Showing posts with label NFL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL. Show all posts

Friday, February 17, 2012

March is coming

Took a couple day's to lick my gapping wounds from the Super Bowl. First of all the Niners should have been there. 2nd of all the Patriots had a solid 8 point lead and after the lead had been knocked down to two the Patriots were in a spot to score very late and leave little or no time on the clock for Manning and company.

Who would believe that one of the best possesion recievers of this age dropped a 2nd down pass that would have put the ball on the 20. So Brady is being totured and being told he cannot win the big one but really one play does not make a legend not.

I am a fan of no one but I love defense and rushing which made this Super Bowl a farce for me as you had two poor defenses although they were both underated. I geuss it just must be that easy. Play the hot team or the seemingly hot team.

NCAA Basketball 90-88 nothing great and the odds makers are reallhy that good. I cannot tell you how many half point losses and wins I have had wow.

NBA 33-24 I hate the NBA but the stats this year have not lied.

Have a great day.

Tuesday, February 7, 2012

How is that HORSESHOE, NEW YORK

Well the Giants and that massive horseshoe they have had up their ass came through to win the Super Bowl. It did not matter how many fumbles or almost interceptions that they got away with. It was their time to win. I do not believe in this is the way it was to come out. The way way things came out in all of this I really almost believe is destiny.

Passes bouncing off of defensive players, fumbles that had four players around the ball to 1 and finding a way to keep the ball. Having one of the best pair of hands in Welker not catching a ball that would have ended the game in the Patriots favor, bouncing harmlessly to the ground and giving the ball back to Eli with over 4 minutes to go. In the last minute a solid receiver in Branch dropping a ball that would have gotten the Patriots down to the 30 with over 40 seconds to go with 1 timeout remaining.

Things like this continued to happen for the Giants. No running game and never touching Brady until the 4th quarter, which on the stat sheet made it look like they were all over him. My worse nightmare is seeing a C defense win the big one. It does not make sense that a weak team got all of the breaks and won it all. It hit me hard with a bet and I take this stuff seriously when the weak get all the breaks. Not go out and win but get every bounce and lucky break, I MEAN EVERY LUCKY BREAK. There should have been two interceptions against the Forty Niners and at least 2 fumble recoveries for the Patriots. Then there was the blown whistle call that no one thought was important. The media, the announcers hell even the Bay Area media did not bring it up. The play was alive and the Forty Niners should have had the ball on the 10 yard line going in to end the Giants.

It is a fact that that was a fumble and the play had not stopped referee shit call or not. The whistle had not stopped the play. PERIOD!!!

Is Manning Elite? I really do not know the answer to this but he got all the breas and more then just one. Good for the Giants and good for their coach but it was very wrong.

While the Niners bet and the Patriots bet which ere 5 times to much for what I do was the real mistake. I went 4-0 in Basketball and still had a over then average losing day. I went 4-2 overall and lost money now that is very poor money management. One of my very good friends in the handicapping world kept asking why I was so upset over just another wager. I felt like an idiot and could not tell him how pathetic my money management was.

I cannot say it enough a play is a play and other then maybe a 2 unit selection there is no reason to not stay with your money management plan. Stay with one unit or max two unit selections. This is the only way to stay ahead of the game. I hit 60% of my NFL plays and two games almost made me a loser in the NFL. That is not how to show a long term profit. Right now I am at almost 60% in the NBA and I am showing a profit, the way it should be. In college basketball I am only at 56% but with solid money management I am showing a profit.

That is the point here 1 or 2 units. If your down then stick with 1 unit selections. When you are on a roll then look for some 2 unit selections. Stick with this and be a long term winner.

NCAA Basketball 65-57

Iowa State +2

Creighton -6

Providence +8

NBA 19-15

Cleveland +13 The others will be out when the lines come out.

Have a great day.

Monday, January 30, 2012

Tiger, The Super Bowl and a review of the year

Well I almost called the ball with a Tiger win. He just couldn't help himself on the final day. It was the only day where he started hitting the ball left off the tee. You knew he was in trouble on the very first swing of the day and even after going par-birdie-birdie, it was false. Tiger will win a major this year and will have at least 4 or 5 wins all year. Bold but true.

I never thought in this day and age that the Patriots would be completely looked over in any no less a Super Bowl. I was like everyone when at first glance that the Giants were the easy play in the Super Bowl.

I then did the stats on the game and will be making a strong play on the Patriots. They have the better defense overall and their offense has 4 weapons who can all catch the ball and will make the Giants playing Atlanta and the Forty Niners seem like playing a college team.

I watched the film on the Niner game and other then Vernon Davis Crabtree was a non player in the game against the Giants. It was welcome to physical playoff football young man. Every single play he was knocked off of his route by a physical cover man. I did not note 5 plays where he got off the ball and into his route. Makes it very tough on a quarterback to only have one viable option on every play.

Before the cries of the Giants crushed the Packers and made them look like little boys. It is true that the Giants dominated the Packers. The score was in no way indicative of how dominating the Giants were against the Packers. Once again a coach learned a lesson in the worst manner possible. The Packers with the bye week and resting their starters for the last 2 weeks of the season were well of of their game. The timing was off with Rodgers and his wide outs. A month off is to long to rest and play at the top of ones game.

The Packers also had one of the worst defenses in football giving up close to 500 yards a game. Jennings should not have been playing at all and for the first time all year the Packers had their offensive line beat up and if it was a regular season game three of those linemen would not have been playing. A perfect storm to lose.

The Giants have been one of the good stories this season. Fighting all the way and making it to the Super Bowl. They survived 3 possible interceptions with Niners running into one another rather then ending the Giants run. The Niners special teams had carried them for much of the year and 2 fluke fumbles gave the Giants 10 points in the second half. The Giants were dominated in the 2nd half and got 2 breaks that gave them 10 points.

The Patriots coach is a smart man and he will have broken down the film from the Niner game every possible way. He doesn't have the talent that the Niners have on their front line but he can run corner blitz's and will find a way to slow the Giants down. He doesn't have the talent to stop them but he will find a way to slow them down, thanks to the Niners and what they did in the 2nd half of their game.

I have been told that their is no revenge in the Super Bowl. The past doesn't matter. I say that is bullshit. The Patriots coach and Tom Brady were on the doorstep of being football gods in 2007. The undefeated season and everything that goes with it. The fact that this was taken away from the Patriots does play a piece in this game. Maybe a small part but this is a fact.

The Giants will not be able to shut down all 4 receivers for the Patriots. The Patriots have the middle covered with their tight end who will be playing. The underneath with Welker, and if that gets taken away look for Branch to get a cheap long touchdown or more. Alex Smith had his chances to hit a couple very deep passes, but missed. Tom Brady will not miss his chances.

When all the passing game gets going then the Patriots will get a few cheap 12 to 20 yard runs. The Giants on the other hand do have their weapons. With Nicks hurt, this will hurt Crews. I am not talking 7 stops in a row I am talking a couple stops and settling for a couple field goals instead of touchdowns.

The public and a few pro players are all over the Giants. The Giants and the under as a matter of fact. The books have had a tough year and with a great Super Bowl any and all losses will get wiped out. I have seen this story before. Public thinks it will be easy money and the books get the last and biggest laugh.

Think about it, you play the small favorite in the Super Bowl and it happens to be the New England Patriots 15-3 with a 10 game winning streak. You get to be with the books and have the number one seed against a 12-7 team who is a 4 seed.

The Patriots will score no less then 35 points. I really think the Patriots will score in the 40's but I will settle with 35. The Giants will score no less then 21 points and with a couple field goals the Giants end up with 27.

If you do a little math, even on the low end this game will sky over the total. As the public and some pro's look back at 2007. The under looks good to many people as well. What a perfect storm. The better team, the better seed, and we get to be on the bookmakers side. It doesn't get any better then this my friends.

Take The patriots and the Over. Be a winner along with Vegas.

NFL 53-36 +13.40 units. 60%
NFL Double plays 12-10 +2.00 units 55%

NCAA Football 75-62 +6.80 units 55%
NCAA Football Double plays 21-19 +.20 unit 53%

Baseball +29.80 units 52%

NCAA Basketball 53-43 +5.70 units 55%

NBA 10-7 +2.30 units 59%

NCAA Basketball For Tuesday 1/31/2012
NCAA Basketball 53-43 +5.70 units 55%

Michigan State -3
Kent State -4
Seton Hall +9

A top play in College hoops.

Kansas State +2

NBA 10-7 +2.30 units 59%

Atlanta -4

Have a great day.

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Stand up and be heard

Death threats ? Really, Cmon folks. Kyle Williams will be a good pro and will do things in the future to hel the Niners win football games. Some idiots out there have taken things a little or a lot to far by having the cowards response to a human error by throwing death threats at Kyle Williams and his family.

I am very sure that Williams did not go out there with the intention of having two bonehead plays cost his team the game and a trip to the Super Bowl. The fact is that the Niners were ZERO for the game on 3rd down attempts. Do I believe that they could have taken the chance to win the game by going for at least two fourth down and very short in Giants territory? YES I do.

The Niners play a old fashioned brand of football and punted every time it was time to punt and they had done that for most of the season. The defense in the 2nd half was the best defense that the League has seen for a half.

Tough loss and Kyle Williams will have to bare this all of his life. The punishment more then fits the crime. Death Threats from people on line is a joke. Grow up fans it is a game.

You have a great coach and an identity. That is a lot because most teams in the NFL have no identity. The Niners will compete again for a chance at the Super Bowl within the next 5 years and will be a contender.

If you cowards out there want to threaten someone, show up and do it in person. No weapons though. Be an adult and do not stand behind your twitter account, or your facebook. I have no twitter or facebook. I will not sit there and tell people I just walked to the kitchen, what a wonderful walk.

There was a time where you would go to the store or on a drive and not be looking at your cell phone at all times. What did the world do when people would talk to one another and look someone in the eye to connect with your fellow man or woman.

Have a great day

Sunday, January 22, 2012

You got it right media, geniuses

Well the media and television people got what they wanted. Both the Ravens and the Niners lose on of all things special team errors. Who would have thought that the injury to Ted Ginn JR would have cost the Niners a trip to the Super Bowl.

Amazingly the media is saying what do the Niners have to do to fix their secondary? huh...The Niner defense pitched a shutout in the 2nd half with 6 sacks and a number of hits. You look and say the Niners gave up 10 points including overtime.

Kyle Williams, this is the man who took the place of Ted Ginn JR, he picked the worst time of his football life to make two mistakes. The Niners were dominating the second half when he did not run up to catch a punt. Instead of getting away from the football he remained close and it barley touched his right knee. A few plays later touchdown Giants.

I looked at the box score and got all I wanted out of the Niners. Their defense was dominating and the offense had done enough to win the Niner way. The Niners came close to overcoming Williams first mistake and settled for a tying field goal.

The game became a defensive struggle, which in Niner football. Another big Niner stop and getting the football back again Kyle Williams made sure his second error ended his teams season. Instead of a fair catch he made a catch and tried for that extra 2 yards with the football away from his body. Fumble and Giants go to the Super Bowl.

I cannot imagine the sick feeling the Niners coach felt as the way he preached to play the game was dropped on the 23 yard line. Oh sure the great Eli Manning and Tom Brady will meet again in the Super Bowl and the points will fly. Sad.

One last thing I would like to thank the media once again for the murder of Joe Paterno. Every idiot who jumped on the bus to commit this murder should really feel proud, you should all go to prison.

Have a great day.

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Championship Football on the way

I always find this a tough time to write about sports. I think the NBA is not much of a product and College Basketball, although a great product. March is where College Basketball starts really jumping. Oh sure I bet on College Hoops and at 33-18 I am having a decent year but If it is not about the NFL then whats the use, right?

The two games will be great this weekend. You have opposites in the first championship game. New England and all that passing. The Patriots have little to no defense and no running game, but they have proved all year living by the pass is enough. They play the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens will not put up 40 plus in a shootout but have a stingy yet older defense. This might be the last chance for a while for Lewis, Reed and company.

If and it is a big IF. Brady get's hit and hit and hit...The Ravens have a great chance to win the game. They must rush as a team for close to 200 yards. Not just to move the football but to ill the clock. Brady and company cannot do much while on the sidelines. A couple nice 9 or 10 minute touchdown drives would go a very long way for the Ravens in this one.

In following me you know that for me defense and rushing lead the way. So it would make sense for a solid play on the Ravens +7.

The next game is a wonderful contest with two teams that seem to be mirror images of one another. They are not at all. The Niners will not be beaten by the run while the Giants will give up rushing yards that will allow the Niners to get their pass game on track. Classic formula, rush to set up the pass. The only thing that scares me is the weather.

The NINERS are the solid big play here. I have not locked onto a total yet.

If you play the horses....You must have fullcardreports.com. This is the best horse product on the market. At 27 bucks a month, you will not have to buy a form or program again. Just for that reason it is well worth the price. A weekend player will save money and be a winner.

Have a great day.

Monday, January 16, 2012

A little of this and a little of that

Another huge week for fullcardreports.com. A 100 horse at Aqueduct and a number of horses between 20.00 and 40.00, it is the best product on the market. If you want to hit horses that pay huge money you must have fullcardreports.com.

Nice to see a couple of teams that play great defense left in the playoffs. Everyone thought the Saints and Packers were going to bully their way through. The Packers were giving up over 400 yards a game and no championship should be won with that type of defense.

The Niners played fantastic defense for 3 quarters then Brees and company broke through with a huge 4th quarter. Somehow the Saints went man to man and that allowed Alex Smith to finally be recognized as a decent quarterback. Not just a guy to manage the game, that one game will help his whole career. He know knows he can take a game over if he has to.

The Ravens have a great defense but it is getting old and Brady and company ,ay have all of the answers. With all of the offense this year it would be amazing if the 2 best defenses left in the playoffs make it to the Super Bowl.

People are saying been there done that but why not have great defenses play for a championship. The Giants are on a roll and I do not know if they can be beat but the home field advantage may be the difference for the Niners.

Have a great day.

Sunday, January 15, 2012

What a great Division round

Well It was not 5-0 but a 4-1 will work with the top play winning in San Francisco! It is very nice to see that the best defenses are the teams that got through. Alex Smith came of age on Saturday and the other first round pick Davis became a man right before your eyes.

I believe we will have the brothers facing off in the Super Bowl and nor travel issues on a short week will give the Niners a championship. I really thought that the Saints were the best team in the NFL but through 3 quarters their defense was unreal.

The Ravens found a way to win which was good for their againg defense as this might be the last chance for these guys for a few years.

The Giants did to the worst defense in football what you want to do, and that is destroy a shit defense. Green Bay as I had said would not win a playoff game. Smoke and mirrors folks. You now have 2 great defenses facing 2 offenses firing on all cylinders. This will make for an amazing two games.

NFL 52-36

NFL double plays 12-9

All respectable numbers for a year of to much offense. I look at defense and rushing as a huge part of what I do so to have a great playoffs is nice to see. It means that great defense still wins games.

NCAA Basketball 30-18

Another respectable number, Looking to win in all sports again this year.

Have a great day.

Saturday, January 14, 2012

Looks like a 5-0 run this weekend in the NFL

College basketball is in full swing and we are picking our spots really well right now. Looking for those few mistakes that will show up every now and again with so many games going on at once.

NCAA 30-18



NFL single unit plays 48-35

NFL double unit plays 11-9 Without the totals this season would have been a complete nightmare.

Divisional round playoffs for Saturday are as follows ....

Let us start on Sunday evening.

The New York Giants +9 The Giants are very hot right now and everyone is comparing this team to their Super Bowl winning year a few years ago. They are starting to run the football and Manning is playing the best he has all year. I have been saying all along that the Packers defense will not get them to the big game and I stand by this right now as well.

New York Giants OVER Both teams cannot stop the pass or the run at this time and scoring will come fast and often. Last team who has the ball wins the game is what it looks like.

Sunday again, we are doing this backwards but this is what I do.

Houston +9 The Texans and the Ravens will run the ball at all costs. With no turnovers this will be a low scoring game with a field goal in the end for the win.

Saturday will start these divisional games and Saturday looks very interesting.

Denver Bronco's +14 I will tell that if Denver puts up 250 yards on the ground in the first half as they did a few weeks ago, Denver will have a great chance to win the game outright. Yes Brady is awesome but even this team has lost it's last 3 playoff games.

The best play of the entire weekend will lead off all of the playoff games.

San Francisco Forty Niners +4 Wow, a team that has won 13 games and is the 2nd seed in the playoffs is getting over a field goal at home? It goes to show you that all the average better looks at is scoring. Offense is all everyone cares about now days. Here are a few reasons why San Francisco will win this game and move on to the NFC final.

The Niners defense gives up only 14 points a game to the 22 points a game for the Saints. The Niners only give up 77 yards on the ground and only one back has rushed for 100 yards against them. The Niners have only given up one rushing touchdown all year. Without a rushing game the Saints will have to rely only on their passing game. It is fantastic but one an NFL team knows what is coming, it will get shutdown or in this case slowed down.

The last fact and probably very overlooked, this game will be played in cold weather on a slow grass field. There is more....Candlestick is BELOW sea level. This will make all of the difference in a San Francisco defensive WIN.

all the plays are single units play but the San Francisco and Green Bay/New York Over are double plays. I would even say you can play the San Francisco game for 3 units if needed.

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

The Divisional playoffs, Bob Scans Style!!!

Now that was as boring as a big game could be. Pathetic. Congrats to Alabama, they dominated the L.S.U Tigers in every part of the game and now the teams are 1-1 against one another but Alabama is the National Championship.

College Basketball is running at a very nice clip right now with a solid mark of 28-17. It is better then being a loser.

The final College football numbers are.

Single unit plays 92-76 nothing fantastic but again better then losing.
Double unit plays 26-26 now that is a bad as it gets for me.

NFL single unit plays 48-35

NFL double unit plays 11-9 Without the totals this season would have been a complete nightmare.

Divisional round playoffs for Saturday are as follows ....

Let us start on Sunday evening.

The New York Giants +9 The Giants are very hot right now and everyone is comparing this team to their Super Bowl winning year a few years ago. They are starting to run the football and Manning is playing the best he has all year. I have been saying all along that the Packers defense will not get them to the big game and I stand by this right now as well.

New York Giants OVER Both teams cannot stop the pass or the run at this time and scoring will come fast and often. Last team who has the ball wins the game is what it looks like.

Sunday again, we are doing this backwards but this is what I do.

Houston +9 The Texans and the Ravens will run the ball at all costs. With no turnovers this will be a low scoring game with a field goal in the end for the win.

Saturday will start these divisional games and Saturday looks very interesting.

Denver Bronco's +14 I will tell that if Denver puts up 250 yards on the ground in the first half as they did a few weeks ago, Denver will have a great chance to win the game outright. Yes Brady is awesome but even this team has lost it's last 3 playoff games.

The best play of the entire weekend will lead off all of the playoff games.

San Francisco Forty Niners +4 Wow, a team that has won 13 games and is the 2nd seed in the playoffs is getting over a field goal at home? It goes to show you that all the average better looks at is scoring. Offense is all everyone cares about now days. Here are a few reasons why San Francisco will win this game and move on to the NFC final.

The Niners defense gives up only 14 points a game to the 22 points a game for the Saints. The Niners only give up 77 yards on the ground and only one back has rushed for 100 yards against them. The Niners have only given up one rushing touchdown all year. Without a rushing game the Saints will have to rely only on their passing game. It is fantastic but one an NFL team knows what is coming, it will get shutdown or in this case slowed down.

The last fact and probably very overlooked, this game will be played in cold weather on a slow grass field. There is more....Candlestick is BELOW sea level. This will make all of the difference in a San Francisco defensive WIN.

all the plays are single units play but the San Francisco and Green Bay/New York Over are double plays. I would even say you can play the San Francisco game for 3 units if needed.

Have a great day

Monday, January 9, 2012

LSU over Alabama and Tim does it again.

Today is the last Bowl game of the year. I hate to say Championship game because we have seen this show already this year. The BCS did a poor job of letting the season weed us down to the two best teams left standing.

To bad all the experts were once again wrong about Tim Tebow. He cannot win a playoff game? Well he threw for over 300 yards and beat a very good but injured Pittsburgh team. That will be the reason that Denver won this week, not because Tim picked his team up and led them to the win.

I am one who like Tebow because he is not a fake. Nothing to do with God or anything like that. He gave that un forgettable rant after losing to Mississippi State and folled up his words with actions and a National Championship. Love him or hate him you must respect the man. I did find it odd that he threw for 316 yards in his biggest pro moment. John 3:16........odd stuff indeed.

San Francisco and New Orleans will be the game of the week coming up. Already the San Francisco media is saying there is no way the Niners can win this game. This will give the Niners and their coaching staff the chip on their shoulder they will need to compete versus the Saints.

Can a great defense in today's NFL stop a great offense? I am sure the line and the bettors will say no.

College basketball has been very good in this early season and by going 3-1 yesterday we stand at a solid 28-17. Just trying to pick our spots and keep the plays to a minimum.

I love L.S.U tonight going for their 3rd win against a top 3 opponent, this has not been done since Notre Dame 1943. It is almost unfair that they must beat Alabama twice in a season. This is the hand that the BCS has given them and special teams will decide it all.

NCAA Football 93-75

L.S.U +3

NCAA Basketball 28-17

Pass

Have a great day.

Friday, January 6, 2012

The records are in and it is another winning season

This Bowl season has been an odd one for me. I have had 2 pushes that were pure winners and I have hit all my totals but one.

I have always been a side player, so with a record of 15-2 on totals this year in the NFL and college I must continue to look at totals going into next season. My record in the Bowl games is a very low percentage for me. I usually hit close to 70% overall with my Bowl plays but this year with so many favorites winning, I feel very lucky to be ahead of the game at all with this years Bowl plays.

NCAA Regular plays or 1 unit selections 92-73 +11.70 units

NCAA Regular plays or 1 unit selections BOWL Games 13-10 +2.00 units 57%

NCAA Top plays or 2 unit selections Bowl Games 4-3 +1.40 units
NCAA Total Bowl Plays including double units 21-16 57% + 3.40 units Bowls Only.

The College season with an overall look of +11.70 units is acceptable. I have to admit I am used to picking up closer to 20 units then 10 for the College Football season. Winning is winning and any win overall will do.

With a total of 6 selections left for my Bowl season and 2 double unit plays I can still get to over a 15.00 unit season, which would taste nice after all the work I have put into this season. The harder I worked the more big kicks were missed this year. As I said a winning season will always be acceptable.

NFL 47.35 +8.50 units at 57% I am very happy with my single unit selections. The public has had a wonderful season with a number of the easy looking plays hitting every week.

NFL 10-8 +2.40 units The double play record has been most un pleasant. Games that I have counted on in the past just did not hit this year. Again a number of easy looking games, the public hit and I did not.

I know a number of big time bettors that would take 57% all day long and twice on Sunday. I like the look of the playoffs but they will be very tough. I have One very strong double play on Sunday and a couple of weaker plays on the rest of the slate.

I love to teach people how to win. It is one the best parts about being a handicapper. I will admit I have been talking to a young man in Chicago that is on the right road and in the long run this young man will be a long term winner.

Twice this year he went against me hard. In both instances he came out ahead of the game. I almost hated that he won and not because I was wrong but his logic was on the easy side. He said that in College Football that Houston would crush Penn State and I of course had the tough looking play. I took the better defense and the side that only alumni were on. I gave a number of reasons of why Penn State would cover the over inflated number and it did not happen. In the future this one easy looking bet could cost this young man a number of losses.

The second play was the New York Giants over the Dallas Cowboys. My friend again beat me at my own game and this could cost him a number of losses in the future. The NFC has a fact that underdogs do very well in East VS East. Against the number it is very close to 70% over the last 5 years or more. He said he liked the Giants because they were at home and had to win. it has been my observation that the Public loves these games and the Books make a killing. It did not happen this way. I had the Cowboys as my game of the year and they barley showed up.

I am very happy that my friend cashed a bet. I just do not want this to cost him in the future. Games like that where the public makes a killing, make games in the future that will win big for the Books look to easy.

Fuulcardreports.com!!!!!!! If you want to be a winning horse player the only way to play is with fullcardreports.com. Yesterday with just a quick look I hit a very nice 9-1 shot (20-1 ML) with a 206 exacta and a 773 trifecta. Remember fullcardreports.com.

Today I have 2 NCAA Bowl plays.

Kansas State +10 Look for a number of big plays from the well coached Kansas State team. They have a very nice rushing edge and a power rating edge. This line is out of whack. Kansas State is 7-1 as an underdog this year and are a plus 16 in turnovers. Ask Clemson how tough it is to cover as a favorite when you turn the ball over.

Kansas State Over 63.5 A 2 UNIT PLAY. As I said above, look for a number of big plays from both teams. Although I look for State to run the ball well, this does not mean time consuming drives. The coach of Arkansas is a bit of a punk and if he has the chance to rub it in he will. Both teams will average scoring drives of less then 3 minutes at a time and this does wonders for big time overs. The weakness of the Arkansas defense is against the run, giving up close to 5 yards a carry. The weakness of the State defense is the pass. They rank 104th verse the pass. So it is a classic strength on offense against the weakness on both defenses. The two teams are a combined 17-5 to the over this season. 77% to the over.

Have a great day.

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

The Bowls are as cold as ICE and that will not last. Join this late Party!!!

The Bowl games have started with a very tough 2 wins 4 losses. All losses a score away from a cover. The very small favorites are winning and that usually does not happen. I really cannot say enough about this Sunday in the NFL.

There are so many teams alive or kinda alive, it;s gonna be a crazy scoreboard watching Sunday for many teams.

I hope some of you had the chance to take a look at fullcardreports.com. The very first day of Santa Anita had a very nice everyday easy play on fullcardreports.com. A 12-1 shot that at first glance anyone looking at the reports would have been able to at worse have the winner. Following easy betting instructions, one would have made a very nice score. Win Bet, Exacta, Trifecta and a few other exotics. Do not play the races unless you have fullcardreports.com.

Tonight 81-66 NCAA Football plays

Air Force +3

Air Force Over 70

California +4

I can tell you this, so far in the NFL for Sunday I have ONE very strong perfect play.

Dallas Cowboys +3 A NFC East dog is never a tough call. Those dogs tend to win at an amazing clip this year.

I do not have a favorite team in the NFL and could care less about who wins this game and goes to the playoffs. I say this so everyone knows that there is NONE emotion with this top play.

Have a great day.

Monday, December 26, 2011

The results are winning and the handicapping solid

A very nice Christmas Eve result. 3 wins 1 loss and another great set of games for the last NFL regular season weekend of the year. It is great that so many teams have everything to play for in the last week of the season.

The up coming Bowl Games will make you a ton of cash to pay off all your credit card bills. I have a handful of double plays and 10 other very strong plays that will go off in the next 9 or 10 days.

Tonight look for Atlanta to put up a valiant fight to make the playoffs. The Saints are probably the best team in football right now, but that seems to change every few weeks.

The masses would love to see the Patriots against the Packers in a shoot out for the Super Bowl but there those out there that wouldn't mind seeing great defense and running the ball at a premium with the Forty Niners against the Ravens. How ever it works out the playoffs will be a wonderful ride.

NFL 46-33

Atlanta +7
Atlanta Over 53

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Have a great day.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

2 weeks to go and most games are relavent.

Happy Holidays. I do hope everyone has a swell holiday in whatever way it is celebrated. Today we have a great slate on NFL games to choose from. A very rare thing with only 2 weeks left in the season.

NFL 43-33 one unit plays

NFL 10-6 Two unit plays

Oakland Raiders +3 The Kansas City Chiefs spoiled the Packers perfect season with a wonderful game plan to stop the Packers. The Chiefs also killed the Raiders in Oakland in the first meeting between these to biter rivals. I look for the Raiders to establish their run game early and then have a few big plays with play action as the game goes along. With Kansas City celebrating like they had won the Super Bowl last week....It is a huge letdown situation!!! Kansas City is now favored by 3 points and with the big win last week and the Raiders losing streak the public will be all over the Chiefs. A solid one unit play.

Miami Dolphins +10 This is another chance for a reversal of fortune game. The Patriots truly crushed the Dolphins in the first match up. The Dolphins have a very solid defense, that has gotten better as the season has gone along. The quarterback play has also been getting better as the season has moved along. The Patriots are running on all cylinders, but they do have some gaping holes in the defense. Although Denver ended up losing in a big way to the Patriots, Early on Denver ran for close to 200 yards in the first half alone. Denver fumbled 3 times in a row and the game was done. With the problems on defense the Patriots will have a tougher time with a well balanced offense by Miami. A nice one unit selection on the Miami Dolphins.

San Diego Chargers +3 December is here and the Chargers are once again looking to save their season by sweeping the December games. The Chargers have been winning rather easily the last few weeks. Once Rivers stopped throwing picks, his team started winning. The Lions won again last week by coming from behind. The Raiders weakness is their pass defense and that's all the Lions can do. Throw, throw, throw. The Lions gave up a ton of yards and before the last 2 drives in the Oakland game Stafford was getting a beating. It can be said that the Chargers right now are a better football team all around then the Raiders, this will prove to be the undoing of the Lions and their single minded offense. Balance wins late in the season and the Chargers have balance on both sides of the ball. A big 2 unit play on the San Diego Chargers.

San Francisco Forty Niners -1 This game has the look of Vegas begging everyone to play on San Francisco. This looks to be a tough spot for San Francisco. They beat Pittsburgh last week in a very physical game. A short week and Seattle is a very hot team right now. A funny thing has happened in Vegas. The public has jumped all over Seattle. I went from seeing a tough situation to looking at the how Seattle has been winning their games. Seattle has been rushing the football at a rapid rate. Lynch has had big games and with all that running even the Seattle quarterback is hitting just enough big plays to be a winner. San Francisco only gives up 70 yards a game and if they stuff the run interceptions will follow. This game is a reverser play.
A solid one unit selection on the San Francisco Forty Niners.

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Tuesday, December 20, 2011

You cannot lose with Fullcardreports.com, free sports picks!!!

Sunday was a bit of a Debbie Downer, but a nice rebound on Monday. Now the NFL stands at 43-32 regular plays.
10-6 Top plays.

I usually do not play the under in a game. It is just to tough to watch but that was the 2nd under that I have played all year and I am 2-0. The other was L.S.U at Alabama. That number was in the 40s and the books had to circle the game. Which meant limited amounts of wagers, and the books thought they had a bad number. They really did have a bad number and got cracked by a lot of bettors.

NCAA Football regular plays 81-64
NCAA Football Top plays 21-21

Bowl games 2-1 included in the above records.

Florida International today at -4. I love those small schools. The only game I lost so far with the Bowls is Utah State. They looked the better team the whole game and just couldn't finish the job.

I can say there will not be many plays on Saturday or Sunday in the NFL coming up. A very tough week for what I do.

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NCAA Football 81-64 +10.60 units

Florida International -4

NCAA Basketball 18-9 +8.10 units

St Boneventure -1.5

Wright State +3

LA Tech +2

Oakland +9

NHL 5-5 +1.25 units

Nashville +110

New York Rangers -115

Buffalo +100

Minnesota +115

Have a great day.

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

20 teams alive and 3 weeks to go. HOW FUN IS THIS

As a sports handicapper, I will give you the number one advice you will ever get. This advice will save you hundreds, thousands or with big bettors millions! Here it is folks.

Just because a team has to win does not mean that the team will win or cover!!!

AFC

The AFC is as wild as it gets this late in a season. You have 9 teams alive for 6 spots. Two of the divisions are all wrapped up. The Houston Texans(10-3) with all of their injury problems have won their division. The Texans also have a great chance to be the number one seed.

The New England Patriots(10-3) have a two game lead with 3 games left to play, so they are locked in. It is a matter of do they have enough to get that number 1 seed.

The Baltimore Ravens(10-3) are tied for the top spot in their division with the Pittsburgh Steelers(10-3) but with the Ravens beating Pittsburgh twice, it gives the Ravens the lead for the division title.

The Denver Bronco's(8-5) have come from nowhere to take a one game lead over the Oakland Raiders(7-6). This is really a 2 game lead with other tie breakers. The Bronco's will face their toughest challenge during the winning streak coming up on Sunday. The New England Patriots come calling and Denver might not be able to keep up with the Patriot fireworks show.


Here is where it gets very interesting. The 2 wildcards will come from these 6 teams. N.Y Jets(8-5) and since their coach said they were going to win it all, it is a must to get to the playoffs. Pittsburgh Steelers(10-3) Only thing holding them back from their own title is the 2 losses to the Baltimore Ravens. Cincinnati Bengals(7-6) They may have ruined their dreams with that heart breaking loss against Houston last week. Tennessee Titans(7-6) If the referee had seen the easiest face mask call in the history of the NFL, the Titans would be in a much better position. Oakland Raiders(7-6) The last thing I would have thought I would write about the Oakland Raiders is that they have no heart. To no show 2 weeks in a row, with the talent that Hugh has brought in to make the playoffs now....Is shameful. There has been injuries and the star quarterback is learning on the fly, but the moves made for this team are for now. San Diego Chargers(6-7) Some how some way the Chargers never go away.

Who will have the best chance to wrap up those 2 spots? In no order, let's see what we can figure out with this wild bunch.

Pittsburgh Steelers 10-3 With 3 games left Pittsburgh probably only needs one more win to secure a playoff spot. San Francisco(10-3) comes up this Monday, this will be their toughest contest. Both teams have a lot to play for and it will be a full throttle game. The Rams(2-11) come up next and the back ups could beat the Rams. They finish up with Cleveland(4-9)which will be a good game. When Pittsburgh goes up against the Browns, it is always closer then it should be. That game will also depend on if the Steelers have a chance to win their division.

New York Jets 8-5 With 3 games left, the Jets are the front runner for one of the spots. The Jets have the Philadelphia Eagles(5-8) The Eagles have a little something to play for, which will mean they will be playing for keeps. The Jets should be able to get by the Eagles and as a 3 point dog I do have a nice play on the Jets. The Jets next game is against the New York Giants(9-7) who are in the middle of their own playoff battle. The Giants have a very tough time running the football and will have to rely on the pass. The Jets have not had the greatest defensive year, this game will go down to the wire. The last game for the Jets is the Miami Dolphins(4-9). The Dolphins have no coach, no chance of getting Luck in the draft and not a lot to play for. I see the Jets finishing the season at 10-6. That is a magic number to make the playoffs in years past. Last year for the first time in the history of the league 2 teams with 10 wins did not make the playoffs. 10-6 this year will get a team into the dance, so go J....E....T....S

Cincinnati Bengals 7-6 With 3 games left the Bengals will have to win at least 2 of those games. The Bengals have had a very tough few weeks. They are playing well enough to win every game but they are not finishing games off. The Bengals have done enough to save their head coaches job, now they have to make the playoffs. The Bengals do have a good offense, which is very young and this group will build into something good over the next few years. The Cincinnati defense is no wimp. They only give up 21 points a game and barley 100 yards on the ground. The ST Louis Rams(2-11) are first on the list and that is a good thing for their chance at the playoffs. the Rams are not playing well enough in any faze of the game to hang with the Bengals. The 2nd game for the Bengals is the must have game. Arizona(6-7) is playing the best that they have played all year. The Cardinals just came off of a must win against the Forty Niners to keep their playoff long shot hopes alive. The best part for Cincinnati is they are getting Arizona at home. This is one of those games that will go down to the wire. Of course the toughest game of the 3 comes last. Baltimore(10-3) might be fighting for their division life or an outside shot at a top seed or a 2nd seed. The best thing for Cincinnati would be for the Ravens to have nothing to play for. The way I see it, Cincinnati finishes with a 9-7 record. It will be a coin flip situation to see if that is good enough to get the final spot.

Tennessee Titans 7-6 With 3 games left, the Titans hit a road block when the face mask that wasn't ....well was not called. It cost the Titans the chance to tie the game. They may have not gone on to get the job done against the Saints but it would have been nice to have it done right. The 0-13 Colts are up first for the Titans. That game should be a win. Not much more to say about that weak game. The 2nd game up is Jacksonville, another game that the Titans should get an easy win. The last game for the Titans will be their toughest task. Houston(10-3)If the number one seed is all wrapped up this could be a wonderful chance for the Titans to finish 3-0 over the last three weeks of the season. To bad for them that might not be enough to get the job done. I believe that the Titans will sweep the last three games and end their season at 10-6! If this does happen then we will have a team between Pittsburgh, NY Jets and Tennessee that have 10 wins or more and miss the dance.

Oakland Raiders 7-6 With 3 games left I said before the season that Oakland would not win more then 7 games. With the gutsy moves that this team has made, I honestly hope that I was wrong. This is a team that even sweeping the last 3 games of their season, will need help from Denver or the other 4 teams I have mentioned above. The entire Raider season will come down to this weeks game against the Lions(8-5) The bad part for the Raiders is they give up a ton yards via the pass and that is all the Lions can do. They will have to have a balanced attack with the running game leading the way. The more rest that the defense gets, the better chance they will have to slow down the Lion offense. The Kansas City Chiefs(5-8) are next for the Raiders. The Raiders should be able to win easily against the Chiefs. If the don't care Oakland team shows up then they will lose this game and the next. The last game for Oakland is against the ever rising Chargers(6-7). The Raiders almost have to hope that San Diego is out of it. I have a feeling , if the Chargers are alive the raiders will bet blown out of the stadium. I see the Raiders finishing at 8-8. Then they will have to build with free agents and trades. The Raiders got rid of any draft pick with these trades that will have gotten nothing done.

San Diego Chargers 6-7 With Baltimore Ravens(10-3) this week it all comes down to this week. They will not get a wild card berth. They have one chance. They have to have Denver and Oakland tank. Then they must sweep the board. I see them ending the season at 8-8 like the Oakland Raiders.

The way we see it.

AFC Division Winners

East...New England Patriots 12-4
North....Baltimore Ravens 12-4
South....Houston Texans 13-3
West....Denver Broncos 10-6

AFC Wild Card Winners

Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4
In this case Baltimore will have the same record but Pittsburgh lost to the Ravens twice. That will give the division title to the Ravens.

New York Jets and Tennessee Titans 10-6 This will cause another 10-6 team to miss the playoffs. In most cases 10 wins is more then enough to get you invited to the dance.

NFC


The NFC has a total of 11 teams involved in the chase for the Superbowl. Funny part is the top team of all top teams is in the NFC. There will be little argument that the Green Bay Packers are riding very high. I am a handicapper that really does believe in defense and controlling the game on the ground. Both on offense and defense. It is very tough for me to see a one sided team rule the football world. I believe their offense is incredible. They can almost score at will via the air. I also believe that you have to be able to close out a game by grinding out a few late game first downs. The packers have figured out how to do this by really using their short passing game as a running game. The Packers give up 21 points a game and over 100 yards a game on the ground. This means that teams can move the football on them. You would not see stats like this on a team that is going to go 16-0. There is no doubt about this outcome. With who they play the last 3 games they will not have to play their starters to get the job done. There is no doubt in my mind that the Packers will not win the Superbowl or get to the big game.

The Green Bay Packers 13-0 With 3 games remaining versus weak teams, it looks like an easy 16-0 regular season. Your number one seed and more then deserving.

San Francisco Forty Niners 10-3 With 3 games left the Niners have a lot to play for and a chance to get the 2nd seed. This week San Francisco has a very strong test with Pittsburgh coming to town. With San Francisco it is pace makes the game. In a tight game with few points scored the Niners can get a lead and their great defense can shut any team down. I see the Niners finishing at 12-4.

New Orleans Saints 10-3 With 3 games left the Saints are in the drivers seat over the Atlanta Falcons. The only winning team that they play is the Atlanta Falcons. With Minnesota and Carolina as the only other teams they have to face, the division looks to be the Saints. We see the Saints ending at 12-4.

New York Giants 7-6 In the NFC East. The division that no team wants. On a weekly basis the division is given to one team or another. At the start of the year, the East looked as though it would take at least 11 or 12 wins to get the job done. The Giants have 3 games left and they could win all 3 or lose all 3. Yes it is that nuts. Looks like 8-8 for the Giants.

NFC Wild Cards. This is where the real fun starts! You have 7 teams for 2 spots.

Dallas Cowboys 7-6 With 3 games left and zero consistency, it should be a crazy ride. Game one of the 3 and the Cowboys get a break by getting Tampa Bay. This should be a game that Dallas owns with no problems. games 2 and 3 are gonna decide division and knockout one or two teams from wild card consideration. I have the Cowboys going 8-8 on the year. Nothing cleared up here.

Philadelphia Eagles 5-8 The eagles have 3 games left and have underachieved all season long. A 3-0 over the last 3 games and at least they have some sort of redemption. I said some sort not full redemption. The problem with trying to go 3-0 over the next three weeks is the Eagles have a very tough schedule. As much as I would love to see the three top teams in the East all be 8-8 and wait for all the fun tie breakers I cannot see the Eagles winning but one of their last 3 games. So as we see it the Eagles finish at 6-10.

Detroit Lions 8-5 The Lions have 3 games left and have to be at the top of the mental midget team of all time. This team has a ton of talent and could not handle becoming winners. Their coach lost control of his team and instead of just playing solid tough hard hitting football, they had to show just how ignorant and selfish to a man a team can be. This team showed little or no class in winning or losing. Their best chance at a win is this week against the Oakland Raiders. This is the heartless bowl. About 6 weeks ago I called for the Lions to finish at 8-8 on the year. I have amended that a little bit. I believe that the Lions will find a way to get one more win on the season. We see the Lions finishing at 9-7. I think that is as good as it gets for Detroit.

Chicago Bears 7-6 Three weeks ago before losing their quarterback and the next week their all pro running back, it looked like the Bears were on their way to something very special. Now the Bears are hoping to limp into the playoffs. It really looks like an 8-8 finish for the Chicago Bears. I believe that might be giving them one more win then they will get. They may not be able to hang with Minnesota in the final game of the season. A tough way to end their year.

Atlanta Falcons 8-5 With 3 games left it looks like the Falcons will grab one of the Wild Card spots. They will have earned it. Unlike every other team looking for a playoff spot in the NFC, the Falcons will be winning their way into the dance. Worse case for the Falcons is a 2-1 record over the last 3 weeks. Even if they were able to sweep their way into the playoffs, it looks like the Saints will have done enough to win their division. We see the Falcons finishing the season at 10-6. A solid follow up season to their number one seed last year.

Seattle 6-7 With 3 weeks to go Seattle has been playing very solid football with their running back Lynch leading the way. If you would have said at the start of the year that Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona were a better threesome then Dallas, New York and Philadelphia, people would have thought you drunk. Looks like wins against Chicago and Arizona are possible and a tough game against San Francisco makes for a good chance at a 9-7 record. I see them finishing the season at 8-8. A very strong finish to a tough start to the year.

Arizona 6-7 With 3 games left Arizona also looks to be playing their best football as the season comes to a close. It is sad that they are playing a Bengals team who is looking towards their own playoff berth to end the season. In the case of Arizona it is Larry Fitzgerald carrying the load. He is an amazing player who can man handle any secondary. We look for Arizona to finish at 8-8.

NFC Division Winners

East....New York Giants 8-8
North....Green Bay Packers 16-0
South....New Orleans Saints 12-4
West....San Francisco 49ers 12-4

NFC Wild Card Winners

Atlanta Falcons 10-6

Detroit Lions 9-7 and the Seattle Seahawks 9-7
I don't know how the tie breakers will workout here but what an amazing finish we are in for this season.

The fun part here is as a handicapper at the start of three weeks to go, we have 20 teams still alive for a number of playoff spots.

NCAA Basketball 14-6

Iona -3

Auburn -1.5

College of Charleston -2.5

NHL 5-3 +3.25

Ottawa +150

Minnesota +125

Have a great day.














Monday, December 12, 2011

The dead are alive and the alive are fading

After a great start on Sunday, it ended up being a right down the middle type of day. Going 2-2 with our regular plays and 2-2 with our double plays. Some of the outcomes yesterday raised some teams from the dead and brought others down to earth.

In the last 3 minutes of the Sunday night game, the Giants not only hurt the Cowboys. The Giants pumped a little life into the Philadelphia eagles. It is not much but the Eagles are alive. The Cowboys were a open pass away from ending the Giants and Eagles seasons. A game of inches.

Earlier in the day Denver was about to let all of their good work go to waste when Marion Barber decided to not take a hit and stay in bounds, but to casually waltz out of bounds and stop the clock. The Broncos got the ball back with no timeouts and 56 seconds on the clock. TEBOW time. After going 3-15 the first 3 quarters, Mister Tebow completed 75 % of his passes in the 4th quarter and overtime and put the dagger in another team. Tim Tebow is the 3rd ranked quarterback in the 4th quarter behind Eli Manning and Aaron Rogers this season. The man is a winner.

With the crazy win by Denver and the Raiders for the 2nd week in a row not making the trio to the stadium, brings the San Diego Chargers back to life. The Chargers over the last 5 years have the best record in December in football history. If San Diego could start a season just splitting out their early games they could be a dynasty.

One more quick note. With the Raiders down 0-31 at the end of the first half, history was made. A Raider team has never been that far behind at the half in the history of the franchise.

The Forty Niners finally got caught kicking to many field goals. In what should have been a first half blowout turned into a nail biter then a close lose. I had been waiting to see what would happen if Alex Smith had to come to the rescue late in a game. He had 3 chances in the 4th quarter and failed to move the football.

The change with that game is the Niners, who looked to have the 2nd seed all wrapped up a few weeks ago are now in real trouble of having no bye and only one home game. With a win they will have to go to New Orleans or Green Bay a week earlier then hoped.

The Raiders, Chargers, San Francisco, Philadelphia and the N.Y Giants must win out in order to have a shot at the playoffs. This will make for many meaningful games coming down the stretch and in turn many betting opportunities.

I do have to mention the NBA. Wow what a tangled web the NBA office has weaved. Why have general managers? There have been many one sided trades in the NBA for decades and now you get a fair trade all the way around and the NBA voids said trade. Does not make any sense at all. The owner of the Cavaliers was upset that the Lakers would be under the cap and his team would not benefit financially if this was the case. A joke.

NFL 37-28 +6.20 units

Seattle Over

NFL double plays 9-5 +7.00 units

Sunday, December 11, 2011

Looks like a very solid Sunday in the NFL

Another big day on Saturday, hope you all had a chance to cash for free.

NFL 35-26

Kansas City +10.5

NY Giants +4
NY Giants Over 50

Oakland +11.5

NFL top 7-3

Houston +3

Jacksonville +3

San Francisco -3

Buffalo +7

Have a great day.

Saturday, December 3, 2011

The Sunday of fun starts early and often including College Basketball

Well everyone is due a bad day. I had one of those yesterday. It was a fun day of watching football and Oklahoma State may have made the statement they needed to make.

NCAA 78-63 Still respectable and worth a huge bowl season to make this season a real doozy.

College Basketball has had a solid handicapping start with a 5-2 record. Look for the usual suspects by the end of the dance. Keep track of the best gaurd combos in the country to have great spread years.

NCAA 5-2 +2.80 units

Whichita State -2

Northwestern -3

San Diego State pk

NFL regular plays 34-23 +8.70 units

Cincinnati +7

Carolina +3

Oakland +4

Detroit +10

NFL Top Plays 5-2 +5.60 units

Houston +3

Denver pk

Have a great day.