Let them build it and the fans will ????

I do not know any service or tout or pro handicapper who had a better record for the Holiday Weekend.

Every now and again I put my football plays up on the blog and all I can say is Bowl Season is coming and no one should miss out.

I will never have some fake unit profit like many other services but I will have winning selections and will make you money. Please email me and be a winner.

We also will be getting into college basketball soon and with an early 3-0 record, it looks like another money making basketball season.

As for college basketball, we have been working on getting a very good, no great pro out of Vegas to join our team for college hoops. I have really used all I can to get this guy on board. He is much like me, he does nothing for a living but bet on sports and he has a specialty. NCAA BASKETBALL.

Speaking of College hoops, It really does amaze me with the greater then though attitude of so many people that really have nothing better to do then try and take people down. A writer, er, HATER who writes for a big outlet. This man or god as he may think he is. You now someone who knows all, sees all, and apparently is the all mighty.....Has made it his goal to make statements about good people who have had bad situations happen around them be death sentences.

No one knows the true situations of these two legends. Not legends in coaching but true legends in their towns. Both men and their families do as much for children as the men that ruined other children with their own sickness. A media person should yield ones power with great care. Be able to put themselves in the other mans shoes. It is sad but the media has been so quick to try and crush the good guys, that good judgment and belief in lifelong good does not go away.

I have been reading all of the Forty Niner fans craziness the last few days and to say the least.. it is too bad that the Niners have done so well. The fans have gone so far as to say that this coach with all of his success is not doing a good job. Ah well you see, or you do not. I say to Niner fans. REMEMBER THE LAST 11 years folks.

I bad call of a chop block and the entire flow of the game is different. A right tackle got injured and a rookie could not protect his quarterback. 9 sacks later and it is a tough night for the Niners. Have a look at the stats. The yards from the Quarterbacks are almost even and both running backs had a very tough night against great defenses. As a whole the game was a push with the Ravens at home getting the win. People forget that the Niners were on short rest and they flew across the country. One of the toughest situations in football.

The fans must not be spoiled. This was going to be a work in progress but Jim has made sure this is a now season. I can see this team going 13-3 and at worst 12-4. I say this knowing that there will many who complain.

In the NFL, it does take time. Ask the Houston Texan fans. They have finally put all the little pieces in place to make a strong run in the playoffs. The team has let the team build, trusting in their coach and getting play maker by play maker. Ask the Lions if they would love to have a star running back right now. With all the pieces in place. WHACK down goes the star quarterback. Coach does not panic. He knows this team is well built and they do not have to rely on just their star quarterback. He had already lost his all pro wide receiver and this ended up helping his team out. He found a dynamic running game. This running game is huge now with his quarterback out coach knows he can find a way to win. {he really did not count on the back up going down in the very next game} Little thought here{ Hello Brett}

The point of that last paragraph. It takes time and effort, with a great game plan. Enjoy any success that comes quick with change. Do not get spoiled and forget what a great turn around has taken place in the Bay Area.

Bay Area. The Raiders! At one point I told a huge Raider fan that his team would not with over 7 games. I can say that I was as wrong as I could possibly be. The Raiders saw that they could be pretty good right now and love him or not Hugh made the move to WIN BABY. I have great respect for not staying pat. How Hugh went about it, was not the way many would have liked it done. He took a stand and will take blame. Good or bad. Hopefully it works out. Big brass balls.

My holiday weekend

NCAA 1 Unit plays 10-1

NCAA 2 Unit plays 3-0

Have a great day

It has been good and getting better

It has been a wonderful Thanks Giving week. We went 1-1 on Thursday and 4-0 on Friday. The good news with that is Saturday is the strongest day we have seen all week.

I have to add that isn't it great what the Media has done to the Paterno's ? I mean why the so called child rapist had keys and access to everything. Joe's wife yesterday got rejected from using the Penn state pool? What the hell is going on here?

It has turned out that the so called man who saw the crime, has been lying to friends via email. He says that the child was getting raped and he jumped in and stopped it and went to the police! That is great. Uh well maybe not. The police have no record and it looks like the asst coach is getting caught in lie after lie. This is not a good thing. The media had no idea of the truth and took a legend down without all the facts. Not good.

How about Hawaii. Looks like they shaved point in not one, two or three games but four or more. It only involves the starting quarterback, Running back, a starting linebacker and a place kicker. This is not good. Hawaii pd tried to sweep it under the rug and saying that there was not enough evidence. Not good because when the boys in Vegas get jacked out of millions, it is now a federal case and the house will come tumbling down.

This is the kind of thing that gives sports betting a huge black eye. It is a shame that greed has taken over for honesty. This is going to get really big but the media still has not gotten involved. Not good.

NCAA regular plays 69-61

Clemson +4 LOSS

Vanderbilt -1.5 WINNER

Air Force -12 WINNER

San Jose state +7 WINNER

Florida State -2.5 WINNER
Florida Atlantic WINNER

Stanford -7 WINNER

NCAA Top Plays 19-19

Western Kentucky -6 WINNER

LA Lafyette +14 WINNER

have a great day

NFL Plays for Sunday

NFL 29-20 +7.00 units

Cincinnati +7

Oakland +3

Seattle +3

NFL Double Plays 3-1 +3.80

Jacksonville +3

Philadelphia +5

Have a great day

The Penn State scandal goes the other way

So Penn State and the media fucks, how ya feeling now about ruining a legends career? Now it turns out that even the victims are as soon as this summer having lunch with their wives with Sandusky. That seems odd to me. If you were raped I have a feeling you would not be introducing your wife to coach.

The media was so high and mighty and had to have the huge story, the facts were not checked out. What a shame. It is a joke.

Well P.Val showed up on Kansas City, which if the story is true it is a good thing. His fiance family had an emergency, hopefully with history of the man this is the truth.

You just have to love what Tim Tebow is doing with little or no talent as a quarterback. I played the Broncos yesterday with confidence, while everyone had the Jets. When everyone goes one way always and I do mean always go the other way. Over the long run you will be way ahead of the game.

I love my selections for Saturday with most plays being live dogs. I have 3 very strong plays and a number of single unit selections. The NFL will do what the NFL does and the easy plays by just looking at the board will lose and the bettors will be upset. Remember go the other way.

Have a great day

Hope is with you Patrick Valenzuela

Not many follow horse racing but it is very near and dear to my heart. Today Patrick Valenzuela, pulled a no show for his mounts at Hollywood Park. This would not be a big deal for almost any other rider, but P.Val has overcome so much to rise to the top of his sport once again. He has had problems with drugs and booze all through his career.

His agent who just over a year ago took a chance on this rider. The reason was simple. He was the best Jockey to ride a horse ever. I do not know if that is true, I do know he is one of the best and he had beaten the devil of all devil's to ride again.

The problem with drugs is that they never let you go. You will for a while let them go but in that boring, lonely or that one moment of weakness they will take you back with arms wide open. Opiates are the worse. Your mind will forever feel that need for euphoria. I hope that P.Val did not hear that cry from those demons and he just missed a day of work. I fear that the truth is far worse then the thought.

Tonight in the NFL we have a situation that is all to real. The Jets played their rival and have a short week to play a weak team. Everyone and their mother are all over the Jets tonight. I will not be one of those people. I will take the 7 and hope for that letdown to take place.

Hey Tiger Woods, HAHAHAHAHAHA you are a peach brother. You got drilled in round one of the Presidents Cup and hopefully for Fred you show up for day two. You prick.

NFL 28-20 +6.00 units

Denver +7

NCAA 62-53 +3.70 units

Virginia Tech -9

Have a great day

Handicapping and being a WINNER or a loser

Sometimes you must see that you are HOT. As well at times and this is tougher, you have to see that you are cold. Both will happen when you have a game plan for handicapping. The last two NFL games I really thought the games would go over at the half and both games went well over at the half.

You must trust what you are watching and react to what you are seeing. With the Jets and Patriots I felt like New England had it all their own way but I knew I was going to win the side. I did not want to throw away a winner so I did not trust what I was looking at and did not make a half time bet. The reason I did not is simple, in general I do not play half time plays.

On two nights while winning almost every game I have looked at, I got scared and it cost me two easy wins. Most people will FIND those extra plays or chase bets to gety out of a losing streak. You must strike while the iron is hot.

Tonight I really liked Ball State +19 but they did not fit all of my criteria so I passed. Right now that choice looks like it will cost me a unit. The all important units must be built when you are feeling it. Funny thing is as I watch this game I hope that Northern Illinois does not take take the lead, they are moving the football and at the right number will be a solid half time wager.

Can Oklahoma State with that unreal offense stay undefeated and have the wonderful match up of great defense against a perfect offense, win a national championship? I have always been a great believer in defense wins championships and great offenses go down when it counts.

In baseball this year the top scoring team won it all without a true ace having a ACE type of year, so things may be changing. The San Francisco Giants last year couldn't hit their way out of a paper sack but the offense knew that 3 runs were all they needed in most cases.

Northern Illinois just tied it up and have 300 yards of offense in the first half. That has blowout written all over it or at least an over bet at the half. The number of course must be right. 34 or 35 and it is an over play. If the number is close to 40 then a pass is a must.

I suggest that you do not make larger wagers when on fire but I do say play games that you do have a well though out opinion on. Most important, do not triple up when losing and hoping for a win.

Trust what you are doing and have a plan. Have an idea how conservative you must be when losing and how hot you are when you are on a tear.

Here is an exercise, when handicapping try and see how the game is going to be played out in your mind. Every now and again you will get it right and there is no greater feeling as a winning handicapper how spectacular that feels. When you are on fire, you will be amazed at how often you get this correct. When losing you will find that you are so very wrong and that is a hint that you are cold.

Have a great day

Things are the way they are and should be

So it was not that backwards after all. Tiger chocked and plays like a rookie. Getting into contention early and fading into nothing as a young pro will do.

The Houston Texans just got very bad news today. Their starting quarterback is done for the year and now under achieving Matt Lienhert will take over one of the best teams in the AFC. I feel for the Texans and the patience that their ownership showed in their head coach.

How about those Baltimore Ravens? One week they are the best that they can be then the next week.....well they suck.

The Ravens have always been one of my favorite teams because they win by playing defense. At times you need a good offense as well. Of all the weeks to lose your focus. Really? Against one of the worst teams in the NFL.

I am sure the coaching staff is beside themselves, to not show up at all negates the huge win from the week before. Beat Pittsburgh and no show against Seattle. Hopefully they find some consistency.

I live close to the Bay Area and I have been stunned by the coaching job by the entire staff of the Niners. Jim Harbaugh is a leader and no one can tell you otherwise after what he has done with this team. Alex Smith is viable and the Defense is incredible. The special teams are well SPECIAL. The only thing they have not had to do besides the Eagles collapse is be down late by two scores and have Alex bring them from behind.

The Eagles win at the time, seemed to be huge but how good are the Eagles? Talent wise and on paper they are really good but in real life, not so much. Beating the Giants and coming from behind did show that they trust Alex Smith. They threw down the field to take the lead and did not look back. I believe they are top 3 in the entire NFL.

In contrast to Jim Harbaugh, there is the coach of the Detroit Lions. He acts like an idiot and his players believe that is the way to represent the team. The Lions are cheap shot artist, who as a whole believe they are better then they are. It is sad to see a talented group, just lose it in every way possible. The Bears showed them what rough and tough football is all about.

Tim Tebow! He is a pathetic excuse for a quarterback. His overall stats are a joke. You would take Cam Newton, Andy Dalton or any other quarterbacks to lead your team. ON PAPER THAT IS. Tim is a winner 3-1 as a starter this year. Tim has whatever winners have. He has IT. I enjoy watching the media continue you to rip this guy, but Tim keeps winning and in the division that they are in he can lead his team to a title. Division title but probably not much more then that.

NFL 27-20 +5.00 units

Minnesota Over 50

NFL Top plays double plays 3-1 +3.80 units

No top plays tonight.

NCAA Football 62-53 +3.70 units

NCAA Top Plays double plays 17-17 -3.40 units

So far very happy with the football season and I will admit this NFL play tonight is a reach.

Have a great day.