It is amazing what happens when you get sick and blogging is the last thing on your mind. I have so much to update.
My football year has been incredible and the money has been great. This years totals have been outstanding.
NCAA 1 selections have been the hallmark this year with a 101-76 +14.40 units 57%
NCAA Double plays are again at the top of the world with 39'24 units 62%
NFL single units plays have been steady and ready to roll 60-36 at 62 % +8.20 units
NFL double plays have been down this year but the playoffs look outstanding 20-16 at 56% +4.80 units
All 4 sections are winning at a great rate and I have won a number of contest weeks along with the top 5 in a year long contest in Las Vegas.
This is a very tough week for all of football but my slant towards the better defenses and taking care of the football has put us on some crazy games.
NCAA single unit play
North Dakota State -1.5
NCAA double unit selections are looking solid.
Pittsburgh +3.5
NFL Double unit selections
Minnesota +8
Cincinnati +4.5
Indianapolis +7
Indianapolis Over 47
Washington +3
I have write ups on all of them but most of the time people just want the picks, so there are the picks.
Bob Scans
Sportsdevils Sports Information
Saturday, January 5, 2013
Tuesday, March 6, 2012
NCAA and NBA look to be a huge profitable day
Well it was nice to see V.C.U take care of business and not have to wait around for the call like Drexel will have to do this week. Drexel went 19-1 over their last 20 games and deserve to play in the tournament.
Detroit taking care of Valparaiso was a great move for them as well and if Valparaiso doesn't get the nod they can look at one of the bottom Big East teams that do not deserve to represent as the bullshit pick to dance.
For the most part things have gone as predicted, with a one or two seed winning their conference tournaments. This will allow for some of the teams that lost in their conference finals to get the well deserved invite. No real upsets of any kind this year.
I am a big believer in Stanford, California, Arizona, Washington getting the chance to play for it all this year but the PAC 12 will probably only get 2 teams in. The reason being is for some reason the selection guys will overload the tournament with Big East teams again. I even like Oregon and or Oregon State to get in but it will not happen.
I will say it again watch out for Belmont who lost by 3 to Duke and had a real chance to beat Duke but came up short. Belmont will probably get a 12 seed which they really deserve a 5 seed at worst.
NCAA Basketball 114-109
West Virginia +2
East Carolina +1
Houston +4
Tulane +7 A don't make sense play at it's highest level.
Stanford -9 The Cardinal must win at least 2 games to even get a look to the dance.
Colorado -13 My Best play of the day.
NBA 40-32
Utah -7
Lakers -7
Atlanta +12
Chicago -7
Portland +2
New York +7
New Orleans +5
Memphis +1
This is a day of many play's and the largest number of NBA plays by double of any day this year.
Have a great day.
Detroit taking care of Valparaiso was a great move for them as well and if Valparaiso doesn't get the nod they can look at one of the bottom Big East teams that do not deserve to represent as the bullshit pick to dance.
For the most part things have gone as predicted, with a one or two seed winning their conference tournaments. This will allow for some of the teams that lost in their conference finals to get the well deserved invite. No real upsets of any kind this year.
I am a big believer in Stanford, California, Arizona, Washington getting the chance to play for it all this year but the PAC 12 will probably only get 2 teams in. The reason being is for some reason the selection guys will overload the tournament with Big East teams again. I even like Oregon and or Oregon State to get in but it will not happen.
I will say it again watch out for Belmont who lost by 3 to Duke and had a real chance to beat Duke but came up short. Belmont will probably get a 12 seed which they really deserve a 5 seed at worst.
NCAA Basketball 114-109
West Virginia +2
East Carolina +1
Houston +4
Tulane +7 A don't make sense play at it's highest level.
Stanford -9 The Cardinal must win at least 2 games to even get a look to the dance.
Colorado -13 My Best play of the day.
NBA 40-32
Utah -7
Lakers -7
Atlanta +12
Chicago -7
Portland +2
New York +7
New Orleans +5
Memphis +1
This is a day of many play's and the largest number of NBA plays by double of any day this year.
Have a great day.
Monday, March 5, 2012
NCAA Basketball is rising to the top
After a couple weeks off it is time to get back to handicapping. I have a few very nice plays tonight in College Basketball and the NBA keeps going very well. Pace of the game is huge this time of year. There is no more pure home court advantage, you will find home state advantage and that is simply not the same as home court.
Who are the sleepers this year? Butler will not make another run this year as they will not get an invite to the dance. UCONN is hanging by a thread and will need a couple wins in the Big East tournament to get their invite. This was the situation that they were in last year and they decided to not lose another game.
The so called mid major's will make an impression this year. A small example is the WCC. ST Mary's, Gonzaga and BYU will all make the dance. These three teams will have more wins then a major conference with 2 times the teams or 3 times the teams. I don't know why it works this way but it will happen.
One of the it teams is Tennessee which I think should not make the tournament over a team like V.C.U which has done more then enough to make another run. I have Drexel beating them today in their finals match up.
Reaching into the way back machine Valparaiso has a very solid team and if healthy a sweet 16 trip is not out of the question. The pac 12 will be overlooked but if Washington gets in, I look for a sweet 16 trip by them as well.
In the end look for the usual suspects such as Kentucky, North Carolina, Syracuse and Duke to make a huge run at the title. North Carolina will get my nod to win it all and their are questions weather or not they will get a number 1 seed.
One last team that could scare anyone and everyone is Belmont. They run and gun and will outscore anyone. That is my super sleeper.
NCAA 108-106
Drexel +2.5
North Texas -1.5
Ball State +4
ST Mary's +3
Loyola Maryland +3
South Dakota State -12
NBA 38-28
Golden State -1
Clippers +3
Philadelphia -1.5
Have a great day.
Who are the sleepers this year? Butler will not make another run this year as they will not get an invite to the dance. UCONN is hanging by a thread and will need a couple wins in the Big East tournament to get their invite. This was the situation that they were in last year and they decided to not lose another game.
The so called mid major's will make an impression this year. A small example is the WCC. ST Mary's, Gonzaga and BYU will all make the dance. These three teams will have more wins then a major conference with 2 times the teams or 3 times the teams. I don't know why it works this way but it will happen.
One of the it teams is Tennessee which I think should not make the tournament over a team like V.C.U which has done more then enough to make another run. I have Drexel beating them today in their finals match up.
Reaching into the way back machine Valparaiso has a very solid team and if healthy a sweet 16 trip is not out of the question. The pac 12 will be overlooked but if Washington gets in, I look for a sweet 16 trip by them as well.
In the end look for the usual suspects such as Kentucky, North Carolina, Syracuse and Duke to make a huge run at the title. North Carolina will get my nod to win it all and their are questions weather or not they will get a number 1 seed.
One last team that could scare anyone and everyone is Belmont. They run and gun and will outscore anyone. That is my super sleeper.
NCAA 108-106
Drexel +2.5
North Texas -1.5
Ball State +4
ST Mary's +3
Loyola Maryland +3
South Dakota State -12
NBA 38-28
Golden State -1
Clippers +3
Philadelphia -1.5
Have a great day.
Friday, February 17, 2012
March is coming
Took a couple day's to lick my gapping wounds from the Super Bowl. First of all the Niners should have been there. 2nd of all the Patriots had a solid 8 point lead and after the lead had been knocked down to two the Patriots were in a spot to score very late and leave little or no time on the clock for Manning and company.
Who would believe that one of the best possesion recievers of this age dropped a 2nd down pass that would have put the ball on the 20. So Brady is being totured and being told he cannot win the big one but really one play does not make a legend not.
I am a fan of no one but I love defense and rushing which made this Super Bowl a farce for me as you had two poor defenses although they were both underated. I geuss it just must be that easy. Play the hot team or the seemingly hot team.
NCAA Basketball 90-88 nothing great and the odds makers are reallhy that good. I cannot tell you how many half point losses and wins I have had wow.
NBA 33-24 I hate the NBA but the stats this year have not lied.
Have a great day.
Who would believe that one of the best possesion recievers of this age dropped a 2nd down pass that would have put the ball on the 20. So Brady is being totured and being told he cannot win the big one but really one play does not make a legend not.
I am a fan of no one but I love defense and rushing which made this Super Bowl a farce for me as you had two poor defenses although they were both underated. I geuss it just must be that easy. Play the hot team or the seemingly hot team.
NCAA Basketball 90-88 nothing great and the odds makers are reallhy that good. I cannot tell you how many half point losses and wins I have had wow.
NBA 33-24 I hate the NBA but the stats this year have not lied.
Have a great day.
Saturday, February 11, 2012
Tech plays on the hardwood, Horses are hot as hell
Now if you are a horse player today is the day!!! fullcardreports.com, Take a look at the wonderful card at Gulfstream Park today. There is a wonderful card where fullcardreports.com is going to make a bunch of money.
If you take a look at the videos on fullcardreports.com you will find that the last few days have been masterpieces. There has been so much money made by fullcardreports.com customers there has been many signers.
From Sunland Park, to Aqueduct, Turfway Park, Sam Houston and many other tracks with so many horses paying 20 plus dollars that have been right at the top of the report. The public has no idea why these horses pop up and pay 40 dollars after showing nothing the last few starts. The public thinks fluke. The fullcardreports.com customer knew it was coming.
Oh yes Oaklawn Park a little 40 dollar horse that after looking at the report you wouls have had the winner, exacta, trifecta and Boom!!!
Yesterday with 2 minutes to post I opened my reports to see a standout within seconds and as that horse that finished 8 of 9, last and last in the horses last 3 races I had no problem seeing the pace was in my favor and all the exactas were paying very well.
Oh yes then there was the single by 3 by 4 by 4 for a 36 dollar pick 4 ticket that paid a lousy 577 bucks. Mid stretch it looked like the 2600 payoff was in order but the favorite caught em and the payoff was 577.
Invested 70 bucks and a return of ....Win Bet 20 bucks return 188, exacta bet 14 bucks, return 188, pick 4 36 bucks invested, return 577. Outlay 70 and return of 953. It took me 2 minutes to post to put all of this together with full confidence.
That is just one example and there were 10 or more over the last couple days. Fullcardreports.com....Be A WINNER.
NCAA Basketball 76-69 +.10 unit.
James Madison -7
Louisville +4
Dayton -7
Southern Illinois +8
Kansas State +5
Western Kentucky +2
V.C.U +1
Illinois Chicago +1.5
Cincinnat +7
New Mexico State +2 I have them winning by 15 points.
South Alabama -6
California +3
Clemson -4 I have them winning by 16 points
Whichita State +2
Washington State +7
Colorado -4 I have them winning by 7
UMASS +6.5 I have them winning by 7 giving them a 14 point advantage.
North Texas +5 I have them winning by 9 giving them a 14 point advantage.
Illinois State +7
Oklahoma -6 I have them winning by 17.
Kentucky -5 I have them winning by 15 points giving them a 10 point advantage.
San Francisco -2 I have them winning by 14 giving them a 12 point advantage.
Boise State +2
Tulane +6 I have them winning by 11 giving them a 16 point advantage.
Xavier +6
CS Northridge +10
LA Tech +7
Nevada -8
All the games with no notes have at least a 6 point advantage. The best plays are the plays with the notes. Those games have a 10 point advantage or more.
These are called tech plays they are made up of an incredible numbers formula that has taken years of work and will win you money. You must have a monay management plan. Do not go putting 50 bucks on one game and 600 on a top play. This numbers formula is patened and will soon cost a bunch of money to enjoy. Today I am feeling happy so they are free.
NBA 24-19
Clippers -10
New York +7
Portland +4
Phoenix +3
These games are also tech plays. The same numbers plan as college and will hit 60% this year and all years.
We are fully into the hoops season so it is time to make some basketball cash. The one thing in the NBA you must pay attention to the schedules because they are a mess and you can run into some great schedule plays. Such as teams playing 3 games in 3 days or a team playing 6 games in 7 days. Pay attention and get paid.
Have a great day.
If you take a look at the videos on fullcardreports.com you will find that the last few days have been masterpieces. There has been so much money made by fullcardreports.com customers there has been many signers.
From Sunland Park, to Aqueduct, Turfway Park, Sam Houston and many other tracks with so many horses paying 20 plus dollars that have been right at the top of the report. The public has no idea why these horses pop up and pay 40 dollars after showing nothing the last few starts. The public thinks fluke. The fullcardreports.com customer knew it was coming.
Oh yes Oaklawn Park a little 40 dollar horse that after looking at the report you wouls have had the winner, exacta, trifecta and Boom!!!
Yesterday with 2 minutes to post I opened my reports to see a standout within seconds and as that horse that finished 8 of 9, last and last in the horses last 3 races I had no problem seeing the pace was in my favor and all the exactas were paying very well.
Oh yes then there was the single by 3 by 4 by 4 for a 36 dollar pick 4 ticket that paid a lousy 577 bucks. Mid stretch it looked like the 2600 payoff was in order but the favorite caught em and the payoff was 577.
Invested 70 bucks and a return of ....Win Bet 20 bucks return 188, exacta bet 14 bucks, return 188, pick 4 36 bucks invested, return 577. Outlay 70 and return of 953. It took me 2 minutes to post to put all of this together with full confidence.
That is just one example and there were 10 or more over the last couple days. Fullcardreports.com....Be A WINNER.
NCAA Basketball 76-69 +.10 unit.
James Madison -7
Louisville +4
Dayton -7
Southern Illinois +8
Kansas State +5
Western Kentucky +2
V.C.U +1
Illinois Chicago +1.5
Cincinnat +7
New Mexico State +2 I have them winning by 15 points.
South Alabama -6
California +3
Clemson -4 I have them winning by 16 points
Whichita State +2
Washington State +7
Colorado -4 I have them winning by 7
UMASS +6.5 I have them winning by 7 giving them a 14 point advantage.
North Texas +5 I have them winning by 9 giving them a 14 point advantage.
Illinois State +7
Oklahoma -6 I have them winning by 17.
Kentucky -5 I have them winning by 15 points giving them a 10 point advantage.
San Francisco -2 I have them winning by 14 giving them a 12 point advantage.
Boise State +2
Tulane +6 I have them winning by 11 giving them a 16 point advantage.
Xavier +6
CS Northridge +10
LA Tech +7
Nevada -8
All the games with no notes have at least a 6 point advantage. The best plays are the plays with the notes. Those games have a 10 point advantage or more.
These are called tech plays they are made up of an incredible numbers formula that has taken years of work and will win you money. You must have a monay management plan. Do not go putting 50 bucks on one game and 600 on a top play. This numbers formula is patened and will soon cost a bunch of money to enjoy. Today I am feeling happy so they are free.
NBA 24-19
Clippers -10
New York +7
Portland +4
Phoenix +3
These games are also tech plays. The same numbers plan as college and will hit 60% this year and all years.
We are fully into the hoops season so it is time to make some basketball cash. The one thing in the NBA you must pay attention to the schedules because they are a mess and you can run into some great schedule plays. Such as teams playing 3 games in 3 days or a team playing 6 games in 7 days. Pay attention and get paid.
Have a great day.
Tuesday, February 7, 2012
How is that HORSESHOE, NEW YORK
Well the Giants and that massive horseshoe they have had up their ass came through to win the Super Bowl. It did not matter how many fumbles or almost interceptions that they got away with. It was their time to win. I do not believe in this is the way it was to come out. The way way things came out in all of this I really almost believe is destiny.
Passes bouncing off of defensive players, fumbles that had four players around the ball to 1 and finding a way to keep the ball. Having one of the best pair of hands in Welker not catching a ball that would have ended the game in the Patriots favor, bouncing harmlessly to the ground and giving the ball back to Eli with over 4 minutes to go. In the last minute a solid receiver in Branch dropping a ball that would have gotten the Patriots down to the 30 with over 40 seconds to go with 1 timeout remaining.
Things like this continued to happen for the Giants. No running game and never touching Brady until the 4th quarter, which on the stat sheet made it look like they were all over him. My worse nightmare is seeing a C defense win the big one. It does not make sense that a weak team got all of the breaks and won it all. It hit me hard with a bet and I take this stuff seriously when the weak get all the breaks. Not go out and win but get every bounce and lucky break, I MEAN EVERY LUCKY BREAK. There should have been two interceptions against the Forty Niners and at least 2 fumble recoveries for the Patriots. Then there was the blown whistle call that no one thought was important. The media, the announcers hell even the Bay Area media did not bring it up. The play was alive and the Forty Niners should have had the ball on the 10 yard line going in to end the Giants.
It is a fact that that was a fumble and the play had not stopped referee shit call or not. The whistle had not stopped the play. PERIOD!!!
Is Manning Elite? I really do not know the answer to this but he got all the breas and more then just one. Good for the Giants and good for their coach but it was very wrong.
While the Niners bet and the Patriots bet which ere 5 times to much for what I do was the real mistake. I went 4-0 in Basketball and still had a over then average losing day. I went 4-2 overall and lost money now that is very poor money management. One of my very good friends in the handicapping world kept asking why I was so upset over just another wager. I felt like an idiot and could not tell him how pathetic my money management was.
I cannot say it enough a play is a play and other then maybe a 2 unit selection there is no reason to not stay with your money management plan. Stay with one unit or max two unit selections. This is the only way to stay ahead of the game. I hit 60% of my NFL plays and two games almost made me a loser in the NFL. That is not how to show a long term profit. Right now I am at almost 60% in the NBA and I am showing a profit, the way it should be. In college basketball I am only at 56% but with solid money management I am showing a profit.
That is the point here 1 or 2 units. If your down then stick with 1 unit selections. When you are on a roll then look for some 2 unit selections. Stick with this and be a long term winner.
NCAA Basketball 65-57
Iowa State +2
Creighton -6
Providence +8
NBA 19-15
Cleveland +13 The others will be out when the lines come out.
Have a great day.
Passes bouncing off of defensive players, fumbles that had four players around the ball to 1 and finding a way to keep the ball. Having one of the best pair of hands in Welker not catching a ball that would have ended the game in the Patriots favor, bouncing harmlessly to the ground and giving the ball back to Eli with over 4 minutes to go. In the last minute a solid receiver in Branch dropping a ball that would have gotten the Patriots down to the 30 with over 40 seconds to go with 1 timeout remaining.
Things like this continued to happen for the Giants. No running game and never touching Brady until the 4th quarter, which on the stat sheet made it look like they were all over him. My worse nightmare is seeing a C defense win the big one. It does not make sense that a weak team got all of the breaks and won it all. It hit me hard with a bet and I take this stuff seriously when the weak get all the breaks. Not go out and win but get every bounce and lucky break, I MEAN EVERY LUCKY BREAK. There should have been two interceptions against the Forty Niners and at least 2 fumble recoveries for the Patriots. Then there was the blown whistle call that no one thought was important. The media, the announcers hell even the Bay Area media did not bring it up. The play was alive and the Forty Niners should have had the ball on the 10 yard line going in to end the Giants.
It is a fact that that was a fumble and the play had not stopped referee shit call or not. The whistle had not stopped the play. PERIOD!!!
Is Manning Elite? I really do not know the answer to this but he got all the breas and more then just one. Good for the Giants and good for their coach but it was very wrong.
While the Niners bet and the Patriots bet which ere 5 times to much for what I do was the real mistake. I went 4-0 in Basketball and still had a over then average losing day. I went 4-2 overall and lost money now that is very poor money management. One of my very good friends in the handicapping world kept asking why I was so upset over just another wager. I felt like an idiot and could not tell him how pathetic my money management was.
I cannot say it enough a play is a play and other then maybe a 2 unit selection there is no reason to not stay with your money management plan. Stay with one unit or max two unit selections. This is the only way to stay ahead of the game. I hit 60% of my NFL plays and two games almost made me a loser in the NFL. That is not how to show a long term profit. Right now I am at almost 60% in the NBA and I am showing a profit, the way it should be. In college basketball I am only at 56% but with solid money management I am showing a profit.
That is the point here 1 or 2 units. If your down then stick with 1 unit selections. When you are on a roll then look for some 2 unit selections. Stick with this and be a long term winner.
NCAA Basketball 65-57
Iowa State +2
Creighton -6
Providence +8
NBA 19-15
Cleveland +13 The others will be out when the lines come out.
Have a great day.
Sunday, February 5, 2012
Super Bowl plays with a number of PROPS and Baskets!!!
The Super Bowl has arrived, or the offenses have arrived and this year in the NFL defense does not matter at all. Through the years, the worst you will get is a B versus A in the defensive area of the football.
After the miracle television ratings must win games of the Patriots against the Giants, we have two shit defenses going up against one another. I rate teams A, B, C as it get's no worse then C.
This year the Giants have the C defense with no running game. Another thing that champions usually have is a solid running game to end the game when ahead. The Giants rush for under a 100 yards a game while the Patriots are respectable at 111 a game on the ground. It is far from ground and pound. It is 5 receiver sets where the running back gets a free run up the middle for at least 6yards.
So instead of two incredible A defenses with the Ravens and Forty Niners and an epic defensive struggle we get two shit defenses who have leaky secondaries. It so happens that the strength of both teams is throwing the football.
The average fan is going to love the track meet that I see coming down the road today. By all rights it looks as though the Giants should have been a very good running team this year but it did not happen this way. I don't know if the running backs have no guile or if the blocking schemes were not right to pound the football.
I like everyone on the planet told my son right after the Forty Niner game that without looking at anything that the Giants were the easy play. Well everyone on the planet stayed with that pick. I have read, watched and heard why the Giants cannot lose this big game.
Then I made my charts and broke this game down as I would any other game. I could not believe my eyes. The New England Patriots are a very strong play on Sunday. They have the better defense, and an outstanding offense that will give the Giants all kinds of problems. Unlike the injured Packers, the no dimensional Falcons and the short handed Forty Niners. New England has a legit 5 headed monster on offense.
Besides the 5 headed monster, better coaching and the sneaky defense that is better then the Giants the Patriots are the number one seed riding the most silent 10 GAME WINNING STREAK in football history!!! That's correct a 10 game winning streak. That makes two very hot teams, with one team getting completely overlooked. Back to the 5 headed monster.
Start at the top. Tom Brady, he and the best coach in football had God status taken away from them in 2007/2008 Super Bowl. I have been told their is no revenge in the Super Bowl. To a point I believe this. This coach and this quarterback remember what happened and coach has worked overtime to try and duplicate what the Forty Niners did to the Giants in the second half of the NFC Championship game. But for 2 fumbles by Kyle Williams the Forty Niners would be here in full defensive force. Tom has been told his entire career his short comings and the perfect season was taken away by luck in the end. He will play out of his mind.
Wide Out Branch as I have been told by more then one person is not a speedster, so how will he do anything in the game? I have been told this by more then one good handicapper but I have an outlook that will let Branch have a great game. A game that he had when he was an MVP in the Super Bowl. It is all about match ups and schemes. The tight end is the main weapon for the Patriots and he will be getting a lot of attention. Doubled and spied, so what will this do? It will allow Branch to sneak down the sideline on a wheel route or a stop and go and their will be 5 or 6 deep chances that mister Brady will not miss. I see Branch making 2 deep catches for huge plays.
Tight end, he will get open down the middle early and often. With his speed and size he will give the weak Giants secondary fits. Now the very fun part. When he is doubled and stopped look for Hernandez and Welker to light it up underneath. When Branch, Welker and Hernendez are covered a running back will slide out and gaind a quick 12 to 15 yards. There are weapons short, medium and deep. It will be very hard for the Giants to cover it all.
Wes Welker will be the outlet from hell for the Patriots by getting his 10-12 cathes at 10-15 yars at a time. If the RAVENS could not hammer Tom Brady then he will have time to find his five headed monster. Tom will throw for 350 at least with all of his receivers getting open with time.
Star Tight end. Hernandez, Welker, This is the biggest game of Ocho Cinco's career and like Boldin like last week the veteran will show up. Then their is Branch who has done great in big games. I am leaving out the two capable running backs who will have opportunities. Again the Giants will not be capable of covering all of those weapons. Look for the forgotten one mister Cinco to have his chances all game. I am happy for him, it has been a long time coming to get to this one game that matters. If Boldin for the Ravens can show heart, so can mister Cinco!
Funny part that when all of these guys are getting open, it will open some huge running lanes.
So a better defense, a defense that only has to slow down two wide outs and and the tight ends who will not get a bunch of attention.
New England Patriots 38 New York Giants 27
I really see the Patriots scoring in the 40s but I do not want to overstep what I really think. Remember I did not stay they would stop the Giants. I said Slow down the mighty G men.
One last thing about this Super Bowl.
I have read on many gambling sites, which I do not do often because I have my own though process. I would say after reading up to 150 blogs and this is not media but other handicappers. There is a difference of 140 New York Giants and the under picks and no more then 10 saying New England or the under. I have never seen a great team so over looked as the team that has won 10 games in a row and are the number one seed from the AFC.
The MEDIA, well that is a different story. I have not seen one media type pick the New England Patriots. I will say it again. Patriots winners of 10 in a row. The Patriots are the number one seed. The Patriots who have key players that have won more then one Super Bowl. We call it the squares and the squares are all over the New York Giants and the under. the public is never on the under. This game they are allover the under, which I am either the worst handicapper on the planet or the Bookies are going to make a killing.
I have a handicapping friend for 15 years that I have the most respect for of any handicapper I know and I could not bribe him to take the Patriots. He said it is all about the squares and today he called himself the square of all squares. I am bummed but will never talk someone off of a dog. He is on the dog with me so at least he is on the book makers side for half of the game. I mean this is one of two people in the handicapping world that I will every now and again play some of his plays. He will also play some of my plays as well but we tend to do our own thing. When we agree it is magic.
The NBA has been very strong while waiting for the Super Bowl and College hoops is holding it's own.
NBA 19-14 +3.60 units 58%
Memphis +4.5
NCAA Basketball 62-57 -.70 units
Minnesota PK
Niagra +6
Loyola-Maryland -9
NFL 12-10 +2.00 units 55%
New England -2.5
New England Over 53
NFL 55-36 +15.40 units 60%
Coin Toss Tails -102 I know sucker bet but 16-3 last 19 years.
Yes a score first 6 minutes -115
Yes over 6.5 Touchdowns for game -110
Yes over 3.5 Touchdowns first half +165
Giants score a first quarter touchdown +100
Patriots score in every quarter +145
Patriots convert 5.5 3rd down conversions for game -130
Eli Throws or rushes for a Touchdown in 3rd quarter +155
Giants Tynes over 1.5 field goals -105
Weathaford has a touchback in game +145
Patriots Brady Over 3.5 Touchdowns +280
Patriots Branch Yes Touchdown +200
Patriots Ocho Cinco Over 8.5 yards +100
Patriots win by 11 +2000
Last play of game NOT a kneel down +150
Giants first to kickoff +235 (only on this because this is a 50/50 prop)
Have a great day.
After the miracle television ratings must win games of the Patriots against the Giants, we have two shit defenses going up against one another. I rate teams A, B, C as it get's no worse then C.
This year the Giants have the C defense with no running game. Another thing that champions usually have is a solid running game to end the game when ahead. The Giants rush for under a 100 yards a game while the Patriots are respectable at 111 a game on the ground. It is far from ground and pound. It is 5 receiver sets where the running back gets a free run up the middle for at least 6yards.
So instead of two incredible A defenses with the Ravens and Forty Niners and an epic defensive struggle we get two shit defenses who have leaky secondaries. It so happens that the strength of both teams is throwing the football.
The average fan is going to love the track meet that I see coming down the road today. By all rights it looks as though the Giants should have been a very good running team this year but it did not happen this way. I don't know if the running backs have no guile or if the blocking schemes were not right to pound the football.
I like everyone on the planet told my son right after the Forty Niner game that without looking at anything that the Giants were the easy play. Well everyone on the planet stayed with that pick. I have read, watched and heard why the Giants cannot lose this big game.
Then I made my charts and broke this game down as I would any other game. I could not believe my eyes. The New England Patriots are a very strong play on Sunday. They have the better defense, and an outstanding offense that will give the Giants all kinds of problems. Unlike the injured Packers, the no dimensional Falcons and the short handed Forty Niners. New England has a legit 5 headed monster on offense.
Besides the 5 headed monster, better coaching and the sneaky defense that is better then the Giants the Patriots are the number one seed riding the most silent 10 GAME WINNING STREAK in football history!!! That's correct a 10 game winning streak. That makes two very hot teams, with one team getting completely overlooked. Back to the 5 headed monster.
Start at the top. Tom Brady, he and the best coach in football had God status taken away from them in 2007/2008 Super Bowl. I have been told their is no revenge in the Super Bowl. To a point I believe this. This coach and this quarterback remember what happened and coach has worked overtime to try and duplicate what the Forty Niners did to the Giants in the second half of the NFC Championship game. But for 2 fumbles by Kyle Williams the Forty Niners would be here in full defensive force. Tom has been told his entire career his short comings and the perfect season was taken away by luck in the end. He will play out of his mind.
Wide Out Branch as I have been told by more then one person is not a speedster, so how will he do anything in the game? I have been told this by more then one good handicapper but I have an outlook that will let Branch have a great game. A game that he had when he was an MVP in the Super Bowl. It is all about match ups and schemes. The tight end is the main weapon for the Patriots and he will be getting a lot of attention. Doubled and spied, so what will this do? It will allow Branch to sneak down the sideline on a wheel route or a stop and go and their will be 5 or 6 deep chances that mister Brady will not miss. I see Branch making 2 deep catches for huge plays.
Tight end, he will get open down the middle early and often. With his speed and size he will give the weak Giants secondary fits. Now the very fun part. When he is doubled and stopped look for Hernandez and Welker to light it up underneath. When Branch, Welker and Hernendez are covered a running back will slide out and gaind a quick 12 to 15 yards. There are weapons short, medium and deep. It will be very hard for the Giants to cover it all.
Wes Welker will be the outlet from hell for the Patriots by getting his 10-12 cathes at 10-15 yars at a time. If the RAVENS could not hammer Tom Brady then he will have time to find his five headed monster. Tom will throw for 350 at least with all of his receivers getting open with time.
Star Tight end. Hernandez, Welker, This is the biggest game of Ocho Cinco's career and like Boldin like last week the veteran will show up. Then their is Branch who has done great in big games. I am leaving out the two capable running backs who will have opportunities. Again the Giants will not be capable of covering all of those weapons. Look for the forgotten one mister Cinco to have his chances all game. I am happy for him, it has been a long time coming to get to this one game that matters. If Boldin for the Ravens can show heart, so can mister Cinco!
Funny part that when all of these guys are getting open, it will open some huge running lanes.
So a better defense, a defense that only has to slow down two wide outs and and the tight ends who will not get a bunch of attention.
New England Patriots 38 New York Giants 27
I really see the Patriots scoring in the 40s but I do not want to overstep what I really think. Remember I did not stay they would stop the Giants. I said Slow down the mighty G men.
One last thing about this Super Bowl.
I have read on many gambling sites, which I do not do often because I have my own though process. I would say after reading up to 150 blogs and this is not media but other handicappers. There is a difference of 140 New York Giants and the under picks and no more then 10 saying New England or the under. I have never seen a great team so over looked as the team that has won 10 games in a row and are the number one seed from the AFC.
The MEDIA, well that is a different story. I have not seen one media type pick the New England Patriots. I will say it again. Patriots winners of 10 in a row. The Patriots are the number one seed. The Patriots who have key players that have won more then one Super Bowl. We call it the squares and the squares are all over the New York Giants and the under. the public is never on the under. This game they are allover the under, which I am either the worst handicapper on the planet or the Bookies are going to make a killing.
I have a handicapping friend for 15 years that I have the most respect for of any handicapper I know and I could not bribe him to take the Patriots. He said it is all about the squares and today he called himself the square of all squares. I am bummed but will never talk someone off of a dog. He is on the dog with me so at least he is on the book makers side for half of the game. I mean this is one of two people in the handicapping world that I will every now and again play some of his plays. He will also play some of my plays as well but we tend to do our own thing. When we agree it is magic.
The NBA has been very strong while waiting for the Super Bowl and College hoops is holding it's own.
NBA 19-14 +3.60 units 58%
Memphis +4.5
NCAA Basketball 62-57 -.70 units
Minnesota PK
Niagra +6
Loyola-Maryland -9
NFL 12-10 +2.00 units 55%
New England -2.5
New England Over 53
NFL 55-36 +15.40 units 60%
Coin Toss Tails -102 I know sucker bet but 16-3 last 19 years.
Yes a score first 6 minutes -115
Yes over 6.5 Touchdowns for game -110
Yes over 3.5 Touchdowns first half +165
Giants score a first quarter touchdown +100
Patriots score in every quarter +145
Patriots convert 5.5 3rd down conversions for game -130
Eli Throws or rushes for a Touchdown in 3rd quarter +155
Giants Tynes over 1.5 field goals -105
Weathaford has a touchback in game +145
Patriots Brady Over 3.5 Touchdowns +280
Patriots Branch Yes Touchdown +200
Patriots Ocho Cinco Over 8.5 yards +100
Patriots win by 11 +2000
Last play of game NOT a kneel down +150
Giants first to kickoff +235 (only on this because this is a 50/50 prop)
Have a great day.
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