Monday, November 28, 2011

Let them build it and the fans will ????

I do not know any service or tout or pro handicapper who had a better record for the Holiday Weekend.

Every now and again I put my football plays up on the blog and all I can say is Bowl Season is coming and no one should miss out.

I will never have some fake unit profit like many other services but I will have winning selections and will make you money. Please email me and be a winner.

We also will be getting into college basketball soon and with an early 3-0 record, it looks like another money making basketball season.

As for college basketball, we have been working on getting a very good, no great pro out of Vegas to join our team for college hoops. I have really used all I can to get this guy on board. He is much like me, he does nothing for a living but bet on sports and he has a specialty. NCAA BASKETBALL.

Speaking of College hoops, It really does amaze me with the greater then though attitude of so many people that really have nothing better to do then try and take people down. A writer, er, HATER who writes for a big outlet. This man or god as he may think he is. You now someone who knows all, sees all, and apparently is the all mighty.....Has made it his goal to make statements about good people who have had bad situations happen around them be death sentences.

No one knows the true situations of these two legends. Not legends in coaching but true legends in their towns. Both men and their families do as much for children as the men that ruined other children with their own sickness. A media person should yield ones power with great care. Be able to put themselves in the other mans shoes. It is sad but the media has been so quick to try and crush the good guys, that good judgment and belief in lifelong good does not go away.

I have been reading all of the Forty Niner fans craziness the last few days and to say the least.. it is too bad that the Niners have done so well. The fans have gone so far as to say that this coach with all of his success is not doing a good job. Ah well you see, or you do not. I say to Niner fans. REMEMBER THE LAST 11 years folks.

I bad call of a chop block and the entire flow of the game is different. A right tackle got injured and a rookie could not protect his quarterback. 9 sacks later and it is a tough night for the Niners. Have a look at the stats. The yards from the Quarterbacks are almost even and both running backs had a very tough night against great defenses. As a whole the game was a push with the Ravens at home getting the win. People forget that the Niners were on short rest and they flew across the country. One of the toughest situations in football.

The fans must not be spoiled. This was going to be a work in progress but Jim has made sure this is a now season. I can see this team going 13-3 and at worst 12-4. I say this knowing that there will many who complain.

In the NFL, it does take time. Ask the Houston Texan fans. They have finally put all the little pieces in place to make a strong run in the playoffs. The team has let the team build, trusting in their coach and getting play maker by play maker. Ask the Lions if they would love to have a star running back right now. With all the pieces in place. WHACK down goes the star quarterback. Coach does not panic. He knows this team is well built and they do not have to rely on just their star quarterback. He had already lost his all pro wide receiver and this ended up helping his team out. He found a dynamic running game. This running game is huge now with his quarterback out coach knows he can find a way to win. {he really did not count on the back up going down in the very next game} Little thought here{ Hello Brett}

The point of that last paragraph. It takes time and effort, with a great game plan. Enjoy any success that comes quick with change. Do not get spoiled and forget what a great turn around has taken place in the Bay Area.

Bay Area. The Raiders! At one point I told a huge Raider fan that his team would not with over 7 games. I can say that I was as wrong as I could possibly be. The Raiders saw that they could be pretty good right now and love him or not Hugh made the move to WIN BABY. I have great respect for not staying pat. How Hugh went about it, was not the way many would have liked it done. He took a stand and will take blame. Good or bad. Hopefully it works out. Big brass balls.

My holiday weekend

NCAA 1 Unit plays 10-1

NCAA 2 Unit plays 3-0

Have a great day

Saturday, November 26, 2011

It has been good and getting better

It has been a wonderful Thanks Giving week. We went 1-1 on Thursday and 4-0 on Friday. The good news with that is Saturday is the strongest day we have seen all week.

I have to add that isn't it great what the Media has done to the Paterno's ? I mean why the so called child rapist had keys and access to everything. Joe's wife yesterday got rejected from using the Penn state pool? What the hell is going on here?

It has turned out that the so called man who saw the crime, has been lying to friends via email. He says that the child was getting raped and he jumped in and stopped it and went to the police! That is great. Uh well maybe not. The police have no record and it looks like the asst coach is getting caught in lie after lie. This is not a good thing. The media had no idea of the truth and took a legend down without all the facts. Not good.

How about Hawaii. Looks like they shaved point in not one, two or three games but four or more. It only involves the starting quarterback, Running back, a starting linebacker and a place kicker. This is not good. Hawaii pd tried to sweep it under the rug and saying that there was not enough evidence. Not good because when the boys in Vegas get jacked out of millions, it is now a federal case and the house will come tumbling down.

This is the kind of thing that gives sports betting a huge black eye. It is a shame that greed has taken over for honesty. This is going to get really big but the media still has not gotten involved. Not good.

NCAA regular plays 69-61

Clemson +4 LOSS

Vanderbilt -1.5 WINNER

Air Force -12 WINNER

San Jose state +7 WINNER

Florida State -2.5 WINNER
Florida Atlantic WINNER

Stanford -7 WINNER

NCAA Top Plays 19-19

Western Kentucky -6 WINNER

LA Lafyette +14 WINNER

have a great day

Sunday, November 20, 2011

NFL Plays for Sunday

NFL 29-20 +7.00 units

Cincinnati +7

Oakland +3

Seattle +3

NFL Double Plays 3-1 +3.80

Jacksonville +3

Philadelphia +5

Have a great day

Friday, November 18, 2011

The Penn State scandal goes the other way

So Penn State and the media fucks, how ya feeling now about ruining a legends career? Now it turns out that even the victims are as soon as this summer having lunch with their wives with Sandusky. That seems odd to me. If you were raped I have a feeling you would not be introducing your wife to coach.

The media was so high and mighty and had to have the huge story, the facts were not checked out. What a shame. It is a joke.

Well P.Val showed up on Kansas City, which if the story is true it is a good thing. His fiance family had an emergency, hopefully with history of the man this is the truth.

You just have to love what Tim Tebow is doing with little or no talent as a quarterback. I played the Broncos yesterday with confidence, while everyone had the Jets. When everyone goes one way always and I do mean always go the other way. Over the long run you will be way ahead of the game.

I love my selections for Saturday with most plays being live dogs. I have 3 very strong plays and a number of single unit selections. The NFL will do what the NFL does and the easy plays by just looking at the board will lose and the bettors will be upset. Remember go the other way.

Have a great day

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Hope is with you Patrick Valenzuela

Not many follow horse racing but it is very near and dear to my heart. Today Patrick Valenzuela, pulled a no show for his mounts at Hollywood Park. This would not be a big deal for almost any other rider, but P.Val has overcome so much to rise to the top of his sport once again. He has had problems with drugs and booze all through his career.

His agent who just over a year ago took a chance on this rider. The reason was simple. He was the best Jockey to ride a horse ever. I do not know if that is true, I do know he is one of the best and he had beaten the devil of all devil's to ride again.

The problem with drugs is that they never let you go. You will for a while let them go but in that boring, lonely or that one moment of weakness they will take you back with arms wide open. Opiates are the worse. Your mind will forever feel that need for euphoria. I hope that P.Val did not hear that cry from those demons and he just missed a day of work. I fear that the truth is far worse then the thought.

Tonight in the NFL we have a situation that is all to real. The Jets played their rival and have a short week to play a weak team. Everyone and their mother are all over the Jets tonight. I will not be one of those people. I will take the 7 and hope for that letdown to take place.

Hey Tiger Woods, HAHAHAHAHAHA you are a peach brother. You got drilled in round one of the Presidents Cup and hopefully for Fred you show up for day two. You prick.

NFL 28-20 +6.00 units

Denver +7

NCAA 62-53 +3.70 units

Virginia Tech -9

Have a great day

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Handicapping and being a WINNER or a loser

Sometimes you must see that you are HOT. As well at times and this is tougher, you have to see that you are cold. Both will happen when you have a game plan for handicapping. The last two NFL games I really thought the games would go over at the half and both games went well over at the half.

You must trust what you are watching and react to what you are seeing. With the Jets and Patriots I felt like New England had it all their own way but I knew I was going to win the side. I did not want to throw away a winner so I did not trust what I was looking at and did not make a half time bet. The reason I did not is simple, in general I do not play half time plays.

On two nights while winning almost every game I have looked at, I got scared and it cost me two easy wins. Most people will FIND those extra plays or chase bets to gety out of a losing streak. You must strike while the iron is hot.

Tonight I really liked Ball State +19 but they did not fit all of my criteria so I passed. Right now that choice looks like it will cost me a unit. The all important units must be built when you are feeling it. Funny thing is as I watch this game I hope that Northern Illinois does not take take the lead, they are moving the football and at the right number will be a solid half time wager.

Can Oklahoma State with that unreal offense stay undefeated and have the wonderful match up of great defense against a perfect offense, win a national championship? I have always been a great believer in defense wins championships and great offenses go down when it counts.

In baseball this year the top scoring team won it all without a true ace having a ACE type of year, so things may be changing. The San Francisco Giants last year couldn't hit their way out of a paper sack but the offense knew that 3 runs were all they needed in most cases.

Northern Illinois just tied it up and have 300 yards of offense in the first half. That has blowout written all over it or at least an over bet at the half. The number of course must be right. 34 or 35 and it is an over play. If the number is close to 40 then a pass is a must.

I suggest that you do not make larger wagers when on fire but I do say play games that you do have a well though out opinion on. Most important, do not triple up when losing and hoping for a win.

Trust what you are doing and have a plan. Have an idea how conservative you must be when losing and how hot you are when you are on a tear.

Here is an exercise, when handicapping try and see how the game is going to be played out in your mind. Every now and again you will get it right and there is no greater feeling as a winning handicapper how spectacular that feels. When you are on fire, you will be amazed at how often you get this correct. When losing you will find that you are so very wrong and that is a hint that you are cold.

Have a great day

Monday, November 14, 2011

Things are the way they are and should be

So it was not that backwards after all. Tiger chocked and plays like a rookie. Getting into contention early and fading into nothing as a young pro will do.

The Houston Texans just got very bad news today. Their starting quarterback is done for the year and now under achieving Matt Lienhert will take over one of the best teams in the AFC. I feel for the Texans and the patience that their ownership showed in their head coach.

How about those Baltimore Ravens? One week they are the best that they can be then the next week.....well they suck.

The Ravens have always been one of my favorite teams because they win by playing defense. At times you need a good offense as well. Of all the weeks to lose your focus. Really? Against one of the worst teams in the NFL.

I am sure the coaching staff is beside themselves, to not show up at all negates the huge win from the week before. Beat Pittsburgh and no show against Seattle. Hopefully they find some consistency.

I live close to the Bay Area and I have been stunned by the coaching job by the entire staff of the Niners. Jim Harbaugh is a leader and no one can tell you otherwise after what he has done with this team. Alex Smith is viable and the Defense is incredible. The special teams are well SPECIAL. The only thing they have not had to do besides the Eagles collapse is be down late by two scores and have Alex bring them from behind.

The Eagles win at the time, seemed to be huge but how good are the Eagles? Talent wise and on paper they are really good but in real life, not so much. Beating the Giants and coming from behind did show that they trust Alex Smith. They threw down the field to take the lead and did not look back. I believe they are top 3 in the entire NFL.

In contrast to Jim Harbaugh, there is the coach of the Detroit Lions. He acts like an idiot and his players believe that is the way to represent the team. The Lions are cheap shot artist, who as a whole believe they are better then they are. It is sad to see a talented group, just lose it in every way possible. The Bears showed them what rough and tough football is all about.

Tim Tebow! He is a pathetic excuse for a quarterback. His overall stats are a joke. You would take Cam Newton, Andy Dalton or any other quarterbacks to lead your team. ON PAPER THAT IS. Tim is a winner 3-1 as a starter this year. Tim has whatever winners have. He has IT. I enjoy watching the media continue you to rip this guy, but Tim keeps winning and in the division that they are in he can lead his team to a title. Division title but probably not much more then that.

NFL 27-20 +5.00 units

Minnesota Over 50

NFL Top plays double plays 3-1 +3.80 units

No top plays tonight.

NCAA Football 62-53 +3.70 units

NCAA Top Plays double plays 17-17 -3.40 units

So far very happy with the football season and I will admit this NFL play tonight is a reach.

Have a great day.

Thursday, November 10, 2011

A backwards week in the world of us. Fuck off Media!

This is a strange week in the works. One of the most important and well liked coaches in college sports gets fired for doing the right thing. While the man who saw the crime in progress keeps his job.

The media should be very proud of themselves, taking down a legend. A man who has done nothing but great things for Penn Sate and who has the most wins as a coach in college football history. A man who with his wife has done more for children in the State then anyone in the history of the State. A man who without coaching will be dead before the next calender year.

The Media took it on their moral high brow to bury a man for doing his job. Never mind the many, many, many men who became MEN while playing for this man. The high graduation rate and clean program. Fuck that! He heard a story and took it to his higher ups. As a state employee who got paid far less then any other coach who won 2 national championships.

Joe Paterno made 500,000 a year and was and still is loved by the kids that go to Penn state and who went to Penn state. The media has decided that he himself raped young boys even though he got rid of that cancer in 1998. Oh you must know this. The criminal was gone in 1998 and had nothing to do with the program in 2002. Somehow the media and I mean all of the media. The ones who cheat on their wives and drink all night and have the moral high brow of assholes who dine for free and dig to dig.

The truth has nothing to do with this story. If the truth had anything to do with this then Joe Paterno would be graded on doing everything he was legally, morally and ethically to do. There would be one person in the media who would stand up and be heard but that is not the case here. Someone to say, gee, Joe heard a story and did what you are taught to do since childhood and report the story to your boss or higher ups. Joe is 84 years old and since he was a small boy, he was told that if you hear of a crime then you tell your bosses that there might be a problem. If Joe had seen the crime he would have went to the police. Oh that is right Joe did not see the crime.

The man who saw the crime and did not go to the police still has his job. Joe was such a tool in all of this and protected his friend that he sat on the information and did not report his friend. Oh wait he did what he had to do. It did not matter who it was. That is right he also did all he could with the grand jury and spoke of what he was told. The media would have you believe that there was silence and he protected a friend. HE DID NOT!!!

The media, the same media that said Vick was an animal and should and would never play football again. That media who compliments Vick know because he can run, throw and lead grown men on the football field. The media who can ruin a 84 year old man who did lead men and who did make sure that every player who crossed his path for 61 years was a far better person for having Joe Pa enter their lives. Fuck all of that. Joe did what anyone would do and report the story to the people in power, and the people who were going to make sure that the criminal was taken care of.

Of course that is, since we are all innocent till proven guilty. Since charges were never brought after an investigation in 1998 why would Joe think any different when he heard nothing of it this time?

Media! You should all be ashamed. Everyone of you who jump on your moral bus. I have children as a matter of fact I have a 21 year old boy and girl. Both would have been around the same age as when this took place. I would never put the blame on the coach. I feel sick when thinking of this. I have read the transcripts and they are very bad. At no point would I blame the Coach, who did not see the act. I would not blame the man who saw the act. I would blame the man who did the act. Gee novel idea.

So easy to go after the 84 year old man who is the lightening rod. So easy to cast blame without knowing exactly what the coach did. I would have stood behind the man who made men better and made sure that my child would graduate school while playing sports. I would have stood behind a coach and his wife who donated their time, money and knowledge to special needs children and countless other child charities.

This really sounds like a man with no ethics or morals. Look at the entire man and his story, rather then what you the media thinks is what you would have done or not done in any situation. PATHETIC.

The other odd thing this week, while a great man gets torn down another man who proved to be a pig is leading a golf tournament across the world. The media loves Tiger and kills Joe Pa. Good job you pricks.

Back to normal we did have a very nice winning selection on the Oakland Raiders tonight. We took the 8 and won the game outright. I must have no morals for betting on sports. Or do have no morals because I charge for my work? I would hate to see how I would be judged by the media.

I am a good father, husband{which at one point I was not} and a really good handicapper. Sports and horses. I am sure because I do this for a living that I would not be judged well by today's media. I would not be what the media would think was a dead beat or scumbag because I do things in another way. It would not matter that it is legal or that I work a good 50 to 60 hours a week doing what I do.

Have a great day.

HEY MEDIA anyone have a set of brass balls you punks

Sick and not the good sick. The media is a piece of shit. Not one media person can say anything for Joe Paterno. Just jump on board you mindless media morons. Joe did exactly what he had to do and with all of the Special Olympics and child work he and his wife do, you cannot tell me that he has no ethics or morals!

So easy to jump on when all of the facts and what was or wasn't done may never be known. I do have children and I would in this case not blame the coach. The criminal was NOT in 2002 on Paterno's staff. Joe got a story and sent it up.

The last time this was alleged, the police got involved and no one pressed charges. Why in Joe's mind would he not believe that the police did their job and the matter had been resolved. Joe Did not see the act. He got a story!!! I am sure if he saw the act, he would have went to the police it was his duty.

Pathetic. Someone in the Media stand up be a man and point out the facts. Fucking jerks.

NFL 22-18

Oakland Raiders +8

Have a great day

Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Penn State and Joe Pa

Quick look back at this weekend. 12-1 NCAA football and 4-0 in the NFL. I make it quick because with the story at Penn State I have to give my two cents.

Today is a sad day. When the coach of 61 years has to step down on others terms, it is a shame. Joe Pa did what any under link is told to do. You report things that are brought to your attention to the higher ups.

Joe did not see what took place at Penn State, in his locker room. Someone who saw the law being broken did what he thought was correct and brought the infraction to his boss. his boss did what he had to do. He took it to his bosses.

Joe Pa is not part of the investigation and in that setting DID exactly what he had to do. It is so easy for people who are not in that spot to say things that they would have done. Bull Shit! Joe Pa got a story and he did not sit on it. He acted as any admin and under link should and took it to the powers that be. So easy to judge someone when not living the story. Pathetic.

Records update

NCAA regular plays 58-51
NCAA Double plays 16-16

NFL Regular Plays 22-18
NFL Double Plays 3-1

Not a bad season and with many games left, it looks to be a great season.

Have a great day

Sunday, November 6, 2011

3 NFL plays

After a monster College Saturday, I look for a nice Sunday to finish it off. 12-2 yesterday in the NCAA. There are not mnay plays in the NFL today. One in the morning and 2 late in the day. The fun game of the day is Buffalo and the Jets. Is Buffalo that good are the Jets that bad?

Look for many tight games today and enjoy these 3 plays.

NFL

San Francisco -5

Cincinnati +3

NFL double play

Baltimore +3.5

I will recap the Breeders Cup tomorrow.

Have a great day.