
Washington State +5
4pm
5pm
430 pm
5pm
615pm
1pm
745pm
Top Plays or Double plays 4-2
Vanderbilt +3 WINNER
Temple +7 WINNER
Michigan State +5
3pm
Have a great day
Thursday, September 15, 2011
The spread will scream as to what is going on.
Be sure to watch line moves during this time of year in all of football. They can be very meaningful as you have to figure out if the line move is a public move or the smart money. If it is a game that is ugly and the spread is moving towards to so called bad team, you have to think that the professional bettors are sending in the money. If it is a public team then it is the happy fans of a team bringing in the losing money. The spread is the great equalizer!!
Yesterday a very solid 2-0 picking up 2.90 units. The Washington play was a classical virgin pitcher making his first start and getting odds. There is no book on these first time starter and the other team has a tough time with those virgins. A final of 2-0 did show that the Mets had a very tough time with someone they had never seen.
The other game was an Odds play against a team that is feeling the stress of a pennant race. There has been a lot of finger pointing and to top it off after the game Prince Fielder decided it was the best time to say this will be his last year with Milwaukee. What was he thinking? Suck it up and try to win it all right now.
Baseball 148-168 +2.85 units
Tampa Bay +110
Washington +115
San Francisco +110
Detroit -110
Have a great day
Yesterday a very solid 2-0 picking up 2.90 units. The Washington play was a classical virgin pitcher making his first start and getting odds. There is no book on these first time starter and the other team has a tough time with those virgins. A final of 2-0 did show that the Mets had a very tough time with someone they had never seen.
The other game was an Odds play against a team that is feeling the stress of a pennant race. There has been a lot of finger pointing and to top it off after the game Prince Fielder decided it was the best time to say this will be his last year with Milwaukee. What was he thinking? Suck it up and try to win it all right now.
Baseball 148-168 +2.85 units
Tampa Bay +110
Washington +115
San Francisco +110
Detroit -110
Have a great day
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
If it looks like a gift, return it
The NFL is back and a 3-2 mark was a good way to start the season. Hopefully this week in College Football the little things get done right. To many missed extra points and teams kicking chip shot field goals. Hawaii with 2 missed extra points and one being run back for two killed a very solid play.
The NFL is a tough place to bet this week. There many games that look like gifts. There are no gifts in the NFL. If it looks to easy go the other way or toss it out. The spread is the great equalizer! If you remember that then you will always be a winner.
In order to win in any sport you must be willing to play games that do not fit your eye. Games that look like they have no chance are the games that will make you a winner in the long run.
MLB 146-168 -.05 unit
Colorado +165
Washington +125
Have a great day
The NFL is a tough place to bet this week. There many games that look like gifts. There are no gifts in the NFL. If it looks to easy go the other way or toss it out. The spread is the great equalizer! If you remember that then you will always be a winner.
In order to win in any sport you must be willing to play games that do not fit your eye. Games that look like they have no chance are the games that will make you a winner in the long run.
MLB 146-168 -.05 unit
Colorado +165
Washington +125
Have a great day
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