Hopefully every handicapper has run into a situation where his friends and other handicappers, think that he is nuts because he has gone against the grain.
A wonderful example of why dogs, and why go against the grain showed it's beautiful face yesterday. I bet on 4 underdogs in baseball all a bit suspect but the price gave the plays merit.
These plays are tough for most handicappers to take but true handicappers know that the ugly play wins more often then the easy looking play.
Most people that bet on games look at the odds find the largest favorite they can find and that is the extent of their research.
This why that at least 95 percent of sports bettors lose over the long run.
In the middle of the college football season last year I had a friend who just cannot play a dog no matter what and of course he was buried up to his eye balls. On Friday night he calls me and says I need 4 plays so I can put my last 200 on a 4 team parlay. I say do not play these 4 games in a parlay and 2 of these games are very strong, so if you have to play any parlays, please play these 2 early games in a parlay then split the other 2 games as straight play.
I do not play parlays and would never suggest it but my friend was down 1500 and had long since lost more then he could afford, so I suggested this style of play to help him get out of debt and live to play on Sunday and future weeks.
Before I gave my friend his plays I got a hold of who my friend was playing on credit with and he agreed that I could help this man out. He had lost a bunch and even a bookie does not want to see someone get so far into debt that there would be problems later.
I gave my friend 4 College football underdogs that ranged from +4 to +11 and all 4 teams had the better defense and looked as though they could control the football game. All 4 were road underdogs and the home teams had better records but the lines were public driven and the book makers needed the dogs as well with these plays.
At halftime of the early games I get a call from the credit giver, he says you really told mister public to play 4 favorites you do not play favorites? I simply put my head down yelled a few Mfers and tell him not a chance you know I play dogs.
Long story short, I win all 4 games and the 2 games that were my 2 unit selections win outright while the other 2 covered but lost close games.
My friend knowing what I do and has seen me receive checks from legal sites, could not get himself too play the dogs and as he told me late that night that he just really liked those 4 favorites at home.
The line makers DO NOT make these lines to give away free money, you must grasp that to become a winning player.
The 4 baseball games tonight 2-2 but the Cardinals +125 loser, Oakland +100 loser 2-3, Dodgers +140 Winner, after 2 tough losses they bad a decent pitcher on the mound and their bats were alive in Colorado so the price was the way to go. Washington +110 Winner, The Nats have been pitching great and playing great defense, San Diego have had no hitting and really shouldn't be favored against anyone right now. No matter who is on the mound. 2 wins 2 losses and a half unit winning day. Not world beater but the lines provided a profit.
Hope this helps and let's you look at games with a different slant. They do not put out the lines to give away money.
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