Well it was nice to see V.C.U take care of business and not have to wait around for the call like Drexel will have to do this week. Drexel went 19-1 over their last 20 games and deserve to play in the tournament.
Detroit taking care of Valparaiso was a great move for them as well and if Valparaiso doesn't get the nod they can look at one of the bottom Big East teams that do not deserve to represent as the bullshit pick to dance.
For the most part things have gone as predicted, with a one or two seed winning their conference tournaments. This will allow for some of the teams that lost in their conference finals to get the well deserved invite. No real upsets of any kind this year.
I am a big believer in Stanford, California, Arizona, Washington getting the chance to play for it all this year but the PAC 12 will probably only get 2 teams in. The reason being is for some reason the selection guys will overload the tournament with Big East teams again. I even like Oregon and or Oregon State to get in but it will not happen.
I will say it again watch out for Belmont who lost by 3 to Duke and had a real chance to beat Duke but came up short. Belmont will probably get a 12 seed which they really deserve a 5 seed at worst.
NCAA Basketball 114-109
West Virginia +2
East Carolina +1
Houston +4
Tulane +7 A don't make sense play at it's highest level.
Stanford -9 The Cardinal must win at least 2 games to even get a look to the dance.
Colorado -13 My Best play of the day.
NBA 40-32
Utah -7
Lakers -7
Atlanta +12
Chicago -7
Portland +2
New York +7
New Orleans +5
Memphis +1
This is a day of many play's and the largest number of NBA plays by double of any day this year.
Have a great day.
Tuesday, March 6, 2012
Monday, March 5, 2012
NCAA Basketball is rising to the top
After a couple weeks off it is time to get back to handicapping. I have a few very nice plays tonight in College Basketball and the NBA keeps going very well. Pace of the game is huge this time of year. There is no more pure home court advantage, you will find home state advantage and that is simply not the same as home court.
Who are the sleepers this year? Butler will not make another run this year as they will not get an invite to the dance. UCONN is hanging by a thread and will need a couple wins in the Big East tournament to get their invite. This was the situation that they were in last year and they decided to not lose another game.
The so called mid major's will make an impression this year. A small example is the WCC. ST Mary's, Gonzaga and BYU will all make the dance. These three teams will have more wins then a major conference with 2 times the teams or 3 times the teams. I don't know why it works this way but it will happen.
One of the it teams is Tennessee which I think should not make the tournament over a team like V.C.U which has done more then enough to make another run. I have Drexel beating them today in their finals match up.
Reaching into the way back machine Valparaiso has a very solid team and if healthy a sweet 16 trip is not out of the question. The pac 12 will be overlooked but if Washington gets in, I look for a sweet 16 trip by them as well.
In the end look for the usual suspects such as Kentucky, North Carolina, Syracuse and Duke to make a huge run at the title. North Carolina will get my nod to win it all and their are questions weather or not they will get a number 1 seed.
One last team that could scare anyone and everyone is Belmont. They run and gun and will outscore anyone. That is my super sleeper.
NCAA 108-106
Drexel +2.5
North Texas -1.5
Ball State +4
ST Mary's +3
Loyola Maryland +3
South Dakota State -12
NBA 38-28
Golden State -1
Clippers +3
Philadelphia -1.5
Have a great day.
Who are the sleepers this year? Butler will not make another run this year as they will not get an invite to the dance. UCONN is hanging by a thread and will need a couple wins in the Big East tournament to get their invite. This was the situation that they were in last year and they decided to not lose another game.
The so called mid major's will make an impression this year. A small example is the WCC. ST Mary's, Gonzaga and BYU will all make the dance. These three teams will have more wins then a major conference with 2 times the teams or 3 times the teams. I don't know why it works this way but it will happen.
One of the it teams is Tennessee which I think should not make the tournament over a team like V.C.U which has done more then enough to make another run. I have Drexel beating them today in their finals match up.
Reaching into the way back machine Valparaiso has a very solid team and if healthy a sweet 16 trip is not out of the question. The pac 12 will be overlooked but if Washington gets in, I look for a sweet 16 trip by them as well.
In the end look for the usual suspects such as Kentucky, North Carolina, Syracuse and Duke to make a huge run at the title. North Carolina will get my nod to win it all and their are questions weather or not they will get a number 1 seed.
One last team that could scare anyone and everyone is Belmont. They run and gun and will outscore anyone. That is my super sleeper.
NCAA 108-106
Drexel +2.5
North Texas -1.5
Ball State +4
ST Mary's +3
Loyola Maryland +3
South Dakota State -12
NBA 38-28
Golden State -1
Clippers +3
Philadelphia -1.5
Have a great day.
Friday, February 17, 2012
March is coming
Took a couple day's to lick my gapping wounds from the Super Bowl. First of all the Niners should have been there. 2nd of all the Patriots had a solid 8 point lead and after the lead had been knocked down to two the Patriots were in a spot to score very late and leave little or no time on the clock for Manning and company.
Who would believe that one of the best possesion recievers of this age dropped a 2nd down pass that would have put the ball on the 20. So Brady is being totured and being told he cannot win the big one but really one play does not make a legend not.
I am a fan of no one but I love defense and rushing which made this Super Bowl a farce for me as you had two poor defenses although they were both underated. I geuss it just must be that easy. Play the hot team or the seemingly hot team.
NCAA Basketball 90-88 nothing great and the odds makers are reallhy that good. I cannot tell you how many half point losses and wins I have had wow.
NBA 33-24 I hate the NBA but the stats this year have not lied.
Have a great day.
Who would believe that one of the best possesion recievers of this age dropped a 2nd down pass that would have put the ball on the 20. So Brady is being totured and being told he cannot win the big one but really one play does not make a legend not.
I am a fan of no one but I love defense and rushing which made this Super Bowl a farce for me as you had two poor defenses although they were both underated. I geuss it just must be that easy. Play the hot team or the seemingly hot team.
NCAA Basketball 90-88 nothing great and the odds makers are reallhy that good. I cannot tell you how many half point losses and wins I have had wow.
NBA 33-24 I hate the NBA but the stats this year have not lied.
Have a great day.
Saturday, February 11, 2012
Tech plays on the hardwood, Horses are hot as hell
Now if you are a horse player today is the day!!! fullcardreports.com, Take a look at the wonderful card at Gulfstream Park today. There is a wonderful card where fullcardreports.com is going to make a bunch of money.
If you take a look at the videos on fullcardreports.com you will find that the last few days have been masterpieces. There has been so much money made by fullcardreports.com customers there has been many signers.
From Sunland Park, to Aqueduct, Turfway Park, Sam Houston and many other tracks with so many horses paying 20 plus dollars that have been right at the top of the report. The public has no idea why these horses pop up and pay 40 dollars after showing nothing the last few starts. The public thinks fluke. The fullcardreports.com customer knew it was coming.
Oh yes Oaklawn Park a little 40 dollar horse that after looking at the report you wouls have had the winner, exacta, trifecta and Boom!!!
Yesterday with 2 minutes to post I opened my reports to see a standout within seconds and as that horse that finished 8 of 9, last and last in the horses last 3 races I had no problem seeing the pace was in my favor and all the exactas were paying very well.
Oh yes then there was the single by 3 by 4 by 4 for a 36 dollar pick 4 ticket that paid a lousy 577 bucks. Mid stretch it looked like the 2600 payoff was in order but the favorite caught em and the payoff was 577.
Invested 70 bucks and a return of ....Win Bet 20 bucks return 188, exacta bet 14 bucks, return 188, pick 4 36 bucks invested, return 577. Outlay 70 and return of 953. It took me 2 minutes to post to put all of this together with full confidence.
That is just one example and there were 10 or more over the last couple days. Fullcardreports.com....Be A WINNER.
NCAA Basketball 76-69 +.10 unit.
James Madison -7
Louisville +4
Dayton -7
Southern Illinois +8
Kansas State +5
Western Kentucky +2
V.C.U +1
Illinois Chicago +1.5
Cincinnat +7
New Mexico State +2 I have them winning by 15 points.
South Alabama -6
California +3
Clemson -4 I have them winning by 16 points
Whichita State +2
Washington State +7
Colorado -4 I have them winning by 7
UMASS +6.5 I have them winning by 7 giving them a 14 point advantage.
North Texas +5 I have them winning by 9 giving them a 14 point advantage.
Illinois State +7
Oklahoma -6 I have them winning by 17.
Kentucky -5 I have them winning by 15 points giving them a 10 point advantage.
San Francisco -2 I have them winning by 14 giving them a 12 point advantage.
Boise State +2
Tulane +6 I have them winning by 11 giving them a 16 point advantage.
Xavier +6
CS Northridge +10
LA Tech +7
Nevada -8
All the games with no notes have at least a 6 point advantage. The best plays are the plays with the notes. Those games have a 10 point advantage or more.
These are called tech plays they are made up of an incredible numbers formula that has taken years of work and will win you money. You must have a monay management plan. Do not go putting 50 bucks on one game and 600 on a top play. This numbers formula is patened and will soon cost a bunch of money to enjoy. Today I am feeling happy so they are free.
NBA 24-19
Clippers -10
New York +7
Portland +4
Phoenix +3
These games are also tech plays. The same numbers plan as college and will hit 60% this year and all years.
We are fully into the hoops season so it is time to make some basketball cash. The one thing in the NBA you must pay attention to the schedules because they are a mess and you can run into some great schedule plays. Such as teams playing 3 games in 3 days or a team playing 6 games in 7 days. Pay attention and get paid.
Have a great day.
If you take a look at the videos on fullcardreports.com you will find that the last few days have been masterpieces. There has been so much money made by fullcardreports.com customers there has been many signers.
From Sunland Park, to Aqueduct, Turfway Park, Sam Houston and many other tracks with so many horses paying 20 plus dollars that have been right at the top of the report. The public has no idea why these horses pop up and pay 40 dollars after showing nothing the last few starts. The public thinks fluke. The fullcardreports.com customer knew it was coming.
Oh yes Oaklawn Park a little 40 dollar horse that after looking at the report you wouls have had the winner, exacta, trifecta and Boom!!!
Yesterday with 2 minutes to post I opened my reports to see a standout within seconds and as that horse that finished 8 of 9, last and last in the horses last 3 races I had no problem seeing the pace was in my favor and all the exactas were paying very well.
Oh yes then there was the single by 3 by 4 by 4 for a 36 dollar pick 4 ticket that paid a lousy 577 bucks. Mid stretch it looked like the 2600 payoff was in order but the favorite caught em and the payoff was 577.
Invested 70 bucks and a return of ....Win Bet 20 bucks return 188, exacta bet 14 bucks, return 188, pick 4 36 bucks invested, return 577. Outlay 70 and return of 953. It took me 2 minutes to post to put all of this together with full confidence.
That is just one example and there were 10 or more over the last couple days. Fullcardreports.com....Be A WINNER.
NCAA Basketball 76-69 +.10 unit.
James Madison -7
Louisville +4
Dayton -7
Southern Illinois +8
Kansas State +5
Western Kentucky +2
V.C.U +1
Illinois Chicago +1.5
Cincinnat +7
New Mexico State +2 I have them winning by 15 points.
South Alabama -6
California +3
Clemson -4 I have them winning by 16 points
Whichita State +2
Washington State +7
Colorado -4 I have them winning by 7
UMASS +6.5 I have them winning by 7 giving them a 14 point advantage.
North Texas +5 I have them winning by 9 giving them a 14 point advantage.
Illinois State +7
Oklahoma -6 I have them winning by 17.
Kentucky -5 I have them winning by 15 points giving them a 10 point advantage.
San Francisco -2 I have them winning by 14 giving them a 12 point advantage.
Boise State +2
Tulane +6 I have them winning by 11 giving them a 16 point advantage.
Xavier +6
CS Northridge +10
LA Tech +7
Nevada -8
All the games with no notes have at least a 6 point advantage. The best plays are the plays with the notes. Those games have a 10 point advantage or more.
These are called tech plays they are made up of an incredible numbers formula that has taken years of work and will win you money. You must have a monay management plan. Do not go putting 50 bucks on one game and 600 on a top play. This numbers formula is patened and will soon cost a bunch of money to enjoy. Today I am feeling happy so they are free.
NBA 24-19
Clippers -10
New York +7
Portland +4
Phoenix +3
These games are also tech plays. The same numbers plan as college and will hit 60% this year and all years.
We are fully into the hoops season so it is time to make some basketball cash. The one thing in the NBA you must pay attention to the schedules because they are a mess and you can run into some great schedule plays. Such as teams playing 3 games in 3 days or a team playing 6 games in 7 days. Pay attention and get paid.
Have a great day.
Tuesday, February 7, 2012
How is that HORSESHOE, NEW YORK
Well the Giants and that massive horseshoe they have had up their ass came through to win the Super Bowl. It did not matter how many fumbles or almost interceptions that they got away with. It was their time to win. I do not believe in this is the way it was to come out. The way way things came out in all of this I really almost believe is destiny.
Passes bouncing off of defensive players, fumbles that had four players around the ball to 1 and finding a way to keep the ball. Having one of the best pair of hands in Welker not catching a ball that would have ended the game in the Patriots favor, bouncing harmlessly to the ground and giving the ball back to Eli with over 4 minutes to go. In the last minute a solid receiver in Branch dropping a ball that would have gotten the Patriots down to the 30 with over 40 seconds to go with 1 timeout remaining.
Things like this continued to happen for the Giants. No running game and never touching Brady until the 4th quarter, which on the stat sheet made it look like they were all over him. My worse nightmare is seeing a C defense win the big one. It does not make sense that a weak team got all of the breaks and won it all. It hit me hard with a bet and I take this stuff seriously when the weak get all the breaks. Not go out and win but get every bounce and lucky break, I MEAN EVERY LUCKY BREAK. There should have been two interceptions against the Forty Niners and at least 2 fumble recoveries for the Patriots. Then there was the blown whistle call that no one thought was important. The media, the announcers hell even the Bay Area media did not bring it up. The play was alive and the Forty Niners should have had the ball on the 10 yard line going in to end the Giants.
It is a fact that that was a fumble and the play had not stopped referee shit call or not. The whistle had not stopped the play. PERIOD!!!
Is Manning Elite? I really do not know the answer to this but he got all the breas and more then just one. Good for the Giants and good for their coach but it was very wrong.
While the Niners bet and the Patriots bet which ere 5 times to much for what I do was the real mistake. I went 4-0 in Basketball and still had a over then average losing day. I went 4-2 overall and lost money now that is very poor money management. One of my very good friends in the handicapping world kept asking why I was so upset over just another wager. I felt like an idiot and could not tell him how pathetic my money management was.
I cannot say it enough a play is a play and other then maybe a 2 unit selection there is no reason to not stay with your money management plan. Stay with one unit or max two unit selections. This is the only way to stay ahead of the game. I hit 60% of my NFL plays and two games almost made me a loser in the NFL. That is not how to show a long term profit. Right now I am at almost 60% in the NBA and I am showing a profit, the way it should be. In college basketball I am only at 56% but with solid money management I am showing a profit.
That is the point here 1 or 2 units. If your down then stick with 1 unit selections. When you are on a roll then look for some 2 unit selections. Stick with this and be a long term winner.
NCAA Basketball 65-57
Iowa State +2
Creighton -6
Providence +8
NBA 19-15
Cleveland +13 The others will be out when the lines come out.
Have a great day.
Passes bouncing off of defensive players, fumbles that had four players around the ball to 1 and finding a way to keep the ball. Having one of the best pair of hands in Welker not catching a ball that would have ended the game in the Patriots favor, bouncing harmlessly to the ground and giving the ball back to Eli with over 4 minutes to go. In the last minute a solid receiver in Branch dropping a ball that would have gotten the Patriots down to the 30 with over 40 seconds to go with 1 timeout remaining.
Things like this continued to happen for the Giants. No running game and never touching Brady until the 4th quarter, which on the stat sheet made it look like they were all over him. My worse nightmare is seeing a C defense win the big one. It does not make sense that a weak team got all of the breaks and won it all. It hit me hard with a bet and I take this stuff seriously when the weak get all the breaks. Not go out and win but get every bounce and lucky break, I MEAN EVERY LUCKY BREAK. There should have been two interceptions against the Forty Niners and at least 2 fumble recoveries for the Patriots. Then there was the blown whistle call that no one thought was important. The media, the announcers hell even the Bay Area media did not bring it up. The play was alive and the Forty Niners should have had the ball on the 10 yard line going in to end the Giants.
It is a fact that that was a fumble and the play had not stopped referee shit call or not. The whistle had not stopped the play. PERIOD!!!
Is Manning Elite? I really do not know the answer to this but he got all the breas and more then just one. Good for the Giants and good for their coach but it was very wrong.
While the Niners bet and the Patriots bet which ere 5 times to much for what I do was the real mistake. I went 4-0 in Basketball and still had a over then average losing day. I went 4-2 overall and lost money now that is very poor money management. One of my very good friends in the handicapping world kept asking why I was so upset over just another wager. I felt like an idiot and could not tell him how pathetic my money management was.
I cannot say it enough a play is a play and other then maybe a 2 unit selection there is no reason to not stay with your money management plan. Stay with one unit or max two unit selections. This is the only way to stay ahead of the game. I hit 60% of my NFL plays and two games almost made me a loser in the NFL. That is not how to show a long term profit. Right now I am at almost 60% in the NBA and I am showing a profit, the way it should be. In college basketball I am only at 56% but with solid money management I am showing a profit.
That is the point here 1 or 2 units. If your down then stick with 1 unit selections. When you are on a roll then look for some 2 unit selections. Stick with this and be a long term winner.
NCAA Basketball 65-57
Iowa State +2
Creighton -6
Providence +8
NBA 19-15
Cleveland +13 The others will be out when the lines come out.
Have a great day.
Sunday, February 5, 2012
Super Bowl plays with a number of PROPS and Baskets!!!
The Super Bowl has arrived, or the offenses have arrived and this year in the NFL defense does not matter at all. Through the years, the worst you will get is a B versus A in the defensive area of the football.
After the miracle television ratings must win games of the Patriots against the Giants, we have two shit defenses going up against one another. I rate teams A, B, C as it get's no worse then C.
This year the Giants have the C defense with no running game. Another thing that champions usually have is a solid running game to end the game when ahead. The Giants rush for under a 100 yards a game while the Patriots are respectable at 111 a game on the ground. It is far from ground and pound. It is 5 receiver sets where the running back gets a free run up the middle for at least 6yards.
So instead of two incredible A defenses with the Ravens and Forty Niners and an epic defensive struggle we get two shit defenses who have leaky secondaries. It so happens that the strength of both teams is throwing the football.
The average fan is going to love the track meet that I see coming down the road today. By all rights it looks as though the Giants should have been a very good running team this year but it did not happen this way. I don't know if the running backs have no guile or if the blocking schemes were not right to pound the football.
I like everyone on the planet told my son right after the Forty Niner game that without looking at anything that the Giants were the easy play. Well everyone on the planet stayed with that pick. I have read, watched and heard why the Giants cannot lose this big game.
Then I made my charts and broke this game down as I would any other game. I could not believe my eyes. The New England Patriots are a very strong play on Sunday. They have the better defense, and an outstanding offense that will give the Giants all kinds of problems. Unlike the injured Packers, the no dimensional Falcons and the short handed Forty Niners. New England has a legit 5 headed monster on offense.
Besides the 5 headed monster, better coaching and the sneaky defense that is better then the Giants the Patriots are the number one seed riding the most silent 10 GAME WINNING STREAK in football history!!! That's correct a 10 game winning streak. That makes two very hot teams, with one team getting completely overlooked. Back to the 5 headed monster.
Start at the top. Tom Brady, he and the best coach in football had God status taken away from them in 2007/2008 Super Bowl. I have been told their is no revenge in the Super Bowl. To a point I believe this. This coach and this quarterback remember what happened and coach has worked overtime to try and duplicate what the Forty Niners did to the Giants in the second half of the NFC Championship game. But for 2 fumbles by Kyle Williams the Forty Niners would be here in full defensive force. Tom has been told his entire career his short comings and the perfect season was taken away by luck in the end. He will play out of his mind.
Wide Out Branch as I have been told by more then one person is not a speedster, so how will he do anything in the game? I have been told this by more then one good handicapper but I have an outlook that will let Branch have a great game. A game that he had when he was an MVP in the Super Bowl. It is all about match ups and schemes. The tight end is the main weapon for the Patriots and he will be getting a lot of attention. Doubled and spied, so what will this do? It will allow Branch to sneak down the sideline on a wheel route or a stop and go and their will be 5 or 6 deep chances that mister Brady will not miss. I see Branch making 2 deep catches for huge plays.
Tight end, he will get open down the middle early and often. With his speed and size he will give the weak Giants secondary fits. Now the very fun part. When he is doubled and stopped look for Hernandez and Welker to light it up underneath. When Branch, Welker and Hernendez are covered a running back will slide out and gaind a quick 12 to 15 yards. There are weapons short, medium and deep. It will be very hard for the Giants to cover it all.
Wes Welker will be the outlet from hell for the Patriots by getting his 10-12 cathes at 10-15 yars at a time. If the RAVENS could not hammer Tom Brady then he will have time to find his five headed monster. Tom will throw for 350 at least with all of his receivers getting open with time.
Star Tight end. Hernandez, Welker, This is the biggest game of Ocho Cinco's career and like Boldin like last week the veteran will show up. Then their is Branch who has done great in big games. I am leaving out the two capable running backs who will have opportunities. Again the Giants will not be capable of covering all of those weapons. Look for the forgotten one mister Cinco to have his chances all game. I am happy for him, it has been a long time coming to get to this one game that matters. If Boldin for the Ravens can show heart, so can mister Cinco!
Funny part that when all of these guys are getting open, it will open some huge running lanes.
So a better defense, a defense that only has to slow down two wide outs and and the tight ends who will not get a bunch of attention.
New England Patriots 38 New York Giants 27
I really see the Patriots scoring in the 40s but I do not want to overstep what I really think. Remember I did not stay they would stop the Giants. I said Slow down the mighty G men.
One last thing about this Super Bowl.
I have read on many gambling sites, which I do not do often because I have my own though process. I would say after reading up to 150 blogs and this is not media but other handicappers. There is a difference of 140 New York Giants and the under picks and no more then 10 saying New England or the under. I have never seen a great team so over looked as the team that has won 10 games in a row and are the number one seed from the AFC.
The MEDIA, well that is a different story. I have not seen one media type pick the New England Patriots. I will say it again. Patriots winners of 10 in a row. The Patriots are the number one seed. The Patriots who have key players that have won more then one Super Bowl. We call it the squares and the squares are all over the New York Giants and the under. the public is never on the under. This game they are allover the under, which I am either the worst handicapper on the planet or the Bookies are going to make a killing.
I have a handicapping friend for 15 years that I have the most respect for of any handicapper I know and I could not bribe him to take the Patriots. He said it is all about the squares and today he called himself the square of all squares. I am bummed but will never talk someone off of a dog. He is on the dog with me so at least he is on the book makers side for half of the game. I mean this is one of two people in the handicapping world that I will every now and again play some of his plays. He will also play some of my plays as well but we tend to do our own thing. When we agree it is magic.
The NBA has been very strong while waiting for the Super Bowl and College hoops is holding it's own.
NBA 19-14 +3.60 units 58%
Memphis +4.5
NCAA Basketball 62-57 -.70 units
Minnesota PK
Niagra +6
Loyola-Maryland -9
NFL 12-10 +2.00 units 55%
New England -2.5
New England Over 53
NFL 55-36 +15.40 units 60%
Coin Toss Tails -102 I know sucker bet but 16-3 last 19 years.
Yes a score first 6 minutes -115
Yes over 6.5 Touchdowns for game -110
Yes over 3.5 Touchdowns first half +165
Giants score a first quarter touchdown +100
Patriots score in every quarter +145
Patriots convert 5.5 3rd down conversions for game -130
Eli Throws or rushes for a Touchdown in 3rd quarter +155
Giants Tynes over 1.5 field goals -105
Weathaford has a touchback in game +145
Patriots Brady Over 3.5 Touchdowns +280
Patriots Branch Yes Touchdown +200
Patriots Ocho Cinco Over 8.5 yards +100
Patriots win by 11 +2000
Last play of game NOT a kneel down +150
Giants first to kickoff +235 (only on this because this is a 50/50 prop)
Have a great day.
After the miracle television ratings must win games of the Patriots against the Giants, we have two shit defenses going up against one another. I rate teams A, B, C as it get's no worse then C.
This year the Giants have the C defense with no running game. Another thing that champions usually have is a solid running game to end the game when ahead. The Giants rush for under a 100 yards a game while the Patriots are respectable at 111 a game on the ground. It is far from ground and pound. It is 5 receiver sets where the running back gets a free run up the middle for at least 6yards.
So instead of two incredible A defenses with the Ravens and Forty Niners and an epic defensive struggle we get two shit defenses who have leaky secondaries. It so happens that the strength of both teams is throwing the football.
The average fan is going to love the track meet that I see coming down the road today. By all rights it looks as though the Giants should have been a very good running team this year but it did not happen this way. I don't know if the running backs have no guile or if the blocking schemes were not right to pound the football.
I like everyone on the planet told my son right after the Forty Niner game that without looking at anything that the Giants were the easy play. Well everyone on the planet stayed with that pick. I have read, watched and heard why the Giants cannot lose this big game.
Then I made my charts and broke this game down as I would any other game. I could not believe my eyes. The New England Patriots are a very strong play on Sunday. They have the better defense, and an outstanding offense that will give the Giants all kinds of problems. Unlike the injured Packers, the no dimensional Falcons and the short handed Forty Niners. New England has a legit 5 headed monster on offense.
Besides the 5 headed monster, better coaching and the sneaky defense that is better then the Giants the Patriots are the number one seed riding the most silent 10 GAME WINNING STREAK in football history!!! That's correct a 10 game winning streak. That makes two very hot teams, with one team getting completely overlooked. Back to the 5 headed monster.
Start at the top. Tom Brady, he and the best coach in football had God status taken away from them in 2007/2008 Super Bowl. I have been told their is no revenge in the Super Bowl. To a point I believe this. This coach and this quarterback remember what happened and coach has worked overtime to try and duplicate what the Forty Niners did to the Giants in the second half of the NFC Championship game. But for 2 fumbles by Kyle Williams the Forty Niners would be here in full defensive force. Tom has been told his entire career his short comings and the perfect season was taken away by luck in the end. He will play out of his mind.
Wide Out Branch as I have been told by more then one person is not a speedster, so how will he do anything in the game? I have been told this by more then one good handicapper but I have an outlook that will let Branch have a great game. A game that he had when he was an MVP in the Super Bowl. It is all about match ups and schemes. The tight end is the main weapon for the Patriots and he will be getting a lot of attention. Doubled and spied, so what will this do? It will allow Branch to sneak down the sideline on a wheel route or a stop and go and their will be 5 or 6 deep chances that mister Brady will not miss. I see Branch making 2 deep catches for huge plays.
Tight end, he will get open down the middle early and often. With his speed and size he will give the weak Giants secondary fits. Now the very fun part. When he is doubled and stopped look for Hernandez and Welker to light it up underneath. When Branch, Welker and Hernendez are covered a running back will slide out and gaind a quick 12 to 15 yards. There are weapons short, medium and deep. It will be very hard for the Giants to cover it all.
Wes Welker will be the outlet from hell for the Patriots by getting his 10-12 cathes at 10-15 yars at a time. If the RAVENS could not hammer Tom Brady then he will have time to find his five headed monster. Tom will throw for 350 at least with all of his receivers getting open with time.
Star Tight end. Hernandez, Welker, This is the biggest game of Ocho Cinco's career and like Boldin like last week the veteran will show up. Then their is Branch who has done great in big games. I am leaving out the two capable running backs who will have opportunities. Again the Giants will not be capable of covering all of those weapons. Look for the forgotten one mister Cinco to have his chances all game. I am happy for him, it has been a long time coming to get to this one game that matters. If Boldin for the Ravens can show heart, so can mister Cinco!
Funny part that when all of these guys are getting open, it will open some huge running lanes.
So a better defense, a defense that only has to slow down two wide outs and and the tight ends who will not get a bunch of attention.
New England Patriots 38 New York Giants 27
I really see the Patriots scoring in the 40s but I do not want to overstep what I really think. Remember I did not stay they would stop the Giants. I said Slow down the mighty G men.
One last thing about this Super Bowl.
I have read on many gambling sites, which I do not do often because I have my own though process. I would say after reading up to 150 blogs and this is not media but other handicappers. There is a difference of 140 New York Giants and the under picks and no more then 10 saying New England or the under. I have never seen a great team so over looked as the team that has won 10 games in a row and are the number one seed from the AFC.
The MEDIA, well that is a different story. I have not seen one media type pick the New England Patriots. I will say it again. Patriots winners of 10 in a row. The Patriots are the number one seed. The Patriots who have key players that have won more then one Super Bowl. We call it the squares and the squares are all over the New York Giants and the under. the public is never on the under. This game they are allover the under, which I am either the worst handicapper on the planet or the Bookies are going to make a killing.
I have a handicapping friend for 15 years that I have the most respect for of any handicapper I know and I could not bribe him to take the Patriots. He said it is all about the squares and today he called himself the square of all squares. I am bummed but will never talk someone off of a dog. He is on the dog with me so at least he is on the book makers side for half of the game. I mean this is one of two people in the handicapping world that I will every now and again play some of his plays. He will also play some of my plays as well but we tend to do our own thing. When we agree it is magic.
The NBA has been very strong while waiting for the Super Bowl and College hoops is holding it's own.
NBA 19-14 +3.60 units 58%
Memphis +4.5
NCAA Basketball 62-57 -.70 units
Minnesota PK
Niagra +6
Loyola-Maryland -9
NFL 12-10 +2.00 units 55%
New England -2.5
New England Over 53
NFL 55-36 +15.40 units 60%
Coin Toss Tails -102 I know sucker bet but 16-3 last 19 years.
Yes a score first 6 minutes -115
Yes over 6.5 Touchdowns for game -110
Yes over 3.5 Touchdowns first half +165
Giants score a first quarter touchdown +100
Patriots score in every quarter +145
Patriots convert 5.5 3rd down conversions for game -130
Eli Throws or rushes for a Touchdown in 3rd quarter +155
Giants Tynes over 1.5 field goals -105
Weathaford has a touchback in game +145
Patriots Brady Over 3.5 Touchdowns +280
Patriots Branch Yes Touchdown +200
Patriots Ocho Cinco Over 8.5 yards +100
Patriots win by 11 +2000
Last play of game NOT a kneel down +150
Giants first to kickoff +235 (only on this because this is a 50/50 prop)
Have a great day.
Monday, January 30, 2012
Tiger, The Super Bowl and a review of the year
Well I almost called the ball with a Tiger win. He just couldn't help himself on the final day. It was the only day where he started hitting the ball left off the tee. You knew he was in trouble on the very first swing of the day and even after going par-birdie-birdie, it was false. Tiger will win a major this year and will have at least 4 or 5 wins all year. Bold but true.
I never thought in this day and age that the Patriots would be completely looked over in any no less a Super Bowl. I was like everyone when at first glance that the Giants were the easy play in the Super Bowl.
I then did the stats on the game and will be making a strong play on the Patriots. They have the better defense overall and their offense has 4 weapons who can all catch the ball and will make the Giants playing Atlanta and the Forty Niners seem like playing a college team.
I watched the film on the Niner game and other then Vernon Davis Crabtree was a non player in the game against the Giants. It was welcome to physical playoff football young man. Every single play he was knocked off of his route by a physical cover man. I did not note 5 plays where he got off the ball and into his route. Makes it very tough on a quarterback to only have one viable option on every play.
Before the cries of the Giants crushed the Packers and made them look like little boys. It is true that the Giants dominated the Packers. The score was in no way indicative of how dominating the Giants were against the Packers. Once again a coach learned a lesson in the worst manner possible. The Packers with the bye week and resting their starters for the last 2 weeks of the season were well of of their game. The timing was off with Rodgers and his wide outs. A month off is to long to rest and play at the top of ones game.
The Packers also had one of the worst defenses in football giving up close to 500 yards a game. Jennings should not have been playing at all and for the first time all year the Packers had their offensive line beat up and if it was a regular season game three of those linemen would not have been playing. A perfect storm to lose.
The Giants have been one of the good stories this season. Fighting all the way and making it to the Super Bowl. They survived 3 possible interceptions with Niners running into one another rather then ending the Giants run. The Niners special teams had carried them for much of the year and 2 fluke fumbles gave the Giants 10 points in the second half. The Giants were dominated in the 2nd half and got 2 breaks that gave them 10 points.
The Patriots coach is a smart man and he will have broken down the film from the Niner game every possible way. He doesn't have the talent that the Niners have on their front line but he can run corner blitz's and will find a way to slow the Giants down. He doesn't have the talent to stop them but he will find a way to slow them down, thanks to the Niners and what they did in the 2nd half of their game.
I have been told that their is no revenge in the Super Bowl. The past doesn't matter. I say that is bullshit. The Patriots coach and Tom Brady were on the doorstep of being football gods in 2007. The undefeated season and everything that goes with it. The fact that this was taken away from the Patriots does play a piece in this game. Maybe a small part but this is a fact.
The Giants will not be able to shut down all 4 receivers for the Patriots. The Patriots have the middle covered with their tight end who will be playing. The underneath with Welker, and if that gets taken away look for Branch to get a cheap long touchdown or more. Alex Smith had his chances to hit a couple very deep passes, but missed. Tom Brady will not miss his chances.
When all the passing game gets going then the Patriots will get a few cheap 12 to 20 yard runs. The Giants on the other hand do have their weapons. With Nicks hurt, this will hurt Crews. I am not talking 7 stops in a row I am talking a couple stops and settling for a couple field goals instead of touchdowns.
The public and a few pro players are all over the Giants. The Giants and the under as a matter of fact. The books have had a tough year and with a great Super Bowl any and all losses will get wiped out. I have seen this story before. Public thinks it will be easy money and the books get the last and biggest laugh.
Think about it, you play the small favorite in the Super Bowl and it happens to be the New England Patriots 15-3 with a 10 game winning streak. You get to be with the books and have the number one seed against a 12-7 team who is a 4 seed.
The Patriots will score no less then 35 points. I really think the Patriots will score in the 40's but I will settle with 35. The Giants will score no less then 21 points and with a couple field goals the Giants end up with 27.
If you do a little math, even on the low end this game will sky over the total. As the public and some pro's look back at 2007. The under looks good to many people as well. What a perfect storm. The better team, the better seed, and we get to be on the bookmakers side. It doesn't get any better then this my friends.
Take The patriots and the Over. Be a winner along with Vegas.
NFL 53-36 +13.40 units. 60%
NFL Double plays 12-10 +2.00 units 55%
NCAA Football 75-62 +6.80 units 55%
NCAA Football Double plays 21-19 +.20 unit 53%
Baseball +29.80 units 52%
NCAA Basketball 53-43 +5.70 units 55%
NBA 10-7 +2.30 units 59%
NCAA Basketball For Tuesday 1/31/2012
NCAA Basketball 53-43 +5.70 units 55%
Michigan State -3
Kent State -4
Seton Hall +9
A top play in College hoops.
Kansas State +2
NBA 10-7 +2.30 units 59%
Atlanta -4
Have a great day.
I never thought in this day and age that the Patriots would be completely looked over in any no less a Super Bowl. I was like everyone when at first glance that the Giants were the easy play in the Super Bowl.
I then did the stats on the game and will be making a strong play on the Patriots. They have the better defense overall and their offense has 4 weapons who can all catch the ball and will make the Giants playing Atlanta and the Forty Niners seem like playing a college team.
I watched the film on the Niner game and other then Vernon Davis Crabtree was a non player in the game against the Giants. It was welcome to physical playoff football young man. Every single play he was knocked off of his route by a physical cover man. I did not note 5 plays where he got off the ball and into his route. Makes it very tough on a quarterback to only have one viable option on every play.
Before the cries of the Giants crushed the Packers and made them look like little boys. It is true that the Giants dominated the Packers. The score was in no way indicative of how dominating the Giants were against the Packers. Once again a coach learned a lesson in the worst manner possible. The Packers with the bye week and resting their starters for the last 2 weeks of the season were well of of their game. The timing was off with Rodgers and his wide outs. A month off is to long to rest and play at the top of ones game.
The Packers also had one of the worst defenses in football giving up close to 500 yards a game. Jennings should not have been playing at all and for the first time all year the Packers had their offensive line beat up and if it was a regular season game three of those linemen would not have been playing. A perfect storm to lose.
The Giants have been one of the good stories this season. Fighting all the way and making it to the Super Bowl. They survived 3 possible interceptions with Niners running into one another rather then ending the Giants run. The Niners special teams had carried them for much of the year and 2 fluke fumbles gave the Giants 10 points in the second half. The Giants were dominated in the 2nd half and got 2 breaks that gave them 10 points.
The Patriots coach is a smart man and he will have broken down the film from the Niner game every possible way. He doesn't have the talent that the Niners have on their front line but he can run corner blitz's and will find a way to slow the Giants down. He doesn't have the talent to stop them but he will find a way to slow them down, thanks to the Niners and what they did in the 2nd half of their game.
I have been told that their is no revenge in the Super Bowl. The past doesn't matter. I say that is bullshit. The Patriots coach and Tom Brady were on the doorstep of being football gods in 2007. The undefeated season and everything that goes with it. The fact that this was taken away from the Patriots does play a piece in this game. Maybe a small part but this is a fact.
The Giants will not be able to shut down all 4 receivers for the Patriots. The Patriots have the middle covered with their tight end who will be playing. The underneath with Welker, and if that gets taken away look for Branch to get a cheap long touchdown or more. Alex Smith had his chances to hit a couple very deep passes, but missed. Tom Brady will not miss his chances.
When all the passing game gets going then the Patriots will get a few cheap 12 to 20 yard runs. The Giants on the other hand do have their weapons. With Nicks hurt, this will hurt Crews. I am not talking 7 stops in a row I am talking a couple stops and settling for a couple field goals instead of touchdowns.
The public and a few pro players are all over the Giants. The Giants and the under as a matter of fact. The books have had a tough year and with a great Super Bowl any and all losses will get wiped out. I have seen this story before. Public thinks it will be easy money and the books get the last and biggest laugh.
Think about it, you play the small favorite in the Super Bowl and it happens to be the New England Patriots 15-3 with a 10 game winning streak. You get to be with the books and have the number one seed against a 12-7 team who is a 4 seed.
The Patriots will score no less then 35 points. I really think the Patriots will score in the 40's but I will settle with 35. The Giants will score no less then 21 points and with a couple field goals the Giants end up with 27.
If you do a little math, even on the low end this game will sky over the total. As the public and some pro's look back at 2007. The under looks good to many people as well. What a perfect storm. The better team, the better seed, and we get to be on the bookmakers side. It doesn't get any better then this my friends.
Take The patriots and the Over. Be a winner along with Vegas.
NFL 53-36 +13.40 units. 60%
NFL Double plays 12-10 +2.00 units 55%
NCAA Football 75-62 +6.80 units 55%
NCAA Football Double plays 21-19 +.20 unit 53%
Baseball +29.80 units 52%
NCAA Basketball 53-43 +5.70 units 55%
NBA 10-7 +2.30 units 59%
NCAA Basketball For Tuesday 1/31/2012
NCAA Basketball 53-43 +5.70 units 55%
Michigan State -3
Kent State -4
Seton Hall +9
A top play in College hoops.
Kansas State +2
NBA 10-7 +2.30 units 59%
Atlanta -4
Have a great day.
Thursday, January 26, 2012
He is BACK
Tiger Woods opens up his 2012 golf year with a 2 under 71. That is not the real story though. He hit 17 green in regulation and hit all but on e fairway. The score and putting not the real story. He had 34 putts, which is understandable after a long break. 30 putts is about where a pro would like to be and with those Greens in regulation and fairways hit a 65 or 64 was not out of the question.
I was under the impression a year ago that with all of Tiger's troubles. Divorce, swing change and mental state. It would be a long time before any improvement was evident. I was wrong. This man is going to have a huge year. hate to say it but he must have two or three girlfriends to get his juices flowing again.
I would even say he will win a Major this year! I can hardly believe I am even saying this but at the right odds, A YES Tiger will win a Major this year. Right now the odds are as high as will ever be on Tiger to get a Major this year. I think I saw +260 or more out there. After this year he will be minus a lot. Get the best odds you will ever get on any Tiger wager.
You may want to check out what the odds are for Tiger to win this week. Any odds over +200 and I believe it is a green light play. I had buried this man and would have told you to bet against Tiger at all costs. The man is a great golfer and if he comes on strong this year, Jack's Major record is once again in Tigers grasp.
Rest in peace Joe PA!!!
I have said enough about what the media did to kill the Penn State great, so just rest in peace MISTER Paterno.
Must be year of change for me betting wise. I usually pass on the NBA but with the short season and teams having some odd schedules, the NBA has some very nice chances at making some money.
Yesterday I played the Golden State Warriors as a 3 point favorite against the Portland Trail Blazers. After you look at the records and the way the two teams were playing you would have to be on Portland....The night before Portland beat a streaking Memphis team and had won two in a row. The Warriors had lost three heart breakers. The Warriors in their very last game had blown a 20 point lead against Memphis and the game before that lost another one they should have won versus Indiana.
So why Golden State?
A very nice thing happened(not in the eyes of Portland) The Trail Blazers were playing their 3rd game in three nights! Sure enough it worked out the way one would think. Portland led at the half but were only shooting 44%. Golden State was shooting 51% but were getting out rebounded by a large amount in the first half. In the 3rd quarter, Golden State kept shooting well and Portland started to look a little tired on the boards. 4th Quarter was a grind but the Warriors wore a tired Blazers team down and won by 8. Sometimes records and stats do not matter as much as a fresh team wearing down a tired team. Thank you schedule makers.
That is a wonderful example of paying attention to all aspects of any sport.
Have a great day.
I was under the impression a year ago that with all of Tiger's troubles. Divorce, swing change and mental state. It would be a long time before any improvement was evident. I was wrong. This man is going to have a huge year. hate to say it but he must have two or three girlfriends to get his juices flowing again.
I would even say he will win a Major this year! I can hardly believe I am even saying this but at the right odds, A YES Tiger will win a Major this year. Right now the odds are as high as will ever be on Tiger to get a Major this year. I think I saw +260 or more out there. After this year he will be minus a lot. Get the best odds you will ever get on any Tiger wager.
You may want to check out what the odds are for Tiger to win this week. Any odds over +200 and I believe it is a green light play. I had buried this man and would have told you to bet against Tiger at all costs. The man is a great golfer and if he comes on strong this year, Jack's Major record is once again in Tigers grasp.
Rest in peace Joe PA!!!
I have said enough about what the media did to kill the Penn State great, so just rest in peace MISTER Paterno.
Must be year of change for me betting wise. I usually pass on the NBA but with the short season and teams having some odd schedules, the NBA has some very nice chances at making some money.
Yesterday I played the Golden State Warriors as a 3 point favorite against the Portland Trail Blazers. After you look at the records and the way the two teams were playing you would have to be on Portland....The night before Portland beat a streaking Memphis team and had won two in a row. The Warriors had lost three heart breakers. The Warriors in their very last game had blown a 20 point lead against Memphis and the game before that lost another one they should have won versus Indiana.
So why Golden State?
A very nice thing happened(not in the eyes of Portland) The Trail Blazers were playing their 3rd game in three nights! Sure enough it worked out the way one would think. Portland led at the half but were only shooting 44%. Golden State was shooting 51% but were getting out rebounded by a large amount in the first half. In the 3rd quarter, Golden State kept shooting well and Portland started to look a little tired on the boards. 4th Quarter was a grind but the Warriors wore a tired Blazers team down and won by 8. Sometimes records and stats do not matter as much as a fresh team wearing down a tired team. Thank you schedule makers.
That is a wonderful example of paying attention to all aspects of any sport.
Have a great day.
Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Stand up and be heard
Death threats ? Really, Cmon folks. Kyle Williams will be a good pro and will do things in the future to hel the Niners win football games. Some idiots out there have taken things a little or a lot to far by having the cowards response to a human error by throwing death threats at Kyle Williams and his family.
I am very sure that Williams did not go out there with the intention of having two bonehead plays cost his team the game and a trip to the Super Bowl. The fact is that the Niners were ZERO for the game on 3rd down attempts. Do I believe that they could have taken the chance to win the game by going for at least two fourth down and very short in Giants territory? YES I do.
The Niners play a old fashioned brand of football and punted every time it was time to punt and they had done that for most of the season. The defense in the 2nd half was the best defense that the League has seen for a half.
Tough loss and Kyle Williams will have to bare this all of his life. The punishment more then fits the crime. Death Threats from people on line is a joke. Grow up fans it is a game.
You have a great coach and an identity. That is a lot because most teams in the NFL have no identity. The Niners will compete again for a chance at the Super Bowl within the next 5 years and will be a contender.
If you cowards out there want to threaten someone, show up and do it in person. No weapons though. Be an adult and do not stand behind your twitter account, or your facebook. I have no twitter or facebook. I will not sit there and tell people I just walked to the kitchen, what a wonderful walk.
There was a time where you would go to the store or on a drive and not be looking at your cell phone at all times. What did the world do when people would talk to one another and look someone in the eye to connect with your fellow man or woman.
Have a great day
I am very sure that Williams did not go out there with the intention of having two bonehead plays cost his team the game and a trip to the Super Bowl. The fact is that the Niners were ZERO for the game on 3rd down attempts. Do I believe that they could have taken the chance to win the game by going for at least two fourth down and very short in Giants territory? YES I do.
The Niners play a old fashioned brand of football and punted every time it was time to punt and they had done that for most of the season. The defense in the 2nd half was the best defense that the League has seen for a half.
Tough loss and Kyle Williams will have to bare this all of his life. The punishment more then fits the crime. Death Threats from people on line is a joke. Grow up fans it is a game.
You have a great coach and an identity. That is a lot because most teams in the NFL have no identity. The Niners will compete again for a chance at the Super Bowl within the next 5 years and will be a contender.
If you cowards out there want to threaten someone, show up and do it in person. No weapons though. Be an adult and do not stand behind your twitter account, or your facebook. I have no twitter or facebook. I will not sit there and tell people I just walked to the kitchen, what a wonderful walk.
There was a time where you would go to the store or on a drive and not be looking at your cell phone at all times. What did the world do when people would talk to one another and look someone in the eye to connect with your fellow man or woman.
Have a great day
Sunday, January 22, 2012
You got it right media, geniuses
Well the media and television people got what they wanted. Both the Ravens and the Niners lose on of all things special team errors. Who would have thought that the injury to Ted Ginn JR would have cost the Niners a trip to the Super Bowl.
Amazingly the media is saying what do the Niners have to do to fix their secondary? huh...The Niner defense pitched a shutout in the 2nd half with 6 sacks and a number of hits. You look and say the Niners gave up 10 points including overtime.
Kyle Williams, this is the man who took the place of Ted Ginn JR, he picked the worst time of his football life to make two mistakes. The Niners were dominating the second half when he did not run up to catch a punt. Instead of getting away from the football he remained close and it barley touched his right knee. A few plays later touchdown Giants.
I looked at the box score and got all I wanted out of the Niners. Their defense was dominating and the offense had done enough to win the Niner way. The Niners came close to overcoming Williams first mistake and settled for a tying field goal.
The game became a defensive struggle, which in Niner football. Another big Niner stop and getting the football back again Kyle Williams made sure his second error ended his teams season. Instead of a fair catch he made a catch and tried for that extra 2 yards with the football away from his body. Fumble and Giants go to the Super Bowl.
I cannot imagine the sick feeling the Niners coach felt as the way he preached to play the game was dropped on the 23 yard line. Oh sure the great Eli Manning and Tom Brady will meet again in the Super Bowl and the points will fly. Sad.
One last thing I would like to thank the media once again for the murder of Joe Paterno. Every idiot who jumped on the bus to commit this murder should really feel proud, you should all go to prison.
Have a great day.
Amazingly the media is saying what do the Niners have to do to fix their secondary? huh...The Niner defense pitched a shutout in the 2nd half with 6 sacks and a number of hits. You look and say the Niners gave up 10 points including overtime.
Kyle Williams, this is the man who took the place of Ted Ginn JR, he picked the worst time of his football life to make two mistakes. The Niners were dominating the second half when he did not run up to catch a punt. Instead of getting away from the football he remained close and it barley touched his right knee. A few plays later touchdown Giants.
I looked at the box score and got all I wanted out of the Niners. Their defense was dominating and the offense had done enough to win the Niner way. The Niners came close to overcoming Williams first mistake and settled for a tying field goal.
The game became a defensive struggle, which in Niner football. Another big Niner stop and getting the football back again Kyle Williams made sure his second error ended his teams season. Instead of a fair catch he made a catch and tried for that extra 2 yards with the football away from his body. Fumble and Giants go to the Super Bowl.
I cannot imagine the sick feeling the Niners coach felt as the way he preached to play the game was dropped on the 23 yard line. Oh sure the great Eli Manning and Tom Brady will meet again in the Super Bowl and the points will fly. Sad.
One last thing I would like to thank the media once again for the murder of Joe Paterno. Every idiot who jumped on the bus to commit this murder should really feel proud, you should all go to prison.
Have a great day.
Saturday, January 21, 2012
When wrong is right and right is wrong
As we dive further into the College Basketball season and conference play is in full swing we can take a strong look at betting the hoops.
One of my favorite plays in College Basketball is to play on the home favorite of an un ranked team, when favored over a ranked team. This is a classic case of of betting on the wrong team and against a public trap.
This little beauty used to hit at close to 90 percent, but the odds makers got wise and for a few years this was corrected and people stopped making the play. The Average guy is going to play that ranked team almost every time.
The fact is that the odd makers generally do not make mistakes and again you would be putting yourself on the book makers side. Remember only 2 percent of all sports bettors win. Most people know this yet will always go with the easy looking play. Over and over I see smart people get sucked into the easy play.
There is never an easy play. There are however plays that have a better then average chance to win. In College Basketball you can also keep a list of go against teams. I try to not make go with teams because go with teams after a while are over bet and the lines will reflect this.
A good rule of thumb if you play on a road team in College Basketball, you must believe they are better by 10 points or more to get the straight up win. Keeping this in mind always read the lines.
The wrong side right side play for me is rather odd. Most sports I look to always go with an underdog. In the case of wrong side right side I will always be on the favorite. This for a time was tough to play but with over 60% winners, I take my chances.
The NBA or the biggest piece of shit sport on the planet, is a very tough beat. As in all sports their are a few gems that will give you few plays that will show you a profit.
Play on a rested team at home that is a 6 point favorite or more, against a team that played at home the night before. This play over time has hit at a solid 56 to 58% and you will not find a play every night.
You will not have a ton of plays and as with any mode of play make sure you have a game plan. Do not throw in more plays just because you crave the action. Always have a bankroll plan a handicapping plan and find your strengths and weaknesses.
THIS IS THE IMPORTANT part....If it has not worked in the past it will not all of the sudden work in the future. This is not to say you cannot have losing streaks. You will always have losing streaks. The question is....Are you a winning player or do you fool yourself over and over, year after year and make no changes to become a winning player.
It takes work and it takes going back through past results over hundreds of results, even thousands of results. If you continue to lose then quit. If you always look at a game and say that this team is better then that team so they must win...QUIT....Or learn how to win.
If you play the horses then you must have fullcardreports.com!!! I cannot tell you how much money you save just by having this wonderful product. You will not hit every horse but your rate of return and your bottom line will show a solid profit. be that person who hits that 8000 tri or 22,000 super. Remember fullcardreports.com.
Saturdays plays.
NBA 1-0
Memphis -9 Here is a case where the Sacramento Kings got their 2nd road win of the season against a solid opponent in San Antonio yesterday, but today things go back to normal and Memphis blows them out.
NCAA Basketball 34-21
Arkansas -1
Vanderbilt -7
Pittsburgh -3
Boston College -1
Kansas State -3
NHL 10-12 -.45 units
Ottawa
San Jose
Calgary
Colorado
Have a great day.
One of my favorite plays in College Basketball is to play on the home favorite of an un ranked team, when favored over a ranked team. This is a classic case of of betting on the wrong team and against a public trap.
This little beauty used to hit at close to 90 percent, but the odds makers got wise and for a few years this was corrected and people stopped making the play. The Average guy is going to play that ranked team almost every time.
The fact is that the odd makers generally do not make mistakes and again you would be putting yourself on the book makers side. Remember only 2 percent of all sports bettors win. Most people know this yet will always go with the easy looking play. Over and over I see smart people get sucked into the easy play.
There is never an easy play. There are however plays that have a better then average chance to win. In College Basketball you can also keep a list of go against teams. I try to not make go with teams because go with teams after a while are over bet and the lines will reflect this.
A good rule of thumb if you play on a road team in College Basketball, you must believe they are better by 10 points or more to get the straight up win. Keeping this in mind always read the lines.
The wrong side right side play for me is rather odd. Most sports I look to always go with an underdog. In the case of wrong side right side I will always be on the favorite. This for a time was tough to play but with over 60% winners, I take my chances.
The NBA or the biggest piece of shit sport on the planet, is a very tough beat. As in all sports their are a few gems that will give you few plays that will show you a profit.
Play on a rested team at home that is a 6 point favorite or more, against a team that played at home the night before. This play over time has hit at a solid 56 to 58% and you will not find a play every night.
You will not have a ton of plays and as with any mode of play make sure you have a game plan. Do not throw in more plays just because you crave the action. Always have a bankroll plan a handicapping plan and find your strengths and weaknesses.
THIS IS THE IMPORTANT part....If it has not worked in the past it will not all of the sudden work in the future. This is not to say you cannot have losing streaks. You will always have losing streaks. The question is....Are you a winning player or do you fool yourself over and over, year after year and make no changes to become a winning player.
It takes work and it takes going back through past results over hundreds of results, even thousands of results. If you continue to lose then quit. If you always look at a game and say that this team is better then that team so they must win...QUIT....Or learn how to win.
If you play the horses then you must have fullcardreports.com!!! I cannot tell you how much money you save just by having this wonderful product. You will not hit every horse but your rate of return and your bottom line will show a solid profit. be that person who hits that 8000 tri or 22,000 super. Remember fullcardreports.com.
Saturdays plays.
NBA 1-0
Memphis -9 Here is a case where the Sacramento Kings got their 2nd road win of the season against a solid opponent in San Antonio yesterday, but today things go back to normal and Memphis blows them out.
NCAA Basketball 34-21
Arkansas -1
Vanderbilt -7
Pittsburgh -3
Boston College -1
Kansas State -3
NHL 10-12 -.45 units
Ottawa
San Jose
Calgary
Colorado
Have a great day.
Thursday, January 19, 2012
Championship Football on the way
I always find this a tough time to write about sports. I think the NBA is not much of a product and College Basketball, although a great product. March is where College Basketball starts really jumping. Oh sure I bet on College Hoops and at 33-18 I am having a decent year but If it is not about the NFL then whats the use, right?
The two games will be great this weekend. You have opposites in the first championship game. New England and all that passing. The Patriots have little to no defense and no running game, but they have proved all year living by the pass is enough. They play the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens will not put up 40 plus in a shootout but have a stingy yet older defense. This might be the last chance for a while for Lewis, Reed and company.
If and it is a big IF. Brady get's hit and hit and hit...The Ravens have a great chance to win the game. They must rush as a team for close to 200 yards. Not just to move the football but to ill the clock. Brady and company cannot do much while on the sidelines. A couple nice 9 or 10 minute touchdown drives would go a very long way for the Ravens in this one.
In following me you know that for me defense and rushing lead the way. So it would make sense for a solid play on the Ravens +7.
The next game is a wonderful contest with two teams that seem to be mirror images of one another. They are not at all. The Niners will not be beaten by the run while the Giants will give up rushing yards that will allow the Niners to get their pass game on track. Classic formula, rush to set up the pass. The only thing that scares me is the weather.
The NINERS are the solid big play here. I have not locked onto a total yet.
If you play the horses....You must have fullcardreports.com. This is the best horse product on the market. At 27 bucks a month, you will not have to buy a form or program again. Just for that reason it is well worth the price. A weekend player will save money and be a winner.
Have a great day.
The two games will be great this weekend. You have opposites in the first championship game. New England and all that passing. The Patriots have little to no defense and no running game, but they have proved all year living by the pass is enough. They play the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens will not put up 40 plus in a shootout but have a stingy yet older defense. This might be the last chance for a while for Lewis, Reed and company.
If and it is a big IF. Brady get's hit and hit and hit...The Ravens have a great chance to win the game. They must rush as a team for close to 200 yards. Not just to move the football but to ill the clock. Brady and company cannot do much while on the sidelines. A couple nice 9 or 10 minute touchdown drives would go a very long way for the Ravens in this one.
In following me you know that for me defense and rushing lead the way. So it would make sense for a solid play on the Ravens +7.
The next game is a wonderful contest with two teams that seem to be mirror images of one another. They are not at all. The Niners will not be beaten by the run while the Giants will give up rushing yards that will allow the Niners to get their pass game on track. Classic formula, rush to set up the pass. The only thing that scares me is the weather.
The NINERS are the solid big play here. I have not locked onto a total yet.
If you play the horses....You must have fullcardreports.com. This is the best horse product on the market. At 27 bucks a month, you will not have to buy a form or program again. Just for that reason it is well worth the price. A weekend player will save money and be a winner.
Have a great day.
Monday, January 16, 2012
A little of this and a little of that
Another huge week for fullcardreports.com. A 100 horse at Aqueduct and a number of horses between 20.00 and 40.00, it is the best product on the market. If you want to hit horses that pay huge money you must have fullcardreports.com.
Nice to see a couple of teams that play great defense left in the playoffs. Everyone thought the Saints and Packers were going to bully their way through. The Packers were giving up over 400 yards a game and no championship should be won with that type of defense.
The Niners played fantastic defense for 3 quarters then Brees and company broke through with a huge 4th quarter. Somehow the Saints went man to man and that allowed Alex Smith to finally be recognized as a decent quarterback. Not just a guy to manage the game, that one game will help his whole career. He know knows he can take a game over if he has to.
The Ravens have a great defense but it is getting old and Brady and company ,ay have all of the answers. With all of the offense this year it would be amazing if the 2 best defenses left in the playoffs make it to the Super Bowl.
People are saying been there done that but why not have great defenses play for a championship. The Giants are on a roll and I do not know if they can be beat but the home field advantage may be the difference for the Niners.
Have a great day.
Nice to see a couple of teams that play great defense left in the playoffs. Everyone thought the Saints and Packers were going to bully their way through. The Packers were giving up over 400 yards a game and no championship should be won with that type of defense.
The Niners played fantastic defense for 3 quarters then Brees and company broke through with a huge 4th quarter. Somehow the Saints went man to man and that allowed Alex Smith to finally be recognized as a decent quarterback. Not just a guy to manage the game, that one game will help his whole career. He know knows he can take a game over if he has to.
The Ravens have a great defense but it is getting old and Brady and company ,ay have all of the answers. With all of the offense this year it would be amazing if the 2 best defenses left in the playoffs make it to the Super Bowl.
People are saying been there done that but why not have great defenses play for a championship. The Giants are on a roll and I do not know if they can be beat but the home field advantage may be the difference for the Niners.
Have a great day.
Sunday, January 15, 2012
What a great Division round
Well It was not 5-0 but a 4-1 will work with the top play winning in San Francisco! It is very nice to see that the best defenses are the teams that got through. Alex Smith came of age on Saturday and the other first round pick Davis became a man right before your eyes.
I believe we will have the brothers facing off in the Super Bowl and nor travel issues on a short week will give the Niners a championship. I really thought that the Saints were the best team in the NFL but through 3 quarters their defense was unreal.
The Ravens found a way to win which was good for their againg defense as this might be the last chance for these guys for a few years.
The Giants did to the worst defense in football what you want to do, and that is destroy a shit defense. Green Bay as I had said would not win a playoff game. Smoke and mirrors folks. You now have 2 great defenses facing 2 offenses firing on all cylinders. This will make for an amazing two games.
NFL 52-36
NFL double plays 12-9
All respectable numbers for a year of to much offense. I look at defense and rushing as a huge part of what I do so to have a great playoffs is nice to see. It means that great defense still wins games.
NCAA Basketball 30-18
Another respectable number, Looking to win in all sports again this year.
Have a great day.
I believe we will have the brothers facing off in the Super Bowl and nor travel issues on a short week will give the Niners a championship. I really thought that the Saints were the best team in the NFL but through 3 quarters their defense was unreal.
The Ravens found a way to win which was good for their againg defense as this might be the last chance for these guys for a few years.
The Giants did to the worst defense in football what you want to do, and that is destroy a shit defense. Green Bay as I had said would not win a playoff game. Smoke and mirrors folks. You now have 2 great defenses facing 2 offenses firing on all cylinders. This will make for an amazing two games.
NFL 52-36
NFL double plays 12-9
All respectable numbers for a year of to much offense. I look at defense and rushing as a huge part of what I do so to have a great playoffs is nice to see. It means that great defense still wins games.
NCAA Basketball 30-18
Another respectable number, Looking to win in all sports again this year.
Have a great day.
Saturday, January 14, 2012
Looks like a 5-0 run this weekend in the NFL
College basketball is in full swing and we are picking our spots really well right now. Looking for those few mistakes that will show up every now and again with so many games going on at once.
NCAA 30-18
NFL single unit plays 48-35
NFL double unit plays 11-9 Without the totals this season would have been a complete nightmare.
Divisional round playoffs for Saturday are as follows ....
Let us start on Sunday evening.
The New York Giants +9 The Giants are very hot right now and everyone is comparing this team to their Super Bowl winning year a few years ago. They are starting to run the football and Manning is playing the best he has all year. I have been saying all along that the Packers defense will not get them to the big game and I stand by this right now as well.
New York Giants OVER Both teams cannot stop the pass or the run at this time and scoring will come fast and often. Last team who has the ball wins the game is what it looks like.
Sunday again, we are doing this backwards but this is what I do.
Houston +9 The Texans and the Ravens will run the ball at all costs. With no turnovers this will be a low scoring game with a field goal in the end for the win.
Saturday will start these divisional games and Saturday looks very interesting.
Denver Bronco's +14 I will tell that if Denver puts up 250 yards on the ground in the first half as they did a few weeks ago, Denver will have a great chance to win the game outright. Yes Brady is awesome but even this team has lost it's last 3 playoff games.
The best play of the entire weekend will lead off all of the playoff games.
San Francisco Forty Niners +4 Wow, a team that has won 13 games and is the 2nd seed in the playoffs is getting over a field goal at home? It goes to show you that all the average better looks at is scoring. Offense is all everyone cares about now days. Here are a few reasons why San Francisco will win this game and move on to the NFC final.
The Niners defense gives up only 14 points a game to the 22 points a game for the Saints. The Niners only give up 77 yards on the ground and only one back has rushed for 100 yards against them. The Niners have only given up one rushing touchdown all year. Without a rushing game the Saints will have to rely only on their passing game. It is fantastic but one an NFL team knows what is coming, it will get shutdown or in this case slowed down.
The last fact and probably very overlooked, this game will be played in cold weather on a slow grass field. There is more....Candlestick is BELOW sea level. This will make all of the difference in a San Francisco defensive WIN.
all the plays are single units play but the San Francisco and Green Bay/New York Over are double plays. I would even say you can play the San Francisco game for 3 units if needed.
NCAA 30-18
NFL single unit plays 48-35
NFL double unit plays 11-9 Without the totals this season would have been a complete nightmare.
Divisional round playoffs for Saturday are as follows ....
Let us start on Sunday evening.
The New York Giants +9 The Giants are very hot right now and everyone is comparing this team to their Super Bowl winning year a few years ago. They are starting to run the football and Manning is playing the best he has all year. I have been saying all along that the Packers defense will not get them to the big game and I stand by this right now as well.
New York Giants OVER Both teams cannot stop the pass or the run at this time and scoring will come fast and often. Last team who has the ball wins the game is what it looks like.
Sunday again, we are doing this backwards but this is what I do.
Houston +9 The Texans and the Ravens will run the ball at all costs. With no turnovers this will be a low scoring game with a field goal in the end for the win.
Saturday will start these divisional games and Saturday looks very interesting.
Denver Bronco's +14 I will tell that if Denver puts up 250 yards on the ground in the first half as they did a few weeks ago, Denver will have a great chance to win the game outright. Yes Brady is awesome but even this team has lost it's last 3 playoff games.
The best play of the entire weekend will lead off all of the playoff games.
San Francisco Forty Niners +4 Wow, a team that has won 13 games and is the 2nd seed in the playoffs is getting over a field goal at home? It goes to show you that all the average better looks at is scoring. Offense is all everyone cares about now days. Here are a few reasons why San Francisco will win this game and move on to the NFC final.
The Niners defense gives up only 14 points a game to the 22 points a game for the Saints. The Niners only give up 77 yards on the ground and only one back has rushed for 100 yards against them. The Niners have only given up one rushing touchdown all year. Without a rushing game the Saints will have to rely only on their passing game. It is fantastic but one an NFL team knows what is coming, it will get shutdown or in this case slowed down.
The last fact and probably very overlooked, this game will be played in cold weather on a slow grass field. There is more....Candlestick is BELOW sea level. This will make all of the difference in a San Francisco defensive WIN.
all the plays are single units play but the San Francisco and Green Bay/New York Over are double plays. I would even say you can play the San Francisco game for 3 units if needed.
Wednesday, January 11, 2012
The Divisional playoffs, Bob Scans Style!!!
Now that was as boring as a big game could be. Pathetic. Congrats to Alabama, they dominated the L.S.U Tigers in every part of the game and now the teams are 1-1 against one another but Alabama is the National Championship.
College Basketball is running at a very nice clip right now with a solid mark of 28-17. It is better then being a loser.
The final College football numbers are.
Single unit plays 92-76 nothing fantastic but again better then losing.
Double unit plays 26-26 now that is a bad as it gets for me.
NFL single unit plays 48-35
NFL double unit plays 11-9 Without the totals this season would have been a complete nightmare.
Divisional round playoffs for Saturday are as follows ....
Let us start on Sunday evening.
The New York Giants +9 The Giants are very hot right now and everyone is comparing this team to their Super Bowl winning year a few years ago. They are starting to run the football and Manning is playing the best he has all year. I have been saying all along that the Packers defense will not get them to the big game and I stand by this right now as well.
New York Giants OVER Both teams cannot stop the pass or the run at this time and scoring will come fast and often. Last team who has the ball wins the game is what it looks like.
Sunday again, we are doing this backwards but this is what I do.
Houston +9 The Texans and the Ravens will run the ball at all costs. With no turnovers this will be a low scoring game with a field goal in the end for the win.
Saturday will start these divisional games and Saturday looks very interesting.
Denver Bronco's +14 I will tell that if Denver puts up 250 yards on the ground in the first half as they did a few weeks ago, Denver will have a great chance to win the game outright. Yes Brady is awesome but even this team has lost it's last 3 playoff games.
The best play of the entire weekend will lead off all of the playoff games.
San Francisco Forty Niners +4 Wow, a team that has won 13 games and is the 2nd seed in the playoffs is getting over a field goal at home? It goes to show you that all the average better looks at is scoring. Offense is all everyone cares about now days. Here are a few reasons why San Francisco will win this game and move on to the NFC final.
The Niners defense gives up only 14 points a game to the 22 points a game for the Saints. The Niners only give up 77 yards on the ground and only one back has rushed for 100 yards against them. The Niners have only given up one rushing touchdown all year. Without a rushing game the Saints will have to rely only on their passing game. It is fantastic but one an NFL team knows what is coming, it will get shutdown or in this case slowed down.
The last fact and probably very overlooked, this game will be played in cold weather on a slow grass field. There is more....Candlestick is BELOW sea level. This will make all of the difference in a San Francisco defensive WIN.
all the plays are single units play but the San Francisco and Green Bay/New York Over are double plays. I would even say you can play the San Francisco game for 3 units if needed.
Have a great day
College Basketball is running at a very nice clip right now with a solid mark of 28-17. It is better then being a loser.
The final College football numbers are.
Single unit plays 92-76 nothing fantastic but again better then losing.
Double unit plays 26-26 now that is a bad as it gets for me.
NFL single unit plays 48-35
NFL double unit plays 11-9 Without the totals this season would have been a complete nightmare.
Divisional round playoffs for Saturday are as follows ....
Let us start on Sunday evening.
The New York Giants +9 The Giants are very hot right now and everyone is comparing this team to their Super Bowl winning year a few years ago. They are starting to run the football and Manning is playing the best he has all year. I have been saying all along that the Packers defense will not get them to the big game and I stand by this right now as well.
New York Giants OVER Both teams cannot stop the pass or the run at this time and scoring will come fast and often. Last team who has the ball wins the game is what it looks like.
Sunday again, we are doing this backwards but this is what I do.
Houston +9 The Texans and the Ravens will run the ball at all costs. With no turnovers this will be a low scoring game with a field goal in the end for the win.
Saturday will start these divisional games and Saturday looks very interesting.
Denver Bronco's +14 I will tell that if Denver puts up 250 yards on the ground in the first half as they did a few weeks ago, Denver will have a great chance to win the game outright. Yes Brady is awesome but even this team has lost it's last 3 playoff games.
The best play of the entire weekend will lead off all of the playoff games.
San Francisco Forty Niners +4 Wow, a team that has won 13 games and is the 2nd seed in the playoffs is getting over a field goal at home? It goes to show you that all the average better looks at is scoring. Offense is all everyone cares about now days. Here are a few reasons why San Francisco will win this game and move on to the NFC final.
The Niners defense gives up only 14 points a game to the 22 points a game for the Saints. The Niners only give up 77 yards on the ground and only one back has rushed for 100 yards against them. The Niners have only given up one rushing touchdown all year. Without a rushing game the Saints will have to rely only on their passing game. It is fantastic but one an NFL team knows what is coming, it will get shutdown or in this case slowed down.
The last fact and probably very overlooked, this game will be played in cold weather on a slow grass field. There is more....Candlestick is BELOW sea level. This will make all of the difference in a San Francisco defensive WIN.
all the plays are single units play but the San Francisco and Green Bay/New York Over are double plays. I would even say you can play the San Francisco game for 3 units if needed.
Have a great day
Monday, January 9, 2012
LSU over Alabama and Tim does it again.
Today is the last Bowl game of the year. I hate to say Championship game because we have seen this show already this year. The BCS did a poor job of letting the season weed us down to the two best teams left standing.
To bad all the experts were once again wrong about Tim Tebow. He cannot win a playoff game? Well he threw for over 300 yards and beat a very good but injured Pittsburgh team. That will be the reason that Denver won this week, not because Tim picked his team up and led them to the win.
I am one who like Tebow because he is not a fake. Nothing to do with God or anything like that. He gave that un forgettable rant after losing to Mississippi State and folled up his words with actions and a National Championship. Love him or hate him you must respect the man. I did find it odd that he threw for 316 yards in his biggest pro moment. John 3:16........odd stuff indeed.
San Francisco and New Orleans will be the game of the week coming up. Already the San Francisco media is saying there is no way the Niners can win this game. This will give the Niners and their coaching staff the chip on their shoulder they will need to compete versus the Saints.
Can a great defense in today's NFL stop a great offense? I am sure the line and the bettors will say no.
College basketball has been very good in this early season and by going 3-1 yesterday we stand at a solid 28-17. Just trying to pick our spots and keep the plays to a minimum.
I love L.S.U tonight going for their 3rd win against a top 3 opponent, this has not been done since Notre Dame 1943. It is almost unfair that they must beat Alabama twice in a season. This is the hand that the BCS has given them and special teams will decide it all.
NCAA Football 93-75
L.S.U +3
NCAA Basketball 28-17
Pass
Have a great day.
To bad all the experts were once again wrong about Tim Tebow. He cannot win a playoff game? Well he threw for over 300 yards and beat a very good but injured Pittsburgh team. That will be the reason that Denver won this week, not because Tim picked his team up and led them to the win.
I am one who like Tebow because he is not a fake. Nothing to do with God or anything like that. He gave that un forgettable rant after losing to Mississippi State and folled up his words with actions and a National Championship. Love him or hate him you must respect the man. I did find it odd that he threw for 316 yards in his biggest pro moment. John 3:16........odd stuff indeed.
San Francisco and New Orleans will be the game of the week coming up. Already the San Francisco media is saying there is no way the Niners can win this game. This will give the Niners and their coaching staff the chip on their shoulder they will need to compete versus the Saints.
Can a great defense in today's NFL stop a great offense? I am sure the line and the bettors will say no.
College basketball has been very good in this early season and by going 3-1 yesterday we stand at a solid 28-17. Just trying to pick our spots and keep the plays to a minimum.
I love L.S.U tonight going for their 3rd win against a top 3 opponent, this has not been done since Notre Dame 1943. It is almost unfair that they must beat Alabama twice in a season. This is the hand that the BCS has given them and special teams will decide it all.
NCAA Football 93-75
L.S.U +3
NCAA Basketball 28-17
Pass
Have a great day.
Sunday, January 8, 2012
The NFL playoffs are here and its gonna be NUT's!!!
Yesterday was a complete pass with the NFL playoffs. I also must admit that the public killed it yesterday. Favorites and overs. I almost played the Saints and the Over but alas I did not push the button.
I also passed yesterday because I had done so much work on the Kansas State and Arkansas game that bombed, I was beat up and tired. I had that game so well handicapped and all the plays that Kansas State had made all year were a thing of the past in the Bowl game. The first 2 dropped passes by Kansas State gave me a sick feeling very early on.
today in the NFL, I have a double play on the Atlanta Falcons. The Giants have the worse rushing game in the league and are the first team to make the playoffs in about forever to make the playoffs with no ability to move the ball on the ground. Atlanta is well balanced and should be able to win in a low scoring game.
I feel very bad for the San Francisco Forty Niners, they have to face probably the best team right now in the NFL. The Saints will face a very tough defense but San Francisco may not be able to keep up on offense. It has been a very pass happy league this year and this game will put how I handicap a game to the test.
NFL 47-35
Denver +7 I also played a parlay of Denver moneyline +270 to the over 33
Pittsburgh Over 33.5
NFL 10-8 Double plays
Atlanta Falcons +3
NCAA Football 92-74
Arkansas State -1 This is a classic play of the much better defense getting the nod over a offensive team with lot's of pop.
NCAA Basketball 25-16
Wright State +2.5
Drexel +1.5
Arizona +1.5
Butler +1.5
NHL 9-9 +1.95
Also have a couple NHL plays posted later.
Columbus +135
Horse Racing, If you play the races you must have fullcardreports.com. Winner after winner and no even money shots here. If it is not 8-1 or more it is a pass. I have hit 20,000 tickets with a 27 dollar wager. I have hit 100.00 horses with wheeled exacta's. If you play the races for 27 bucks a month you will not be upset with fullcardreports.com.
Have a great day.
I also passed yesterday because I had done so much work on the Kansas State and Arkansas game that bombed, I was beat up and tired. I had that game so well handicapped and all the plays that Kansas State had made all year were a thing of the past in the Bowl game. The first 2 dropped passes by Kansas State gave me a sick feeling very early on.
today in the NFL, I have a double play on the Atlanta Falcons. The Giants have the worse rushing game in the league and are the first team to make the playoffs in about forever to make the playoffs with no ability to move the ball on the ground. Atlanta is well balanced and should be able to win in a low scoring game.
I feel very bad for the San Francisco Forty Niners, they have to face probably the best team right now in the NFL. The Saints will face a very tough defense but San Francisco may not be able to keep up on offense. It has been a very pass happy league this year and this game will put how I handicap a game to the test.
NFL 47-35
Denver +7 I also played a parlay of Denver moneyline +270 to the over 33
Pittsburgh Over 33.5
NFL 10-8 Double plays
Atlanta Falcons +3
NCAA Football 92-74
Arkansas State -1 This is a classic play of the much better defense getting the nod over a offensive team with lot's of pop.
NCAA Basketball 25-16
Wright State +2.5
Drexel +1.5
Arizona +1.5
Butler +1.5
NHL 9-9 +1.95
Also have a couple NHL plays posted later.
Columbus +135
Horse Racing, If you play the races you must have fullcardreports.com. Winner after winner and no even money shots here. If it is not 8-1 or more it is a pass. I have hit 20,000 tickets with a 27 dollar wager. I have hit 100.00 horses with wheeled exacta's. If you play the races for 27 bucks a month you will not be upset with fullcardreports.com.
Have a great day.
Friday, January 6, 2012
The records are in and it is another winning season
This Bowl season has been an odd one for me. I have had 2 pushes that were pure winners and I have hit all my totals but one.
I have always been a side player, so with a record of 15-2 on totals this year in the NFL and college I must continue to look at totals going into next season. My record in the Bowl games is a very low percentage for me. I usually hit close to 70% overall with my Bowl plays but this year with so many favorites winning, I feel very lucky to be ahead of the game at all with this years Bowl plays.
NCAA Regular plays or 1 unit selections 92-73 +11.70 units
NCAA Regular plays or 1 unit selections BOWL Games 13-10 +2.00 units 57%
NCAA Top plays or 2 unit selections Bowl Games 4-3 +1.40 units
NCAA Total Bowl Plays including double units 21-16 57% + 3.40 units Bowls Only.
The College season with an overall look of +11.70 units is acceptable. I have to admit I am used to picking up closer to 20 units then 10 for the College Football season. Winning is winning and any win overall will do.
With a total of 6 selections left for my Bowl season and 2 double unit plays I can still get to over a 15.00 unit season, which would taste nice after all the work I have put into this season. The harder I worked the more big kicks were missed this year. As I said a winning season will always be acceptable.
NFL 47.35 +8.50 units at 57% I am very happy with my single unit selections. The public has had a wonderful season with a number of the easy looking plays hitting every week.
NFL 10-8 +2.40 units The double play record has been most un pleasant. Games that I have counted on in the past just did not hit this year. Again a number of easy looking games, the public hit and I did not.
I know a number of big time bettors that would take 57% all day long and twice on Sunday. I like the look of the playoffs but they will be very tough. I have One very strong double play on Sunday and a couple of weaker plays on the rest of the slate.
I love to teach people how to win. It is one the best parts about being a handicapper. I will admit I have been talking to a young man in Chicago that is on the right road and in the long run this young man will be a long term winner.
Twice this year he went against me hard. In both instances he came out ahead of the game. I almost hated that he won and not because I was wrong but his logic was on the easy side. He said that in College Football that Houston would crush Penn State and I of course had the tough looking play. I took the better defense and the side that only alumni were on. I gave a number of reasons of why Penn State would cover the over inflated number and it did not happen. In the future this one easy looking bet could cost this young man a number of losses.
The second play was the New York Giants over the Dallas Cowboys. My friend again beat me at my own game and this could cost him a number of losses in the future. The NFC has a fact that underdogs do very well in East VS East. Against the number it is very close to 70% over the last 5 years or more. He said he liked the Giants because they were at home and had to win. it has been my observation that the Public loves these games and the Books make a killing. It did not happen this way. I had the Cowboys as my game of the year and they barley showed up.
I am very happy that my friend cashed a bet. I just do not want this to cost him in the future. Games like that where the public makes a killing, make games in the future that will win big for the Books look to easy.
Fuulcardreports.com!!!!!!! If you want to be a winning horse player the only way to play is with fullcardreports.com. Yesterday with just a quick look I hit a very nice 9-1 shot (20-1 ML) with a 206 exacta and a 773 trifecta. Remember fullcardreports.com.
Today I have 2 NCAA Bowl plays.
Kansas State +10 Look for a number of big plays from the well coached Kansas State team. They have a very nice rushing edge and a power rating edge. This line is out of whack. Kansas State is 7-1 as an underdog this year and are a plus 16 in turnovers. Ask Clemson how tough it is to cover as a favorite when you turn the ball over.
Kansas State Over 63.5 A 2 UNIT PLAY. As I said above, look for a number of big plays from both teams. Although I look for State to run the ball well, this does not mean time consuming drives. The coach of Arkansas is a bit of a punk and if he has the chance to rub it in he will. Both teams will average scoring drives of less then 3 minutes at a time and this does wonders for big time overs. The weakness of the Arkansas defense is against the run, giving up close to 5 yards a carry. The weakness of the State defense is the pass. They rank 104th verse the pass. So it is a classic strength on offense against the weakness on both defenses. The two teams are a combined 17-5 to the over this season. 77% to the over.
Have a great day.
I have always been a side player, so with a record of 15-2 on totals this year in the NFL and college I must continue to look at totals going into next season. My record in the Bowl games is a very low percentage for me. I usually hit close to 70% overall with my Bowl plays but this year with so many favorites winning, I feel very lucky to be ahead of the game at all with this years Bowl plays.
NCAA Regular plays or 1 unit selections 92-73 +11.70 units
NCAA Regular plays or 1 unit selections BOWL Games 13-10 +2.00 units 57%
NCAA Top plays or 2 unit selections Bowl Games 4-3 +1.40 units
NCAA Total Bowl Plays including double units 21-16 57% + 3.40 units Bowls Only.
The College season with an overall look of +11.70 units is acceptable. I have to admit I am used to picking up closer to 20 units then 10 for the College Football season. Winning is winning and any win overall will do.
With a total of 6 selections left for my Bowl season and 2 double unit plays I can still get to over a 15.00 unit season, which would taste nice after all the work I have put into this season. The harder I worked the more big kicks were missed this year. As I said a winning season will always be acceptable.
NFL 47.35 +8.50 units at 57% I am very happy with my single unit selections. The public has had a wonderful season with a number of the easy looking plays hitting every week.
NFL 10-8 +2.40 units The double play record has been most un pleasant. Games that I have counted on in the past just did not hit this year. Again a number of easy looking games, the public hit and I did not.
I know a number of big time bettors that would take 57% all day long and twice on Sunday. I like the look of the playoffs but they will be very tough. I have One very strong double play on Sunday and a couple of weaker plays on the rest of the slate.
I love to teach people how to win. It is one the best parts about being a handicapper. I will admit I have been talking to a young man in Chicago that is on the right road and in the long run this young man will be a long term winner.
Twice this year he went against me hard. In both instances he came out ahead of the game. I almost hated that he won and not because I was wrong but his logic was on the easy side. He said that in College Football that Houston would crush Penn State and I of course had the tough looking play. I took the better defense and the side that only alumni were on. I gave a number of reasons of why Penn State would cover the over inflated number and it did not happen. In the future this one easy looking bet could cost this young man a number of losses.
The second play was the New York Giants over the Dallas Cowboys. My friend again beat me at my own game and this could cost him a number of losses in the future. The NFC has a fact that underdogs do very well in East VS East. Against the number it is very close to 70% over the last 5 years or more. He said he liked the Giants because they were at home and had to win. it has been my observation that the Public loves these games and the Books make a killing. It did not happen this way. I had the Cowboys as my game of the year and they barley showed up.
I am very happy that my friend cashed a bet. I just do not want this to cost him in the future. Games like that where the public makes a killing, make games in the future that will win big for the Books look to easy.
Fuulcardreports.com!!!!!!! If you want to be a winning horse player the only way to play is with fullcardreports.com. Yesterday with just a quick look I hit a very nice 9-1 shot (20-1 ML) with a 206 exacta and a 773 trifecta. Remember fullcardreports.com.
Today I have 2 NCAA Bowl plays.
Kansas State +10 Look for a number of big plays from the well coached Kansas State team. They have a very nice rushing edge and a power rating edge. This line is out of whack. Kansas State is 7-1 as an underdog this year and are a plus 16 in turnovers. Ask Clemson how tough it is to cover as a favorite when you turn the ball over.
Kansas State Over 63.5 A 2 UNIT PLAY. As I said above, look for a number of big plays from both teams. Although I look for State to run the ball well, this does not mean time consuming drives. The coach of Arkansas is a bit of a punk and if he has the chance to rub it in he will. Both teams will average scoring drives of less then 3 minutes at a time and this does wonders for big time overs. The weakness of the Arkansas defense is against the run, giving up close to 5 yards a carry. The weakness of the State defense is the pass. They rank 104th verse the pass. So it is a classic strength on offense against the weakness on both defenses. The two teams are a combined 17-5 to the over this season. 77% to the over.
Have a great day.
Monday, January 2, 2012
The real BOWL season is here
A huge Bowl Game day today.
NCAA 89-71
Bowl record 10-8
We start with Penn State +7 to beat Houston with great defense. A defense that has only given up 2 plays over 40 yards all season. People will only look at offense and I really believe in solid defense. (at the time of this Houston up 7-0 with a 40 yard touchdown pass)
Michigan State +3 A solid defense that only Wisconsin has figured out. They will run to set up the pass and have a lot to prove with a stupid penalty keeping them out of a BCS game. Georgia has had a great season that was filled with big plays but the underrated Michigan State defense makes the difference today.
Nebraska +3 This will be a fun game with two teams coming off of very solid seasons. The Cocks have had a bunch of turnover during the season and today it catches up to them against a very talented Nebraska team.
Wisconsin +4 I had the Badgers early on at +7 but today down to +4. Look for a shootout and the last team to have the ball wins. I do like Wisconsin to have a couple more stops then Oregon.
NCAA Double Plays 23-23
NCAA Double Bowl plays 1-1
Ohio State +3 Florida and all of their problems are getting a lot of respect here. Ohio State will not be in a Bowl game next year and the under class men will be playing their Super Bowl! Urban Myer will be a great coach for Ohio State and look for the program to get very fast in the next few years.
Stanford +4 Andrew Luck is tired of finishing 2nd and will have a huge game against a State team with a leaky defense. The pass and run will be there all day for Stanford. The Cardinal will play just enough defense to win this game outright in a barn burner.
Wisconsin and Oregon Over 74 This total is just to low. With both teams scoring at under 3 minutes at a shot and defenses that are weak against the other teams strengths. Over early and often.
If you play the Horse Races....You must use fullcardreports.com!!!! this is the best racing program on the market and will fit all styles of play!!! fullcardreports.com
Have a great day.
NCAA 89-71
Bowl record 10-8
We start with Penn State +7 to beat Houston with great defense. A defense that has only given up 2 plays over 40 yards all season. People will only look at offense and I really believe in solid defense. (at the time of this Houston up 7-0 with a 40 yard touchdown pass)
Michigan State +3 A solid defense that only Wisconsin has figured out. They will run to set up the pass and have a lot to prove with a stupid penalty keeping them out of a BCS game. Georgia has had a great season that was filled with big plays but the underrated Michigan State defense makes the difference today.
Nebraska +3 This will be a fun game with two teams coming off of very solid seasons. The Cocks have had a bunch of turnover during the season and today it catches up to them against a very talented Nebraska team.
Wisconsin +4 I had the Badgers early on at +7 but today down to +4. Look for a shootout and the last team to have the ball wins. I do like Wisconsin to have a couple more stops then Oregon.
NCAA Double Plays 23-23
NCAA Double Bowl plays 1-1
Ohio State +3 Florida and all of their problems are getting a lot of respect here. Ohio State will not be in a Bowl game next year and the under class men will be playing their Super Bowl! Urban Myer will be a great coach for Ohio State and look for the program to get very fast in the next few years.
Stanford +4 Andrew Luck is tired of finishing 2nd and will have a huge game against a State team with a leaky defense. The pass and run will be there all day for Stanford. The Cardinal will play just enough defense to win this game outright in a barn burner.
Wisconsin and Oregon Over 74 This total is just to low. With both teams scoring at under 3 minutes at a shot and defenses that are weak against the other teams strengths. Over early and often.
If you play the Horse Races....You must use fullcardreports.com!!!! this is the best racing program on the market and will fit all styles of play!!! fullcardreports.com
Have a great day.
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