Well I almost called the ball with a Tiger win. He just couldn't help himself on the final day. It was the only day where he started hitting the ball left off the tee. You knew he was in trouble on the very first swing of the day and even after going par-birdie-birdie, it was false. Tiger will win a major this year and will have at least 4 or 5 wins all year. Bold but true.
I never thought in this day and age that the Patriots would be completely looked over in any no less a Super Bowl. I was like everyone when at first glance that the Giants were the easy play in the Super Bowl.
I then did the stats on the game and will be making a strong play on the Patriots. They have the better defense overall and their offense has 4 weapons who can all catch the ball and will make the Giants playing Atlanta and the Forty Niners seem like playing a college team.
I watched the film on the Niner game and other then Vernon Davis Crabtree was a non player in the game against the Giants. It was welcome to physical playoff football young man. Every single play he was knocked off of his route by a physical cover man. I did not note 5 plays where he got off the ball and into his route. Makes it very tough on a quarterback to only have one viable option on every play.
Before the cries of the Giants crushed the Packers and made them look like little boys. It is true that the Giants dominated the Packers. The score was in no way indicative of how dominating the Giants were against the Packers. Once again a coach learned a lesson in the worst manner possible. The Packers with the bye week and resting their starters for the last 2 weeks of the season were well of of their game. The timing was off with Rodgers and his wide outs. A month off is to long to rest and play at the top of ones game.
The Packers also had one of the worst defenses in football giving up close to 500 yards a game. Jennings should not have been playing at all and for the first time all year the Packers had their offensive line beat up and if it was a regular season game three of those linemen would not have been playing. A perfect storm to lose.
The Giants have been one of the good stories this season. Fighting all the way and making it to the Super Bowl. They survived 3 possible interceptions with Niners running into one another rather then ending the Giants run. The Niners special teams had carried them for much of the year and 2 fluke fumbles gave the Giants 10 points in the second half. The Giants were dominated in the 2nd half and got 2 breaks that gave them 10 points.
The Patriots coach is a smart man and he will have broken down the film from the Niner game every possible way. He doesn't have the talent that the Niners have on their front line but he can run corner blitz's and will find a way to slow the Giants down. He doesn't have the talent to stop them but he will find a way to slow them down, thanks to the Niners and what they did in the 2nd half of their game.
I have been told that their is no revenge in the Super Bowl. The past doesn't matter. I say that is bullshit. The Patriots coach and Tom Brady were on the doorstep of being football gods in 2007. The undefeated season and everything that goes with it. The fact that this was taken away from the Patriots does play a piece in this game. Maybe a small part but this is a fact.
The Giants will not be able to shut down all 4 receivers for the Patriots. The Patriots have the middle covered with their tight end who will be playing. The underneath with Welker, and if that gets taken away look for Branch to get a cheap long touchdown or more. Alex Smith had his chances to hit a couple very deep passes, but missed. Tom Brady will not miss his chances.
When all the passing game gets going then the Patriots will get a few cheap 12 to 20 yard runs. The Giants on the other hand do have their weapons. With Nicks hurt, this will hurt Crews. I am not talking 7 stops in a row I am talking a couple stops and settling for a couple field goals instead of touchdowns.
The public and a few pro players are all over the Giants. The Giants and the under as a matter of fact. The books have had a tough year and with a great Super Bowl any and all losses will get wiped out. I have seen this story before. Public thinks it will be easy money and the books get the last and biggest laugh.
Think about it, you play the small favorite in the Super Bowl and it happens to be the New England Patriots 15-3 with a 10 game winning streak. You get to be with the books and have the number one seed against a 12-7 team who is a 4 seed.
The Patriots will score no less then 35 points. I really think the Patriots will score in the 40's but I will settle with 35. The Giants will score no less then 21 points and with a couple field goals the Giants end up with 27.
If you do a little math, even on the low end this game will sky over the total. As the public and some pro's look back at 2007. The under looks good to many people as well. What a perfect storm. The better team, the better seed, and we get to be on the bookmakers side. It doesn't get any better then this my friends.
Take The patriots and the Over. Be a winner along with Vegas.
NFL 53-36 +13.40 units. 60%
NFL Double plays 12-10 +2.00 units 55%
NCAA Football 75-62 +6.80 units 55%
NCAA Football Double plays 21-19 +.20 unit 53%
Baseball +29.80 units 52%
NCAA Basketball 53-43 +5.70 units 55%
NBA 10-7 +2.30 units 59%
NCAA Basketball For Tuesday 1/31/2012
NCAA Basketball 53-43 +5.70 units 55%
Michigan State -3
Kent State -4
Seton Hall +9
A top play in College hoops.
Kansas State +2
NBA 10-7 +2.30 units 59%
Atlanta -4
Have a great day.
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