Saturday, January 21, 2012

When wrong is right and right is wrong

As we dive further into the College Basketball season and conference play is in full swing we can take a strong look at betting the hoops.

One of my favorite plays in College Basketball is to play on the home favorite of an un ranked team, when favored over a ranked team. This is a classic case of of betting on the wrong team and against a public trap.

This little beauty used to hit at close to 90 percent, but the odds makers got wise and for a few years this was corrected and people stopped making the play. The Average guy is going to play that ranked team almost every time.

The fact is that the odd makers generally do not make mistakes and again you would be putting yourself on the book makers side. Remember only 2 percent of all sports bettors win. Most people know this yet will always go with the easy looking play. Over and over I see smart people get sucked into the easy play.

There is never an easy play. There are however plays that have a better then average chance to win. In College Basketball you can also keep a list of go against teams. I try to not make go with teams because go with teams after a while are over bet and the lines will reflect this.

A good rule of thumb if you play on a road team in College Basketball, you must believe they are better by 10 points or more to get the straight up win. Keeping this in mind always read the lines.

The wrong side right side play for me is rather odd. Most sports I look to always go with an underdog. In the case of wrong side right side I will always be on the favorite. This for a time was tough to play but with over 60% winners, I take my chances.

The NBA or the biggest piece of shit sport on the planet, is a very tough beat. As in all sports their are a few gems that will give you few plays that will show you a profit.

Play on a rested team at home that is a 6 point favorite or more, against a team that played at home the night before. This play over time has hit at a solid 56 to 58% and you will not find a play every night.

You will not have a ton of plays and as with any mode of play make sure you have a game plan. Do not throw in more plays just because you crave the action. Always have a bankroll plan a handicapping plan and find your strengths and weaknesses.

THIS IS THE IMPORTANT part....If it has not worked in the past it will not all of the sudden work in the future. This is not to say you cannot have losing streaks. You will always have losing streaks. The question is....Are you a winning player or do you fool yourself over and over, year after year and make no changes to become a winning player.

It takes work and it takes going back through past results over hundreds of results, even thousands of results. If you continue to lose then quit. If you always look at a game and say that this team is better then that team so they must win...QUIT....Or learn how to win.

If you play the horses then you must have fullcardreports.com!!! I cannot tell you how much money you save just by having this wonderful product. You will not hit every horse but your rate of return and your bottom line will show a solid profit. be that person who hits that 8000 tri or 22,000 super. Remember fullcardreports.com.

Saturdays plays.

NBA 1-0

Memphis -9 Here is a case where the Sacramento Kings got their 2nd road win of the season against a solid opponent in San Antonio yesterday, but today things go back to normal and Memphis blows them out.

NCAA Basketball 34-21

Arkansas -1

Vanderbilt -7

Pittsburgh -3

Boston College -1

Kansas State -3

NHL 10-12 -.45 units

Ottawa

San Jose

Calgary

Colorado

Have a great day.

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